ap gov quiz polling and ideology

Tracking Poll

'horse race,’ that sees how people view candidate

Benchmark Poll

Sees what candidate's opinions may be

Entrance/Exit Poll

Before/after voting to track results before they come out

Approval rating poll and impact on incumbency

High approval rating = higher chance of reelection; low approval rating = lower chance of reelection

Framing

How a question is said, with possible bias. 'legalize abortion?' vs 'legalize murdering babies?'

Examples of differences between accurate and inaccurate polls

Size of poll, framing of question, bias in polling

The issue in the reading used to exemplify the concept of framing

Abortion

Random Sample

Universe used is totally random and unbiased

Representative Sample

Population represents demographics of the area

Weighting/Stratification

Making sure demographic groups are properly represented

The relationship between sampling size and margin of error

Larger sample, smaller error

Universe

Group of people meant to represent a large group in question; needs 1500+ respondents

Push poll

Pushes people in a certain direction when polling them

Political Ideology

Set of beliefs

Political Spectrum

A variety of beliefs: conservative, liberal, moderate, populist, libertarian

Saliency

Importance

Wedge issues

Issues that are controversial and split public opinion. ex: abortion, gun rights

Valence issues

Policies/issues viewed the same way by a variety of groups

Political Socialization

How you get your beliefs. Mainly family