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what constitutes a developing economy?
inequality, lack of opportunity, lack of resources, higher birth rate, lower GDP per capita, etc.
what is the “extreme poverty line”
$2.15 per day
different development theories over time
Marshall plan, post WWII
50s and 60s — encouraged saving and investment in the industry, saw import substitution and moved away from agriculture — this helped to reach growth targets, but one should also account for population increase
70s — shift from growth to addressing poverty and inequality, the government intervened
80s — more market role (debt crisis); removed barriers and promoted free markets
90s-present — reversion to increased government intervention to regulate markets, seeing protections, experiments and incremental changes through projects and programs
GDP
defined as the value of all final goods and services produced within a country within a given period of time
GDP per capita — the average income in a population, what everyone would have if income were to be distributed evenly
what isn’t accounted for in GDP?
subsistence crops (depends), unpaid family labor, black market activities, environmental implications — it’s harder to get a ready on GDP in developing countries due to more informalities and difficulty discerning the market price
why adjust for inflation?
it’s important when analyzing values over time or for volatile currencies
exchange rate
exchanging one currency for another — doesn’t account for the cost of living in different countries
purchasing power parity
taking the cost of living into account, accounts for different labor costs, rent, and access to capital in different countries
why care about poverty?
morally no one should be poor and it reduces people’s abilities to thrive; economically poverty reveals inefficiencies in the economy and may have an economic social cost — for example, if everyone had access to a full education they would best be able to participate in the economy and be productive
what is poverty?
wherein someone’s economic status precludes them of the ability to live a full life where all needs are met/to have a decent standard of living
alternate construct: the poverty line exists where people begin shifting out of staples
U.S. v. Peru’s poverty lines
The United States has one poverty line (save for Alaska and Hawaii) b/c people are mobile; Peru has multiple poverty lines accounting for regions, urbanization, etc.
human development index
incorporates the capabilities approach to create an index that measures quality of life and not just income
considers ability to lead a long and healthy life, access to knowledge, and a decent standard of living
measured from 0-1 to make standardization and comparison easier
capabilities approach
functioning, capabilities, and agency
life expectancy at birth
accounts for the life expectancy after reaching adulthood and child mortality
education index
accounts for mean education years for adults (changes over longer periods of time) as well as expected years of schooling for children (to reward recent efforts in education)
log average income (GNI per capita)
is logged to display how extra money bears less significance for wealthier people, uses PPP to adjust for the cost of living
why is income only imperfectly correlated with HDI?
just because a country is wealthy does not mean that it invest in education, that it does not have inequality, or that it is not susceptible to illness
millenium development goals
goals set by UN members to be reached in 2015 — aligned with notions of human development and capabilities
progress was benchmarked from 1990
was it successful? halving poverty achieved but attributed to some large countries like China, halving hunger also saw substantial progress but again was specific to specific regions and countries
sustainable development goals
set post-millenium development goals
aiming for greater progress, like elimination and sustainability
income measurement
measured by per capita income, which doesn’t account for inequality and thus implicitly assumes that the distribution of income doesn’t matter
poverty measurement
measured by the headcount index, FGT2, the poverty gap, and income gap — inequality matters but only below the poverty line
inequality measurement
inequality is measured by the Gini index and the income or wealth of the top 1, 10% — distribution of income matters for the wealthy and the poor
how are poverty and inequality related?
poverty can exist without inequality existing and inequality can exist without poverty existing, but generally greater poverty means greater inequality
The Lorenz curve
A graphical representation of inequality
a 45 degree line indicates perfect equality, perfect inequality depicts a scenario where only one individual controls all of the wealth in an economy
finding a good index in equality, an index should fulfill…
independence of income scale — a proportional change in all incomes (like changing the currency) shouldn’t impact the measurement of inequality
independence of population scale — a change in the size of the population shouldn’t impact the measurement of inequality
anonymity — people’s places changing in the income scale shouldn’t impact inequality (identity shouldn’t matter)
Pigou-Dalton transfer principle — when income is transferred from a low-income person to a high-income person the measurement of inequality should increase
decomposability — we should be able to use this measurement to also look at inequality in terms of different sources of income, not just total income
prices with regards to purchasing power parity
commodity prices (tradable goods) may be comparable prices across countries, not so for services or non-tradable goods (like a Big Mac)
measuring household income using consumption
more accurate in developing countries, where income may vary seasonally — especially for poorer or subsistence households
U.S. consideration of poverty
if food accounts for more than 1/3 of your income, you’re poor