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Pseudo Cold War crises: 1956: Hungary, Suez
Introduction
1956 Pseudo Crisis: contained episodes; intra-bloc
Polish Crisis, Hungarian Uprising
Suez Crisis
Handling: limits of superpower rivalry + cautious CW management
Body1 - Hungarian Uprising
October-November 1956: spontaneous revolt - national movement
Demands: political pluralism, Soviet troop withdrawal, Imre Nagy
Warsaw Pact withdrawal neutralization = ALERT
Compromise? no - military intervention (re-entering BP)
Western? NO involvement BUT accepting immigrants
Body2 - Polish Crisis
June 1956: strike in Poznan; poor wages + harsh economic condition; anti-government + “bread and freedom”
Polish October + return of Wladyslaw Gomulka = ALARM
Reassurance = CONCILIATION
Body 3 - Suez Crisis
Gama Abdel Nasser; nationalized Suez Canal (1956, July) — before; the Franco-British company (imperative for oil trade)
Sevres Plan (October 22-24): France, British + Israel — November 5th invasion
Soviets: EMPTY missile attacks (support Egypt) — Propaganda VICTORY (defender of national independence)
US: Eisenhower condemned at UN + sanctions (to Britain)
Nesser = VICTORY —
Conclusion
Restraints: intra-sphere crisis (US not supporting allies)
‘Crisis Management’ + MAD
Violence BUT not on a global conflict level
Fundamental change in East–West relations: the first détente period, 1953–1956
Introduction
1953-1956 first detente period
Why? death of Stalin, MAD, confrontation does NOT equal victor
“Compelled coexistence” — rivalry managed through diplomacy & cooperation (1953-1991)
Danger of MAD + hydrogen bomb
Body 1 - Soviet Change
Stalin DEATH (iron fist, militarization) —> peace co-existence
NOT abandonment of competition; strategy CHANGE = prevail through political, economic & ideological means
Austrian State Treaty (1955); ended occupation & ensured neutrality
Geneva Summit (1955): diplomatic openness
Reconciliation w/Yugoslavia + Warsaw Pact (1955)
rational Soviet leadership
NOT linear
Body2 - US change
Dwight D. Eisenhower: “New Look’ strategy containment BUT reducing costs of economic/political permanent mobilizations
Deterrence + selective negotiation
Coexistence rather than rollback = new strategy
controlled competition
Body3 - structural changes in blocs
Warsaw Pact (1955)
Indochina Conflict (1954); thaw of East-West communication
NO end in ideological rivalry BUT a stable international framework
Conclusion
qualitative change: structural transformation NOT a temporary phenomenon
acceptance of coexistence under the threat of nuclear parity
rivalry & restraint
system of MANAGED competition
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