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Fish Stock
The living resources in the community or population from which catches are taken in a fishery
Population
The number of individuals of a particular species that live within a defined area
Key process rates for open population dynamics
Birth, death, immigration, emigration
Drivers in quantitative models
Growth, recruitment, mortality
Dynamics in quantitative models
Population and production models, integrated bioeconomic models, ecosystem models
Tools for modeling
single stock models, stock assessments, multi species model, multispecies assessments, food web models, integrated ecosystem assessments, whole system models
Simple model of fish populations (Russell 1931)
Reproduction and growth —> increase biomass
Fishing and natural mortality —> Reduce biomass
Dynamic population models
include state variables, parameters, rules of change, forcing functions
Can be: stochastic or deterministic, continuous or discrete, aggregate or individual based, age size sex spatially structured etc.
Assumptions of logistic growth model
environmental factors are constant, all members of population affected by limiting factors identically, birth and death rates respond instantly to changes in density, density dependence is a smooth process; population growth rate affected by even small densities, age size and sex distributions are stable, females always able to find mates
Surplus production
based on assumption that fish populations produce more offspring than necessary to sustain the stock. The difference between the production and replacement lines
Surplus production models
aka production models or biomass dynamic models, simple because effects of R G and D are combined into single equation, only a few parameters used to predict change in total biomass and production
Parameters used to predict change in total biomass and production for surplus models
r - maximum population growth rate
K - carrying capacity
q - Catchabilty
Stock assessment for surplus production models
population considered undifferentiated biomass, use when age six or sex structure not known or doesn’t matter, external forces not considered important
Final thoughts on surplus production models
require only estimates of abundance and yield, widely used for many years, now considered inferior to age structured models, still used for data limited fisheries some multi species fisheries and some tropical fisheries
Age structured models two approaches
backward projection explain historical abundances based on principle that catch represents minimum number of fish alive in previous year
forward projection estimate abundance at age during first year of analysis then subsequent mortality, recruitment, and abundance levels
Virtual population analysis
goal: estimate stock sizes and fishing mortality of individual cohorts using commercial catch data
VPA final thoughts
useful method widely applies to assess exploited stocks, assumes no error in age determination and constant natural mortality and known terminal fishing mortality, greater confidence in estimates for youngest ages so less sensitive to later age starting values, prediction of future abundances requires additional models
Statistical catch at age methods
broad class of methods, combines multiple types of data and sub models to simulate population dynamics of stocks and fisheries, input data may include catch and composition fishing effort survey abundances tag recapture data
Statistical catch at age methods contd
Basic idea: Catch-at-age data used in combination with models defining population dynamics to generate predictions of catch (and other measures) that are compared to observed values
SCAA final thoughts
Models flexible but limited in number of parameters able to be established —> challenging when selectivity or fishing mortality is variable or evolves. state space models allow partitioning of observation and process error
Metapopulations
spatially discrete populations of same species that have some level of exchange
TAC
Total Allowable Catch
Derby Fisheries
Open for very limited time i.e pacific halibut, alaska herring, florida stone crab
Problems with Derby Fisheries
Fish in unsafe conditions, saturate market, not a full time occupation
Ways to address excessive fishing in open access fisheries
Limited access programs, buyouts, catch shares
Three components of harvest strategies
Management reference poins, harvest control rules, management strategy evaluation
Reference point
A conventional value derived from technical analysis which represents a state of the fishery of population and whose characteristics are believed to be useful for the management of the unit stock
Target reference point
Indicate a state of a fishery and of a resource that is considered desirable and at which management action should aim
Limited reference point
Indicate a state of a fishery and or a resource that is considered undesirable and which management action should avoid
Trigger (Threshold) Reference Point
Set between TRP and LRP to prompt additional management response to help ensure fishery remains close to target and or avoids breaching limit
Pretty good yield
80% of MSY
BMSY Or X%BMSY
Biomass at MSY or X% MSY
FMSY or X%FMSY
Fishing mortality rate that leads to BMSY Or X% Fishing mortality rate that leads to BMSY
FX%
Fishing mortality rate that reduces stock to X% of maximum spawning potential
FMed
Fishing mortality rate that corresponds to median value of stock recruit ratio
FMEY
Fishing mortality rate that produces maximum economic yield
MMSY
Multispecies Maximum Sustainable Yield. Incorporates predation and trophic relationships. Often found to be less than sum of single species MSYs
Example of reference points based on environmental conditions
Pacific Sardine effort targets depend on sea surface temperature
Overviews of US Fisheries Management
State water to 3 miles out, federal waters to 200 Miles — US Exclusive Economic Zone, then international waters
VMRC
Virginia Marine Resources Commission. Oversees state waters
ASMFC
Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission. Manages stocks primarily in inshore water of several states.
Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act
1976 US federal law that implemented a US fishery conservation zone (EEZ) and established the regional Fishery Management Councils (FMCs).
Fishery Management Councils (FMCs)
Regional bodies responsible for developing Fishery Management Plans (FMPs) for species primarily occurring in non-state coastal waters.
Fishery Management Council Functions
Prepare FMPS, convene committees and panels, set catch limits, develop research priorities, vote on management actions
Legislative History
1990 Magnuson Act established 7 national standards and authority for Atlantic Highly Migratory Species, 1996 Sustainable fisheries act added 3 NS, 2006 Magnuson Stevens Reauthorization act 2018MS Amendment
National Standards
1 Achieve optimum yield and prevent overfishing, 2 Best Available scientific info, 3 Manage stocks as a unit, 4 No Discrimination and rules for allocations, 5 Efficiency in utilization, 6 Variations and Contingencies, 7 Minimize costs and avoid duplications, 8 Communities, 9 Bycatch, 10 Safety at Sea