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Economic policies and management intro
Intro
Governments pursue a range of policy goals, which often change over time
Economists generally agree on three overarching objectives:
Economic growth: an increase in the level of goods and services produced in an economy, which raises living standards
Internal balance: maintaining price stability (low inflation) and full employment (low unemployment)
External balance: keeping the CAD, foreign liabilities and exchange rate at stable and sustainable levels
Economic objectives in relation to: Economic growth and quality of life
Economic growth
Involves an increase in the volume of goods and services that an economy produces and is measured by the annual rate of change in real GDP

Economic growth offers substantial benefits to a nation, including:
An increased standard of living for the population
Improved job prospects for the labour force
Opportunity for increased public investment in infrastructure and services such as education funded through higher government tax revenues
Quality of life
Refers to the overall wellbeing of individuals within a country taking into account material living standards as well as other indicators, such as education levels, environmental quality and health standards
It means there are more resources available for important contributors to quality of life, such as health care, education and programs to support the natural environment
Budget 26-27
economic growth is forecasted to slow from 2.25% to 1.75%
Due to conflicts in the Middle East, bring significant disruption for global oil supply, causing subsequent disruptions to supply chains
To support growth, over 50bn additional spending on defence, 8bn on roads and rail projects
However, the fiscal deficit spending mainly cushions supply shock rather than stimulating AD
Economic objectives in relation to: full employment
Full employment
Does not mean that there is no unemployment
It means the economy is at its non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), or natural rate of unemployment
NAIRU refers to the level of unemployment at which there is no cyclical unemployment, that is, where the economy is at full employment

Benefits
Maximising the economy’s capacity to produce, which increases living standards
Minimising the adverse economic and social problems associated with unemployment (e.g. personal and family hardship, loss of workforce skills and greater inequality)
Policies
Reduce unemployment to its non-accelerating inflation rate through macroeconomic policies
Microeconomic policies to reduce the NAIRU over the longer term
Budget 26-27
Annual wage review increase minimum wage
Phrase out junior award rate, adult age, adult wage
Expected to increased from 4.25 to 4.5 as economic growth slows
Economic objectives in relation to: price stability and external stability
Price stability
Refers to keeping inflation, or the sustained increase in the general price level, at an acceptable level
This doe not mean that the government aims to eliminate inflation but rather to sustain inflation at a level (2-3%) that will cause minimal distortion to the economy

Benefits
Maintaining the real value of income and wealth
Improved international competitiveness, due to stable costs of production
Exchange rate stability
Future price stability, giving more clarity for economic decision making
Reduced distortions leading to a more efficient allocation of resources to more productive activities
budget 26-27
Inflation is forecasted to hit 5%
Attributed to surges in oil prices
Take pressure off inflation
Halve fuel excise for three month + heavy vehicle road users charge cut to zero + PBS cut to the lowest level
However tax cuts are expansion, tension
External stability
Achieving external stability involves a country meeting its long-term financial obligations to the rest of the world
So that its external accounts do not hinder internal economic goals such as higher growth and lower inflation
External stability includes ensuring that the BOP and the level of foreign liabilities are sustainable over the longer term
E.g. maintaining the level of confidence of overseas investors and avoiding volatility in the exchange rate

budget 26 -27
ToT forecasted to deteriorate significantly to -7% in 2027-28 (due to falling commodity prices i.e iron ore, elevated oil prices)
CA is expected to move further into the deficit
Response: fuel resilience package - 50 days of diesel/jet fuel reserves, 20% domestic gas reverses
Limits of fiscal policy in managing external stability during a global supply shock (as oil and commodity prices are largely outside control)
Economic objectives in relation to: distribution of income, environmental sustainability
An equitable distribution of income and wealth
An overall objective of government policy is to create a fairer distribution of income and wealth in the economy
While governments do not aim to remove all of the inequalities between individuals, it is widely agreed that societies should make provision for the needs of people who are not able to provide for themselves e.g. pension, welfare
Redistribution policies e.g. tax, welfare payments
Buget 26-27
Aim to achieve greater equity
Do
$250 working australians tax offset (increasing taxfree threshold by ‘nearly 18,000 to 19,900)
Negative gearing limited to new builds (supporting first time home buyers)
However, NDIS cust $38bn over 4 years by tightening eligibility
Environmental sustainability
In the process of achieving a society’s economic objectives, economic activity may create side effects such as pollution and the depletion of natural resources
Environmental objectives are part of the government’s overall framework of economic management, and a substantial amount of money is spent by Commonwealth and State
governments on environmental programs
Ecologically sustainable development has become an increasingly important economic objective, foster intergenerational equity
Potential conflicts among objectives
There are three major conflicts between the government’s economic objectives:
Achieving a simultaneous reduction in unemployment and inflation
Trade off in the short to medium term, Phillips curve

In 2023, unemployment rate would need to rise from 3.6% to 4.5% to help bring inflation from close to 6% down to the RBA’s target range of 2 to 3%
Achieving economic growth and environmental sustainability
The pursuit of faster economic growth can sometimes come at the cost of environmental policy goal
Acting on climate change early has the potential to lift GDP growth and create new jobs in clean energy industries
Achieving economic growth and external balance
Higher rates of economic growth often result in a deterioration in the current account on the balance of payments, M
Balance of payments constraint - limitation on the rate of growth because of the impact of high growth on the current account deficit
Other conflicts in objectives
Economic growth and greater inequality in income distribution
Inclusive growth
E.g. giving disadvantaged children greater educational opportunities has positive social outcomes and improves the labour market in the future
Time frames
Long term goals involve significant structural changes and costs in the short term
Macroeconomic policies - Rationale for macroeconomic policies - stabilisation and shifts in aggregate demand
Intro
Instruments of economic policies
Macroeconomic policies - AD
Microeconomic policies - AS
Governments usually use a combination of micro and macro policies in order to best achieve their goals, called economic policy mix
Macroeconomic management
Use of government policies to influence the economy with the aims of reducing large fluctuations in the level of economic activity and achieving certain economic goals
Tend to influence the level of AD
Sometimes referred to as counter-cyclical policies - help smoothen peaks and troughs of economic cycle to stabilise the level of economic growth

Work effectively in either stimulating or dampening the economy in the short term, but less effective in dealing with longer term problems such as low productivity
2 key macro policies are fiscal and monetary
Fiscal policy intro
Intro
A macroeconomic policy that can influence resource allocation, redistribute income and reduce the fluctuations of the business cycle
Its instruments include government spending and taxation and the budget outcome
The Budget is the annual statement from the Australian Government of its income and expenditure plans for the next financial year, and is normally released in May
The Budget includes all forms of revenue received by the government, including direct tax (e.g. personal income), indirect tax (e.g. GST) and other revenues (e.g. dividends from public trading enterprises)
The major items of expenditure in the Budget are social welfare, health, education, general public services and defence
Expansionary stance - increase spending decreasing tax

MYEFO
Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook statement
When governments make smaller changes to fiscal policy throughout the course of the year, the full costings of these decisions are set out afterwards, either in the next Budget, or in a statement released around December each year
Provides updates to the Treasury’s forecasts for the Budget and future economic conditions
Federal government budgets and budget outcomes
Budget outcomes
The budget outcome is itself an important feature of fiscal policy
There are three possible outcomes - surplus, deficit or balanced
Budget surplus - positive balance, T > G
Budget deficit - negative balance, G > T
Balanced budget - zero balance, G = T
The government’s main fiscal policy aim is to achieve budget surpluses, on average, over the course of the economic cycle
4 main measures of budget outcomes

Underlying cash balance
Cash deficit or surplus
Government’s preferred measure, gives an indication of short to medium term impact of fiscal policy
Calculated using cash accounting method (records revenues and expenditures when the money is collected or spent)
Does not distinguish between the type of spending (for capital or recurrent purposes) and does not reflect international standards of accrual accounting
Excludes Future Fund transactions and other financial asset transactions
Headline cash balance
Reflects the underlying cash balance plus the government’s purchase or sale of assets
Includes all cash transactions
Gives misleading picture of the budget outcome as improvement comes from a one-off asset sale
Fiscal balance
Fiscal deficit or surplus
Calculates revenue minus expenses minus net capital investment, based on accrual accounting (measures expenditures and revenues when they are incurred or earned, not when it is actually paid or received)
Regarded as more accurate than cash accounting
Does not distinguish between spending for capital or recurrent purposes
Net operating balance
Operating deficit or surplus
Regarded as the best measure of the sustainability of the Budget because it shows whether a government is meeting its recurrent (day-to-day) obligations from existing revenue (short-term)
Distinguishes between spending for capital or recurrent purposes, and it removes spending on capital from the balance
The rationale for separating the two types of expenses is that capital spending is different from other spending because it add to productive capacity and to the government’s assets (for long-term)
Accrual accounting
Discretionary and non-discretionary
Intro
Each year, the levels of government spending and revenue collection, and thus the budget outcome, change
Discretionary and non-discretionary
This reflects the impact of two key factors: changing economic conditions (cyclical or non-discretionary changes) and changes in government policy (structural or discretionary changes)
Discretionary changes in fiscal policy
Involves deliberate changes to fiscal policy
E.g. reduced spending, changing tax rates
Influence structural component of the budget outcome
Non-discretionary changes in fiscal policy
Influenced by factors other than planned
Caused by changes in the level of economic activity
Influence cyclical component of the budget outcome
Automatic stabiliser
Automatic stabilisers
Budgetary changes that are influenced by the level of economic growth are also known as automatic stabilisers
Defined as those changes in the level of government revenue and expenditure that occur as a result of changes in the level of economic activity
Automatic - because they are built into the Budget, and they are activated by a change in the level of economic activity, not by a deliberate change in government policy relating to either revenue or expenditure
The two main automatic stabilisers are unemployment benefits and the progressive income tax system
Unemployment benefits
When the economy moves into recession, the level of economic activity falls, causing a rise in unemployment
An increase in unemployment leads to greater government expenditure on unemployment benefits
Thus, a decline in the level of economic activity automatically leads to an increase in government expenditure
Vise versa
Progressive income tax system
People on higher incomes pay proportionately more tax than those on lower incomes
During an economic boom, employment opportunities are increasing and incomes are rising
Rising incomes move workers into higher income tax brackets, and previously unemployed persons start paying income tax
Both situations lead to an increase in government taxation revenue
On the other hand, a decrease in the level of economic activity would lead to a decrease in taxation revenue
Built into the Budget with a counter-cyclical role
On their own, are rarely strong enough to counter the effects of the economic cycle (government still rely upon discretionary policy)
But help to moderate both downswings and upswings in growth
Effects of budgetary changes on economic activity, resource use, income distribution and the size of the CAD and foreign debt
Effects of budgetary changes
Fiscal policy changes affect economic activity, resource use, income distribution and the size of the CAD and foreign debt
Impact on economic activity
Short term impact
Budget stance
Expansionary - increase economic activity, reduce T and/or increase G, smaller surplus or larger deficit (budget outcome), leads to a multiplied increase in C and I, stimulates AD
Contractionary - decrease economic activity, increase T and/or reduce G, smaller deficit or larger surplus, leads to a multiplied decrease in C and I, dampening AD
Neutral - maintain the same level as the previous year
Impact on resource use
Directly - G e.g. transport infrastructure, public goods, emergency goods
Indirect - T and spending decisions e.g. reducing royalties (payments made by mining companies to the government for the right to extract publicly owned natural resources) or providing subsidies for lithium mining might encourage more investment in that part of the mining sector, high tax on tobacco products
Impact in income distribution
Most important role
Progressive income tax system
Reduce tax at upper end of income scale - less progressive, less equal distribution
Reduce tax concessions affect distribution without changing tax rates
Goods and Services Tax regressive tax increased, less equal as lower income earners pay relatively higher proportion of their Y
G - increase welfare, low income earners more reliant on income support payments
Impact on savings and external balance
Long term relationship between budget outcome and CAD and foreign debt
Budget deficit - negative saving, dissaving by borrowing from private sector saving, reduce national saving (public + private)
Crowding out effect - with a depleted national savings pool, the competition for a limited amount of savings to finance domestic consumption and investment will make it more difficult to access funds and place upward pressure on interest rates, making private sector investment more expensive
Inflow on the capital and financial account and will increase the size of Australia’s foreign debt
If the government borrows from overseas, the inflow of funds will directly lead to an increase in Australia’s foreign liabilities (raise net primary income deficit through servicing costs in the form of interest repayments)
When the government consistently runs large fiscal deficits over several years, the current account deficit will tend to be higher
Australia’s history of current account deficits has mostly reflected imbalances between private savings and private investment, rather than public sector borrowing
Main method of financing a deficit
Financing a deficit
When the government budgets for a deficit, it is planning to spend more than it receives in revenue over the current financial year
This deficit can be financed through borrowing from the domestic private sector, from overseas investors or from the RBA. The government can also sell government assets
In recent time, when it has run a deficit, the Australian Government has relied almost exclusively on borrowing from the domestic private sector
Borrowing from the private sector
By selling Treasury bonds domestically under a tender system
The main form
Under this system, the government sets the value of bonds to be sold (determined by the size of the deficit to be financed), and the prospective purchasers tender (bidding) to buy a certain quantity at a particular rate of interest
The government then accepts the tenders, starting with those offering to buy at the lowest rate of interest, through to the highest, until all bonds are sold
Advantages
The government can always be certain that it will fully finance its deficit
The market will set the interest rate on these newly issued bonds
Disadvantages
Crowding out effect
Budget deficit will soak up funds in Australia’s domestic savings pool, putting upward pressure on interest rates and leading to a reduction in private sector spending and investment
Under these circumstances, the private sector would have less access to domestic savings and may be forced to borrow overseas instead
In an era of globalised financial markets, the crowding out effect is now much weaker since many of the financial institutions that buy bonds on domestic financial markets are from overseas
Other methods of financing a deficit
Borrowing from overseas
In order to minimise the crowding out effect
Distinctions between domestic and overseas borrowing are now less relevant, as there are now many overseas institutions that participate in Australia’s domestic financial markets
When the government borrows from overseas it directly adds to Australia’s foreign debt
Borrowing from the RBA
Referred to as monetary financing
In effect, this amounts to the government printing money in order to finance its expenditures
The government has avoided monetary financing to ensure that it does not increase the money supply and add to inflation
Selling assets
Does not reduce the level of underlying cash deficit or the net operating deficit because these are adjusted to reflect one-off transactions like asset sales
Selling assets, such as land that is owned by the government or the Commonwealth’s share in businesses such as Medibank Private or Australia Post
In cash terms, from year to year, a government can create a headline budget surplus by selling assets
Forgoes any dividends it may have earned on the assets
Use of a surplus
Surplus
When the government budgets for a surplus, it is planning to receive more revenue than it spends in the current financial year
The government can use the surplus in 3 ways
Deposit it with the RBA
Use it to pay off public sector debt
Late 1990s and early 2000s
Increase in funds may lead to economic activity that offset the contractionary effect of the fiscal surplus
Place the money in a specially established, government-owned investment fund
Future Fund for superannuation liabilities
Public sector borrowing and debt
The overall impact of the public sector on the economy is reflected on the public sector cash outcome
Was in surplus from late 1990s until 2008-09 but had been in deficit since, driven by Commonwealth deficit

Public sector debt results in accumulation of public sector debt

Monetary policy - intro
Intro
Refers to actions by the RBA, Australia’s central bank, to influence the cost and availability of credit in the Australian economy
A macro policy that can smooth fluctuations in the business cycle and influence the level of economic activity, employment and prices
Generally the primary macro policy used for this purpose over the short to medium term in Australia and other advanced economies
One of the RBA’s key roles is to hold and manage deposits owned by commercial banks in Australia, which they use to settle transactions between each other
This gives the RBA the ability to influence the supply of money in the economy and therefore interest rates
The RBA sets a desired target for the cash rate (which is the interest rate on loans in the overnight money market)
The RBA largely controls the cash rate by paying a certain interest rate to commercial banks for their deposits and charging a certain interest rate to banks that want
to borrow extra funds (this is called a corridor system)
It also can use domestic market operations (DMOs) to influence the cash rate and help achieve the target
Monetary policy settings can be contractionary, expansionary or neutral
Contractionary - increase interest rate, reduces the amount that households with mortgages have available for consumption and make business investment more expensive, slows economic activity (reduce employment and inflation)
Expansionary - lowers interest rate, higher consumption and investment, economic activity, employment growth and increased inflationary pressures
Neutral - interest rates are at a level that is neither expansionary nor contractionary
Purpose of monetary policy
The objectives of monetary policy are laid out formally in the Reserve Bank Act (1959), which states that in its implementation of monetary policy the RBA should aim for:
Stability of Australia’s currency (which now means maintaining low and stable inflation and preserving the purchasing power of the Australian dollar)
Maintenance of full employment in Australia (which means sustaining a low level of unemployment)
Promotion of the economic prosperity and welfare of the people of Australia (which primarily means maintaining a stable and sustainable economic and financial environment)
2023 review of RBA
Clearly defining the objectives for monetary policy as a dual mandate to contribute to price stability and full employment, with an overarching purpose to promote economic
prosperity
Prior to the end of 2023, the RBA met 11 times per year to set a target for the cash rate. Following recommendations of the RBA review, this was changed to 8 meetings per year
Conflicts in objectives
Can achieve both but difficult
Since the early 1990s, the RBA has generally prioritised the first objective of low and stable inflation via its inflation-targeting regime
Very low levels of unemployment can sometimes be achieved at the cost of higher inflation (but out of control inflation does not lead to full employment as it attracts contractionary policy resulting in increased unemployment)
The challenge is to balance both goals - which is the dual mandate
Inflation targeting
In Australia, the central bank operates independently of the government (helps to reduce the risk of political factors distorting interest rate decisions)
Try to keep inflation within a predetermined target range (2-3%), although target for midpoint
In doing so, the RBA prioritises maintaining low and stable inflation
The timeframe for returning inflation to the target band is also somewhat flexible
Inflation targeting has generally been successful at keeping inflation low and stable without central banks having to resort to high interest rates, which lower growth and increase unemployment
Since the regime was introduced, inflation has averaged around 2.6%
To sustain low and stable inflation, inflation targets need to entrench expectations in the economy that inflation will be low and stable over time (expectations are a significant factor influencing the level of inflation)
The RBA assesses a wide variety of economic and financial indicators when making monetary policy decisions (factors that affect demand and supply in the economy can
influence inflation outcomes in Australia)
Critics said the RBA had been too slow to react and kept monetary policy too expansionary for too long (impetus for an independent review 2023)
Implementation of monetary policy by the RBA - cash rate
The cash rate
The main tool that the RBA uses to implement monetary policy (MP)
The interest rate that banks pay to borrow funds from other banks in the money market overnight
In technical terms, it is the interest rate on unsecured overnight loans between banks (loans banks use to manage their liquidity)
It influences all other interest rates, including mortgage and deposit rates, and the general level of interest rates influences inflation and the overall level of economic activity
The RBA can therefore achieve its economic objectives through its capacity to change the cash rate
Exchange settlement accounts
Exchange settlement accounts
Commercial banks need to hold a certain proportion of their funds with the RBA in exchange settlement accounts (ES accounts) to settle payments with other banks and the RBA
Millions of interbank payments happen every day, and these payments are made by transferring funds between bank’ ES accounts
At the end of every trading day, some banks may not have enough funds in their ES accounts to satisfy all of their interbank payment obligations for that day, while other banks may have a surplus of ES funds
The overnight money market (also known as the short-term money market) is the market where banks that have a shortage of ES funds can borrow money from banks that have an excess of ES funds beyond what they need in their accounts
RBA can influence the overnight money market to ensure that the actual cash rate lines up with the target that the RBA board sets for it
The policy rate corridor
Policy rate corridor
RBA does not directly set the actual cash rate at the target that it announces, rather it ensures that the actual cash rate never strays far from the target because of how it deals with the funds in commercial banks’ ES accounts
The policy rate corridor is a tool used by the RBA to manage the policy interest rate
It defines a range within which the central bank wants the overnight interest rate to fluctuate, typically by setting a lending rate (ceiling) and a deposit rate (floor) around the target policy rate
This framework helps ensure the policy rate stays close to the target and influences other interest rates in the economy
The corridor represents a range within which banks have an incentive to trade ES balances among themselves
RBA lending rate (+0.25 percentage points)
Banks can borrow directly from the RBA at 0.25% above the cash rate target
This acts as the ceiling because banks will not pay another bank more than they could borrow from the RBA
RBA deposit rate (–0.10* percentage points)
Banks can deposit excess funds with the RBA at 0.10% below the cash rate target
This acts as the floor because banks will not lend to another bank for less than they can earn from depositing with the RBA

The deposit and lending rates form the lower and upper bounds of the policy interest rate corridor
Banks have no incentive to borrow or lend ES balances outside this corridor
If interest rates in the market were lower than the deposit rate paid by the RBA, banks would choose to hold more ES balances
Similarly, if market interest rates for cash balances were above the top of the corridor, banks would choose to borrow more cheaply from the RBA
The floor created by the RBA’s deposit rate and the ceiling created by the RBA’s lending rate together form the policy rate corridor for the cash rate

No banks, whether they have a surplus or a shortage of ES funds, have an incentive to complete transactions in the overnight money market outside of this corridor
The RBA’s policy target for the cash rate is normally exactly in the middle of the corridor
If the RBA were to decrease the target, the floor and ceiling of the corridor would shift downwards immediately, and banks would be incentivised to borrow and lend from each other within a new range that is consistent with the new cash rate target

DMOs
Domestic market operations DMOs
Demand (from commercial banks) or ES balances by banks fluctuate on a daily basis
The actual cash rate is the price at which demand intersects with the supply of ES funds that are available
The RBA can manage the supply of ES funds so that it meets demand at a price closer to the RBA’s cash rate target
The RBA manages the supply of ES funds by conducting domestic market operations (DMO)
DMO refers to the purchase (buy) and sale (sell) of financial securities (Commonwealth Government securities) by the RBA in exchange for ES balances
These purchases affect the supply of ES funds because ES funds are used to complete these transactions
If the demand for ES funds increases, the RBA would need to increase the supply of ES funds to keep the cash rate stable (all else being equal)
To do this, the RBA would buy financial securities held by banks, and pay for this by depositing funds in their ES accounts
If the RBA needed to decrease the supply of ES funds to keep the cash rate at target (because of a decrease in demand), the RBA would sell financial securities to banks, and withdraw funds that were sitting in their ES accounts
Purchase - RBA buys securities from banks using ES balances - increase S of ES balance (as RBA gives money to banks), decrease bank’s holding of securities → decrease cash rate (expansionary MP)
Sale - RBA sells securities to banks gaining ES balances - decrease S of ES balance (as banks need to pay RBA), increase bank’s holding of securities → increase cash rate (contractionary MP)

DMO usually involves the use of repurchase agreements (repos)
The seller of a bond or other financial security effectively agrees to buy the bond or security back from the buyer at a later date
The RBA prefers using repos to conduct DMO because they are highly flexible instruments and can be used to manage ES supply much more precisely than outright purchases or sales of financial securities
Repos allow RBA to temporarily inject or withdraw liquidity for a specific amount of time, enabling day to day management of money supply
The RBA uses the cash rate policy corridor to implement changes to the cash rate target, and can use DMOs to ensure that the cash rate stays consistent with the target every day when the demand for ES funds changes
The transmission of the cash rate to other interest rates
The transmission of the cash rate to other interest rates
The cash rate is often called the foundation or the anchor of the interest rate structure in the Australia economy
This simply means that the cash rate has a major influence on many other interest rates in Australia
An increase in the cash rate means that it becomes more expensive for financial institutions to obtain funds in the short-term money market (and generally other funding markets too)
To maintain their profit margins financial institutions generally respond by increasing the interest rates that they charge to borrowers, such as on household mortgages used to buy houses
Similarly, a reduction in the cash rate lowers the funding costs for banks and other financial institutions, and competition between financial institutions causes them to pass this cost saving on to their customers in the form of lower lending interest rates
However, factors other than the cash rate also influence the main interest rates in the economy (e.g. home loans, credit cards, personal loans, commercial loans)
These include competition in the banking sector, regulations, conditions in the global and domestic financial markets and risk assessments relating to economic conditions
This means that the margin of difference between the cash rate and those other interest rates can change over time in response to those factors
The RBA can either tighten or loosen monetary policy
Markets can price in a future interest rate increase or decrease even before it has happened. This can result in interest rates in financial markets changing before the RBA changes the cash rate target
Monetary stance | Cash rate target | Policy rate corridor | DMOs |
|---|---|---|---|
Tightening (contractionary) | Increase | Shifts upward | Sell, decrease S |
Loosening (expansionary) | Decrease | Shifts downwards | Buy, increase S |
Unconventional monetary policy
Unconventional monetary policy
Central banks have sometimes gone beyond the traditional usage of interest rates to implement monetary policy, and have experimented with additional measures
The use of tools other than a central bank’s main policy interest rate (the cash rate in Australia) is often called unconventional monetary policy
In recent years, this was necessary because, with interest rates close to zero, further stimulus to the economy was harder to provide by lowering interest rates further
Measures
Asset purchases: purchasing government securities in the secondary market from
financial institutions and paying for them by depositing newly created ES balances
in their accounts
Forward guidance: using official communications about the future stance of monetary policy to influence current interest rates on longer-term assets
Additional provision of liquidity: the RBA increased the size of its DMO compared to normal, and created the Term Funding Facility, which provided cheap additional loans to commercial banks to support them lending more to households and
businesses
Changing the size of the corridor: by setting the corridor floor to 0.1 percentage points below the cash rate target (instead of 0.25 percentage points), the RBA was able to lower the cash rate to 0.1 per cent without the risks of negative interest rates
Negative interest rates are another form of unconventional monetary policy (cheaper borrowing)
One way to think about the influence of unconventional monetary policy is through the yield curve
This curve shows how, in general, loans of longer maturity tend to have higher interest rates because lenders expect higher returns to compensate for the greater risks involved with lending out money for a longer period of time
Unconventional monetary policy measures generally work by reducing interest rates specifically on longer-term loans
While conventional monetary policy usually lowers the entire yield curve

Impact of changes in interest rates - transmission mechanism
Impact of changes in interest rates
Economists often describe the process through which MP affects the economy as the transmission mechanism of MP
Transmission mechanism explains how changes in the stance of monetary policy pass through the economy to influence economic objectives such as inflation and economic growth
The transmission mechanism works through a number of different channels:
Downward pressure on interest rates through expansionary MP makes borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses. In addition, the interest rate they can obtain by investing in financial assets represents an opportunity cost. Thus, a fall in interest rates should encourage borrowing by both businesses and consumers, leading to rising consumption and investment demand in the economy. This raises the overall level of economic activity
Reduced interest rates also have an effect on businesses and consumers that already have loans since the cost of servicing existing loans becomes cheaper. This means that existing borrowers can use more of their income on additional spending rather than servicing their loans and is often called the cash flow channel of MP
A fall in the level of interest rates also discourages financial flows into Australia which leads to a depreciation of the currency. This makes Australian goods relatively more competitive in both domestic markets (since imports are more expensive) and overseas markets. This stimulates aggregate demand and could add to inflation
Lower interest rates can also cause asset prices to increase for a range of assets including houses and shares in public companies. Higher asset prices provide asset holders more wealth, which they often use to consume and invest more than they otherwise would (called the wealth channel of the transmission mechanism)
The transmission mechanism would work in the opposite direction if the RBA put upward pressure on interest rates through contractionary MP
Stance of MP
The stance of MP in Australia
In line with the recommendations from the 2023 review, the RBA Board communicates the stance of MP by making the cash rate target announcement after each meeting of the MP Board
MP was made very expansionary in response to COVID-19 (cash rate down to 0.1%)
Even before the onset of the pandemic, the cash rate target had reached historically low levels in response to a period of weak growth and low inflation


In addition, the RBA introduced several unconventional monetary policy measures that further eased the stance of monetary policy
The RBA responded to rising inflation with a series of steep rate increases from 2022 to 2023, lifting the cash rate above 4%

There are 5 main factors that help to explain the stance of MP
The low inflation objective
Both the government and the Reserve Bank are committed to maintaining the RBA’s inflation target of 2 to 3%
Monetary policy is the major tool used to achieve this outcome
Inflation expectations
A key element in the government’s strategy of achieving low inflation is reinforcing expectations of sustained low inflation
If inflation expectations remain low, businesses will plan lower price increases and unions will seek lower wage rises
The RBA will raise and maintain high interest rates if necessary to reduce inflation expectation
Labour costs
Future interest rate movements are dependent upon movements in the level of inflation
One of the most significant determinants of inflation is the cost of labour trends in productivity growth
Unemployment
The RBA remains committed to achieving low unemployment as part of its dual mandate
The level of growth and unemployment are also important indicators of whether the economy is close to its supply constraint
External factors
Australia’s integration with the global economy means that international conditions consistently influence RBA monetary policy settings
If global conditions deteriorate, Australia is more likely to face slower economic growth and higher unemployment, and the RBA may move to reduce interest rates to prevent a downturn
Monitors conditions in global financial markets for economic volatility or any early warning signs of changes to growth or inflation overseas that could affect Australia
The RBA also assesses external factors because the exchange rate channel is an important component of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy
Rationale for microeconomic policies including shifts in aggregate supply, efficiency
Rationale
Governments use microeconomic policies to improve the efficiency (productivity, competitiveness) of firms and industries in order to maximise the amount of output from the scarce resources available in an economy
Microeconomic policies influence supply (supply-side economics)
The goal is to increase aggregate supply, which shifts the aggregate supply curve to the right, the result is that more goods and services are provided at lower prices

Microeconomic policies
Policies (such as tax reform, investment in infrastructure and improving the education system) that focus on increasing the level of aggregate supply do so by improving the competitiveness, productivity and efficiency of Australian industries
In the long run, micro policies help to increase Australia’s sustainable rate of economic growth
Micro policies are important because many of Australia’s economic problems (such as labour market skills shortages) are caused by structural factors which are best addressed through structural change
Structural change refers to shifts in the pattern of production that reflect changes in technology, consumer preferences, policy, global competitiveness and various other factors
Structural change results in the decline of some inefficient industries, while enabling more efficient industries to emerge and grow
Effects of microeconomic policies on individual product and factor markets, individual industries and the economy
Product and factor markets
Micro policies promote structural changes by making product and factor markets work more efficiently, which helps the economy to adapt to changing economic conditions
Goods are produced at the lowest price
Resources flow to where they have the highest value
Product markets are markets for the output of production, including consumer goods and services
Factor markets are markets for the inputs to production, such as the labour markets and financial markets
Micro theory
Microeconomic theory says that product and factor markets will be more efficient if there is greater competition between businesses, and the market forces of supply and demand are able to operate with fewer distortions (either from government policies or anti-competitive market conduct)

Key dimensions to improving the efficiency of markets
Dimensions
There are three key dimensions to improving the efficiency of markets
Allocative efficiency
Technical efficiency
Dynamic efficiency
Allocative efficiency
Refers to the economy’s ability to shift resources to where they are most valued and can be used most efficiently
By minimising distortions to the market economy (such as the impact of government regulations, tax loopholes, subsidies and anti-competitive behaviour), market forces should bring about a more efficient allocation of resources
E.g. removal of tariffs shifts resources from inefficient producers to efficient producers who are competitive without protection

Technical efficiency
Refers to the economy’s ability to produce the maximum level of output from a given quantity of inputs
Measured by productivity (how many outputs per inputs)
Greater productivity means more output at a cheaper price → competitive
More inclined to adopt the latest production technologies
Dynamic efficiency
Refers to the economy’s ability to shift resources between industries in response
to changing patterns of consumer preferences
Means producers are able to respond quickly to changing demands e.g. petrol cars to electric cars
More competition will tend to force producers to be more responsive
Microeconomic policies can sometimes improve all three dimensions simultaneously e.g. past reforms to open up Australia’s telecommunications industry have increased competition, forcing companies to become more technically efficient to maintain and improve market share
This greater competition encouraged innovation and dynamic efficiency, attracting more investment to the telecommunications industry (a sign of allocative efficiency)
Deregulation and industries
Deregulation
Deregulation involves the simplification or removal of rules that constrain the operation of market forces, and it aims to improve the efficiency of industries
The process of deregulation has driven extensive structural change in many industries, however regulatory frameworks in those industries remain important to encourage competition, protect consumers, prevent the abuse of market power and foster innovation
Micro policies have been applied to the financial sector, agricultural, aviation and telecommunications industries
Financial sector
Floating AUD in 1983, removed fixed exchange rate system
Removing RBA controls, banks gained autonomy to set their own interest rates on deposits and loans based on market conditions
Removal of barriers to foreign banks entering the Australian market
Privatisation of state-owned financial institutions, such as the Commonwealth Bank in 1991
This has enabled competition to increase with smaller banks, such as the Bendigo and Adelaide Bank, growing to compete with the big four banks
Australia learnt from GFC, increasing the amount of money banks must hold without investing (known as minimum capital requirements) which helped Australia’s financial system withstand the COVID-19 recession
This highlights the need for a balance between the goals of efficiency and competition (which generally favour deregulation) and the goals of consumer protection and financial system stability (which generally favour regulation)
Agricultural industries
End monopolies of single government-owned businesses or industry cooperatives on buying farmers’ produce in areas such as dairy, wheat and wool
Tariff reductions since the 1980s
This has strengthened Australia’s international competitiveness with 70% of agricultural output now exported
However, productivity slowed due to increased climate variability, changing policy environments and global market conditions
Aviation industry (transport)
In the early era of commercial aviation, Australia had an official Two Airline Policy, which was abolished in 1990 to increase competition
However, the industry remains a duopoly, dominated by Qantas (owner of Jetstar) and Virgin Australia
Koala Airlines, a new industry entrant, announced plans in 2025 to launch operations that would compete with Qantas, Jetstar and Virgin Australia
Two smaller airlines, Rex and Bonza (which began operations in 2023), mainly compete on regional routes
Many aspects of aviation remain regulated in Australia as well as in other countries, including safety regulations, landing slots at airports, and competitive behaviour
Telecommunications industry
Contributes around 2% of economic output
Telstra (until 1997 a government-owned monopoly called Telecom Australia) remains the largest company (accounting for 44% the mobile service market and 40% for fixed broadband)
But competition has transformed the industry since it was deregulated in the 1990s
A combination of new technologies and competition lowered telecommunications costs dramatically
Government-owned National Broadband Network (NBN) was rolled out in the 2010s, separating the wholesale business of providing access to the infrastructure from the retail businesses that offer telecommunications services to households and businesses (technical efficiency)
Foreign-owned telecommunication companies have been allowed to invest in the Australian market, ensure the existing domestic suppliers have been exposed to greater competitive practices (improvement in allocative efficiencies)
The goal of these changes was to increase competition among retailers while making high-speed internet more widely accessible
In 2024, in a bid to crack down on SMS scams ACMA was given powers to establish an SMS Sender ID Register, so telecommunications companies can
check whether messages sent under a brand name match a legitimate sender
Regulations
Effective regulation
Intro
Effective regulation involves striking a balance between competing policy goals
Excessive regulation can increase costs, reduce investment, discourage new market entrants and ultimately lower economic growth
On the other hand, excessive deregulation (or inadequate regulation) can lead to market failure (such as a lack of competition) and economic instability
Australia is less regulated than most other advanced economies, yet many aspects of business activity are regulated e.g.
Environmental regulation plays a significant role in the agricultural and mining industries
Construction, energy and transport have comprehensive safety regimes
Pricing and investment decisions are overseen by regulators in industries such as electricity, gas, water, postal services and telecommunications
Although Australia has undergone extensive deregulation, changes in technology and business models requires ongoing changes to industry regulation e.g. cryptocurrencies and AI products
Reforms of PTEs
Reforms to PTEs
Micro policies have promoted efficiency in public trading enterprises (PTE’s) through two main approaches: corporatisation and privatisation
Corporatisation
Corporatisation aims to encourage PTEs to operate independently from the government, as if they are private business enterprises
This involves eliminating political and bureaucratic supervision and making public enterprise managers accountable for enterprise performance
E.g. Australia Post, Energy Australia and the Sydney Water Corporation
Privatisation
Selling off PTEs so that they do in fact become private enterprises, either in whole or in part
E.g. Medibank Private, electricity poles and wires (sale helped Sydney Metro Northwest and City lines)
Raising one-off revenues, increasing competition, encouraging more rational management and pricing behaviour, and forcing businesses to become more efficient
However, new PTEs NBN and Snowy Hydro Limited highlight how governments use these companies to invest in important infrastructure that may not otherwise be built due to large upfront costs
Competition policies
Competition policy
Competition policy aims to promote competition in markets so that firms increase efficiency and lower prices for consumers
The Commonwealth and state government of Australia agreed to implement the National Competition Policy in 1995
This policy was designed to encourage microeconomic reform in sectors of the economy where they operated monopolies, such as electricity, gas, water and rail and road transport
Governments also agreed to remove special provisions that gave publicly owned enterprises an advantage over private sector competitors (competitive neutrality principle)
The national competition watchdog, the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) was also established (the ACCC enforces Australia’s competition laws)
An important aspect of these reforms was the establishment of a national regime to regulate the cost of access to infrastructure
Where businesses own a monopoly infrastructure asset
E.g. an airport, rail line or telecommunications network)
Required to give competitors access to that network at a reasonable price
Workable competition
Mean that in order to achieve international competitiveness, it may be necessary to
reduce the number of firms in an industry e.g. acquisitions and merges
Those remaining firms can then operate on a larger scale and achieve the lowest possible long-run average costs of production

Business practices outlawed by the Competition and Consumer Act
Predatory pricing
When a firm uses its dominant market position to eliminate competition
Reducing its prices to such a low level that other firms cannot compete
Restricting access to an essential input
When a firm refuses another firm access to an input that cannot be substituted for something else
For the purposes of preventing or eliminating competition
Exclusive dealing
When a firm sets conditions for supply that exclude retailers from dealing with other competitors
Collusion and market sharing
When firms get together to fix prices or agree on a market sharing arrangement
Reduces effective competition between firms
Future and overall impacts of microeconomic reforms
Future of microeconomic reform
From the mid-1980s to the early 2000s extensive microeconomic reforms dramatically changed industries in Australia
Fewer reforms have been achieved in the past two decades, as the policy focus has shifted more towards macroeconomic concerns
A key focus of the reform agenda in more recent years has been better coordination between the Commonwealth and state governments
In 2024, the Albanese Government tasked the Productivity Commission with five new inquiries focused on identifying ways to boost Australia’s productivity growth e.g. prior learning recognition, pharmacists deliver broader care
Overall impacts
Micro reform has always been associated with shorter-term costs and long-term benefits

Higher productivity growth from microeconomic policies has contributed to an increase in economic output and lower unemployment (higher living standards)
Australia’s productivity growth over the past decade has been weak, particularly since the COVID-19 pandemic
Improvements in Australia’s living standards are expected to slow in coming decades because of lower productivity growth
Annual growth in real gross national income (GNI) per person is forecast to fall
Levies create a leaky tax system where businesses can order their affairs to avoid paying them (more resources to avoid levies not for output)
A major benefit of microeconomic reform is lower inflation
From greater competitive pressures and increased supply (both of which lower cost-push inflation)
Critics
Privatisation severely damaging - selling vital assets such as ports and airports to private-sector monopolies, large increases in prices to consumers
Often benefited wealthy investors while costs have been borne unevenly by lower-income earner
Many workers are experiencing an increase in work intensity (longer hours without extra pay)
National and global context for environmental management
Intro
Environmental management policies are designed to address issues of environmental sustainability, including the preservation of natural environments, pollution and climate change, and managing the use of renewable and non-renewable resources
Like micro policies, environmental policies aim to influence the long-term behaviour of households, businesses and industries
The two main policy tools for environmental management are regulations and market-based policies to influence behaviour and reduce environmental impacts
Environmental management is guided by research bodies and by targets set by governments, and is influenced by international agreements between governments
Regulations
Intro
Environmental regulations are the traditional policy tool for achieving environmental sustainability goals
They may prohibit a person or business from doing something that causes environmental damage, such as illegally dumping waste or producing polluting chemicals
They may also specify how a good or service is produced or consumed, as with rules relating to agricultural or mining techniques
Environmental regulations can be made by local, state or federal governments, or by their agencies
Examples
New Vehicle Efficiency Standard
From 2025, incentivises car companies to supply new cars that use less fuel per kilometre
Each vehicle manufacturer has a national average CO2 target they must meet for all vehicles produced, which will gradually reduce over time to encourage fuel-efficient and low-emissions vehicles
Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation (EPBC) Act
Provides a framework for the protection and management of matters of national environmental significance
Criticised by economists as inefficient and ineffective
Environmental Protection Australia (EPA)
In 2025 the Albanese Government announced plans to change EPBC and establish EPA
An independent, transparent federal entity to manage compliance with environmental protection laws
Container deposit scheme
Market-based policies
Market-based policies
Market-based policies involve financial incentives and disincentives (such as subsidies and taxes) to influence the behaviour of households and businesses
Permit - a maximum amount of pollution that firms are allowed to produce
Aim to provide an incentive to protect environment by changing relative prices
They have been increasingly used in Australia and other economies during recent decades
Many environmental problems arise because of market failure – private producers and consumers fail to take into account the environmental costs borne by all of society
In the case of negative externalities, this results in the equilibrium price being too low and production being too high

A market-based response to this scenario would be to levy a tax or fee on production that is approximately the same as the environmental costs associated with this economic activity – moving the supply curve to the left, increasing the market price and reducing the amount consumed in the economy
Internalising the externality - make consumers and producers pay for environmental costs
Governments generally prefer taxes over subsidies
Discourage environmentally damaging activities
Raise government revenue that can be used for other environmental programs
Subsidies
Grants provided by the government to producers with the aim of reducing costs of production and promoting environmentally beneficial activities
Generate economic activity which otherwise would not have occurred
E.g. Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA)
Provides funding for research and development
Large-scale renewable energy projects
Solar Sunshot program 2024
Targets
Targets
Australia’s most important long-term policy target relates to the reduction of Australia’s carbon emissions
In 2022, the Albanese Government legislated two emissions targets: a 43% reduction on 2005 levels by 2030, and a reduction to net zero emissions by 2050
Another target (not formally legislated) is an 82% renewable energy in the electricity grid by 2030
International agreements
International agreements
For environmental management policies to be effective, collective action in the form of international cooperation is often required, as individual nations cannot successfully address global environmental problems on their own
Individual nations are also often reluctant to impose strict environmental management policies on their own economy if other nations are not willing to do the same (costs, internationally competitiveness)
Depletion of ozone layer
Emission of chlorofluorocarbons into the atmosphere from industry refrigeration units and aerosols
Montreal Protocol committed members to phasing out the production of ozone-depleting products by 2000
The ozone layer should recover to pre-1980 levels between 2050 and 2065
Tragedy of the commons - overuse of common international resources
United Nations Fish Stocks Agreement
Australia is a signatory
Ensure the long-term conservation and sustainable use of highly migratory fish stocks
Protect the seas and oceans outside country boundaries
Supported by Australia alongside 90 other countries
Will establish Marine Protected Areas (MPAs)

Example - climate change - international agreement, targets, market-based policies, regulations
Climate change
Intro
Decarbonising economies (reduce carbon emissions) regarded as the greatest economic reform challenge in 2020s
Disrupts economic output e.g. extreme weather, higher insurance costs, property damage
Despite widespread agreement on the seriousness of the threats from climate change, it has been very difficult for governments around the world to agree on how to respond and who should bear the costs of structural changes
International agreements
The Kyoto Protocol
1997, 160 nations
Required industrialised countries to set internationally binding emission reduction targets to limit carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases
Reflected the difficulty in climate change negotiations of achieving a compromise between the interests of high-income and developing countries (economic growth comes with emissions)
The Paris Agreement
2020, included developing nation e.g. China and India
Mechanisms for transparency and monitoring progress
Its weakness is that individual countries set their own targets for emissions reduction, known as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)
Under the agreement, countries update their NDCs every 5 years
Targets
2020 target
Reducing carbon emissions by 5% on 2000 levels
Criticised for being too low
While Australia met the target, it was only made possible due to a number of technical and temporary factors e.g. slower rate of growth
2030 target
43%
The Albanese Government committed in 2025 to the goal of 82% of Australia’s energy being generated by renewables by 2030
2050 target
Net zero
Net Zero Economy Authority
Market-based policies
Carbon pricing scheme 2012
Put a price on each tonne of CO2 emitted
Gives financial incentives to switch to cheaper, lower-emission processes
Abolished in 2014
Emissions trading scheme ETS
Issued permits or buy permits
Trading permits puts a price on the emission of greenhouse gases, incorporates social costs into price mechanism
Baseline and credit scheme
Safeguard mechanism - a baseline level of emissions top polluters cannot exceed
Regulations
In 2007 Australia banned older-style incandescent light bulbs, replacing them with more energy-efficient options such as fluorescent and LED bulbs
In 2010, planning laws in several states were changed to require newly constructed
homes to comply with six-star energy ratings involving improved insulation, water recycling and other features
Reporting requirements from 2024–25 for large businesses and financial institutions to disclose their carbon emissions and information related to
climate-related risks, including risk management strategies and targets
From 2024, the installation of natural gas connections was banned for new residential dwellings
Labour market policies
Intro
Involves governments influencing the process or outcomes of wage determination
Governments intervene in labour markets for several reasons, including:
Achieving macroeconomic objectives such as low inflation and macroeconomic stability (since wage growth is a major influence on inflation)
Achieving microeconomic objectives such as increasing productivity, expanding workforce participation, improving competitiveness for Australian businesses and resolving workplace disputes
Achieving objectives relating to the distribution of income and wealth, such as ensuring that fair minimum standards apply to all employees (since wages are the main source of income for most households)
In Australia, the government has historically played an important role in wage determination, either directly or through independent industrial courts and tribunals
Role of national and state systems
Traditionally
Australia has traditionally regulated its labour market through a mix of federal and state laws, with significant overlaps between the different systems
This is because the Australian Constitution does not give the Commonwealth Government the power to directly legislate over the labour market
Instead, it only gives them the power to resolves industrial disputes that cross state boundaries
Called industrial relations, workplace relations
Industrial relations systems (6 state + 1 federal)
Industrial awards
In the past, very inefficient as employers whose workforces spanned multiple states needed to comply with different state systems as well as the federal system
Workplace relations system
A national workplace relations system
Adopted through the Fair Work Act (2009) to replace the inefficiency of six different state systems plus the federal system
The national system is overseen by the Fair Work Commission (FWC)
The national system for determining
Intro
Australia’s national wage determination system is set out in the Fair Work Act (2009) and covers around 70% of working Australians
There are four means of determining pay and conditions for employees within this national system
Awards and collective agreements (enterprise agreement) - formal system
Individual contracts (common law contracts) and working business owners - informal system

Around 30% of Australian workers are outside the national wage determination system, in two main groups
Individuals whose conditions are unregulated (17 per cent of Australian workers),
divided evenly between independent contractors and other business operators
Individuals regulated by a state workplace relations system (12 per cent), almost all of whom are state public sector employees
Minimum employment standards
Minimum employment standards
Australian employees are protected by a set of legally guaranteed employment conditions, known as the National Employment Standards NES
Provisions
Maximum weekly hours of work - FT 38 ordinary hours per week plus reasonable additional hours of work
Right to request flexible working arrangements e.g. parents or carers, over 55 years, disability, domestic violence, and pregnant women (employers can only refuse on reasonable business grounds)
Leave - paid annual, sick and compassionate and family and domestic violence leave, public holidays, unpaid parental, community service and long service leave
Casual conversion - excluding small business, for more than 12 months must be offered the option to convert to full-time or part-time permanent employment
Changes from 2023 to 2025
Expanded to include provisions relating to Super, up to 10 days paid leave for DM victims
Minimum employment standards include gig economy workers
Right to disconnect - giving employees the right to refuse to respond to contact from their employer outside of their working hours
Minimum wage
Minimum wage
The national minimum wage provides a safety net for any employee not covered by an award
The Fair Work Commission conducts an Annual Wage Review to set minimum wages
Take effect from 1 July each year
As of 1 July 2026, the National Minimum Wage is $26.44 per hour or $1004.90 per week
While the 2025 decision increased real wages, the Commission kept the rise modest given low productivity growth and employers’ capacity to pay