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Ecology
study of interaction between organism and between organism and their environment
what is the predominant driver of species distribution
Climate
biomes
the major life zones characterized by vegetation type
What did Alexander Von Humbolt and his ascent of Chimborazo drawing show us
that as you move up the moutatin, the temperature cools and vegation turns very quickly. There are horizontal bands of the same vegation however as you move up the mountain the type of species taht can live in certain temperatures changes. Less vegation as you move us
what are the two factors that influence biomes
mean annual precipation and mean annual temperature
Biomes are predictably found under __
particular climate regimes
_____ ranges also map onto climate
give example
individual species
ex: kangaroos are only specific subset of Aussie (where temperature and precipitation is perfect).
fundamental niche
A description of species requirement of their environment
-concept where you understand organism requirement of enviorment
-overall of all suitable variable
give an example of a one dimesntional niche axis
Organism Growth Rate
is dependent on a certain temperature and there is an optimal temperature for this organizm to maximize
One line on one axis
give an example of a two dimesntal niche
organism growth rate depends on temperature and moisture of soil
two axis- 2d
how does climate change affect chimbirazo's Andes moutains
before as you went up the moutain, temperatures got cooler and it make it unable to greener plants to survive. Due to to climate change, the entirely of the moutain has gotten hotter so species ranges are moving in altudude
How do ecologist forecast the future distribition and extinction of spcies across the globe under climate change?
Species distribition model: use the relationship between species occurences and their current climate to project their distrbution under new climate conditions
How to use the species distribution model to understand the effects of Climate change (steps) include any assumptions
1. understand what the species' climate requiremnts based on it's current distribution
2.Change the climate (predict how climate change will effect the climate)
3. Adjust the range to match the future climate (range expansion or range contraction)
*assumption: fundamental niche is fixed: not changing to climate change
what are some species distribution are limited by
competition
how can we detect if two species have overlapping niches
remove one compeititon to see if other thirve
What are the two senarioes if climate change occurs on a moutatin?
i.e. how will the plants change or not change
1. no change everything stays the same
2. low elevation plants might move up the moutain to stay within their same climate range
species geographic distribution are limited predominatly by ______ but _______ can also play a role
1. by climate
2. biotic interactions and other factors can also play a role
Predicting species distribution with climate alone
1. is or isn't
efficent but ...
is efficent
but missed the poitentially important role of chaning biotic interactions (aka new competition)
population
a group of individals of a single species living in the same general area
population growth formula
Change in number of individals from year t to T+1 (next year)= (birth-death) + (immigration -emmigration)
*can asume immigration or emigration
Density Indepedent
define Lamda
lamba= 1 + b - d
N t+1= (lamda) (Nt)
-is the multiplicative growth rate of the population over 1 year
-is lamda= 2 (pop doubled)
if Lamda= .5= pop cut in half
lambda range
0 to infinity
if >1 growth
if <1 decline
if =1 no change
ranges from 0 to infinity
CAN NOT BE negative
Contious vs Discrete Time
Cont time- Births and deaths occur continuously, such that individals at birth immediately have some chance of giving birth and dying
Discrete Time- all births and deaths occur to individals that start the time step
model of "exponential popoulation growth" in con time
rN
r= b-d
Population= (intial popl) e^(rt)
N0(e^(rt)) r= growth factor
t time
r>0 pop growth
r<0 pop shrink
r=0 pop stays the same
when are per capita births and death rate Density dependent
give an example
if they change with population density
-increasing population density may cause individals to have lower birth rates and higher death rates
why would increasing population density lower birth rate or higher death rate
within species competition
release of harmful compound
predation
disease
how can you tell when a birth or death is density dependent or density indepedent from a graph
if either is density independent- it would be a constant line
if density dependent birth rate- will be downwards sloping
if density dependent death rate- will be upwards sloping
what is the relationship between density and R
as density increase,
R decreases
when do you reach the carrying capacity
when N=K
no growth
when the graph starts to nevel off
what are x and y axis for density dependent population growth
x= number of generations
y= population size (N)
what is rMAX and what graph is it on
rMAX is the highest growth rate on a density dependent population growth
It is the first part of the density depedent population growth
what is the formula for the density depedent population growth
dN/dt= rMAX*N((k-n)/k))
n= population size
dn/dt= popoular growth rate
what formyla shoes the annual growth rate of the world population
b-d
what formula shoes the world population
n
Ecological Footprint
the amount of land required to substain an individal over their life at the standard of living for their population
Why is human carrying capacity difficuluty to caculate
1. the current population uses far more resources than needed
2. Tech improvements allowed us to use resources more efficently
3. Tech allows to power today with unstatinable resource uses (fossil fuels)
what is the most accurate way to describe population growth
simple mathmatical model
What does density depdence causes a population size to do
stabilize at carrying capacity
Why is human population growth tricky to define
we can understand it in terms of trends in birth and death rates but carrying capaity is tricky to define
when birth and death rates are density indepdent what happens
they are constant
if asked which population will growth faster when given the same intial population
ex:
pop 1:
Population size=9
Adults=7 Tadpoles 2
Population 2:
population size 9
Adults 2:
Tadpoles:7
Pop 1 because more adults to reproduct
why are diferences between individuals important for popoulation growth? (4) and what is the solution
1. only some give births (female)
2. some might be too young or too old to breed
3. some breeders will produce more young than other
4. some are so old that they are more liekly to die
sol: a model of population dynamics that incorporates the different stages of the life cycle
1. age (works for humans but not applicable for othres)
2. Stage or size (some species depend on size)
-use stage or size when...
-pop where size matters more than age
-pop where individals shrink
-pop that are dificult to age
name the three steps for a stage-based model of population
growth
For this, use example of frog popoulation with 5 total 2 adults and 3 tadpoles
1. divide the population into stages that differ in key demographic transition (birth, growth, and death rate)
- split group into one of tadpoles and one of two adults
2. Quantify the probabily of transtion between stages and the contribution of each stage to new individals
- each tadpole can either stay a tadpole, or become a frog
-each frog can be a frog or *can reproducce
3. Parameterize a matriax model of population growth
what are the four stages of a stage based moden
1. Juvenile-> Adult
-maturation (m)
2. Adult-> Juvenile
-reproduction (birth rate=b)
3.Juvenile
-survival but no maturation (Sj)
4. Adult
-adult survival (Sa)
-all of this is produced by average individal
Jt= juevilne at time T
At= Adult at Time t
Is the Stage based model discrete or cont
Discrte
what is the formula for Adults next year and Jeuvnille Next year in the stage based model
J(t+1)=(SjJt)+(BAt)
A(t+1)=(mJt)+(SaAt)
Matrix Model
Stage at Time T
J A
J (P(J->J)). (P(A->J)
A (P(J->A)) (P(A->A)
or
Stage at TIme T
J A
Stage
At J. Sj B / Jt
TIme A M Sa. / x
T+1 / At
how to multiple the matrix model
( A. B (X (Ax+By
x =
C. D) Y) Cx+dy)
*assumption A,B, C, D are constant.
What can we do ith these matrix model
Estimate Lambda, the multiplicative rate of increase
predict the stable stage distribution
examine the contribution of different life cycle transition to population growth
How do I calcuate Total population from matrix Model or Population for year 2, or year 3
Total population: Add end numbers togethers
year 2 or 3: Take T+1 and plud into new equation and use it as X and Y
stable stage distribution
the proportional distribution of individuals among stages that won't change over time
when
The ratio of Jt+1 and AT+1 levels out
how do you calcuate Lambda from Matrix Model
Take total number T+1/T. When proportion stablizes so will Lambda
elasticity
describes the proportional sensity of Lambda to small change in each matrix element
in augmenting the effective reproduction of mothers an effective way recover the population?
no