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Pseudo Cold War crises: 1956: Hungary, Suez  

Introduction

  • 1956 Pseudo Crisis: contained episodes; intra-bloc

  • Polish Crisis, Hungarian Uprising

  • Suez Crisis

  • Handling: limits of superpower rivalry + cautious CW management

Body1 - Hungarian Uprising

  • October-November 1956: spontaneous revolt - national movement

  • Demands: political pluralism, Soviet troop withdrawal, Imre Nagy

  • Warsaw Pact withdrawal neutralization = ALERT

  • Compromise? no - military intervention (re-entering BP)

  • Western? NO involvement BUT accepting immigrants

Body2 - Polish Crisis

  • June 1956: strike in Poznan; poor wages + harsh economic condition; anti-government + “bread and freedom”

  • Polish October + return of Wladyslaw Gomulka = ALARM

  • Reassurance = CONCILIATION

Body 3 - Suez Crisis

  • Gama Abdel Nasser; nationalized Suez Canal (1956, July) — before; the Franco-British company (imperative for oil trade)

  • Sevres Plan (October 22-24): France, British + Israel — November 5th invasion

  • Soviets: EMPTY missile attacks (support Egypt) — Propaganda VICTORY (defender of national independence)

  • US: Eisenhower condemned at UN + sanctions (to Britain)

  • Nesser = VICTORY —

Conclusion

  • Restraints: intra-sphere crisis (US not supporting allies)

  • ‘Crisis Management’ + MAD

  • Violence BUT not on a global conflict level

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Fundamental change in East–West relations: the first détente period, 1953–1956

Introduction

  • 1953-1956 first detente period

  • Why? death of Stalin, MAD, confrontation does NOT equal victor

  • “Compelled coexistence” — rivalry managed through diplomacy & cooperation (1953-1991)

  • Danger of MAD + hydrogen bomb

Body 1 - Soviet Change

  • Stalin DEATH (iron fist, militarization) —> peace co-existence

  • NOT abandonment of competition; strategy CHANGE = prevail through political, economic & ideological means

  • Austrian State Treaty (1955); ended occupation & ensured neutrality

  • Geneva Summit (1955): diplomatic openness

  • Reconciliation w/Yugoslavia + Warsaw Pact (1955)

  • rational Soviet leadership

  • NOT linear

Body2 - US change

  • Dwight D. Eisenhower: “New Look’ strategy containment BUT reducing costs of economic/political permanent mobilizations

  • Deterrence + selective negotiation

  • Coexistence rather than rollback = new strategy

  • controlled competition

Body3 - structural changes in blocs

  • Warsaw Pact (1955)

  • Indochina Conflict (1954); thaw of East-West communication

  • NO end in ideological rivalry BUT a stable international framework

Conclusion

  • qualitative change: structural transformation NOT a temporary phenomenon

  • acceptance of coexistence under the threat of nuclear  parity

  • rivalry & restraint

  • system of MANAGED competition

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