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Stages of conflict
differing goals, competition, blame, issue expansion, abandoned dialogue, hostility, stalemate/outburst, negotiation, settlement, peacebuilding
Conflict
the pursuit of mutually incompatible goals (non-linear)
Factors of conflict
economic, social, cultural, psychological, political
Types of conflict
interstate, intrastate, revolution, succession, resource, factional
types of violence
structural violence, direct violence, criminal violence, and gender-based violence
One-sided violence
terrorism and state violence
Instinctivism
lorenz; Destructiveness is inherited from ancestors (animals)
Ungovernable drive for aggression, which is biologically adaptive
All destructive and sadistic behavior is due to biology
Behaviorism
b.f skinner; Emotions and passions are irrelevant. It is social conditioning shapes behavior
There are no innate human traits since everything is the result of socialization
Ervin staub’s basic human needs needs (physical and psychological)
Security, effectiveness and control, positive identity, connection, comprehension of reality, autonomy
Rational choice theory of conflict
neo-classical economics (roots in machiavelli and hobbes b/c humans have an instinct for self-preservation and will to dominate)
paul collier’s greed theory
Two goals in war: greed or greivance
Paul collier said civil war is not actualyl greivance but greed
Rebel movements embed actions in greivance
Utility maximization drives wars
People only conduct civil wars if the benefits seem to outweigh the costs
Evelin g linder’s theory of emotion’s role in conflict
Key emotions in conflict: fear, anger, humiliation, guilt, hope, confidence, warmth; Successful conflict resolutiton requires using negative emotions as an instrument
Fromm’s dichotomy of aggression
benign aggression is part of human nature and defensive, but malignant aggression is part of human character and isn’t instinctive
Realist conflict theory
Opposing claims to scarce resources create ethnocentrism and antagonism between groups; Low status of subordinate group intensifies its antagonism toward the high-status group (out-group hostility)
Social identity theory
Incompatible group goals are necessary for realistic competition, but mutual intergroup comparisons are necessary and often sufficient for social competition
Individuals strive for a positive self-concept (positive distinctiveness) through favorable comparisons with out-group
sources of intrastate conflicts
Decolonization from 40s-70s led to weak, poor states - new states have a higher risk of conflict; states w/ war tend to be more homogenous
Galtung’s violence triangle
the aspects of a culture can be used to legitimize and normalize physical and structural violence via religion, ideology, language, art, science
Realism
believe the fundamental cause of war is the anarchic structure of the international system; anarchy; security dilemma; deterrence; Distribution of power; Balance of power theory; Hegemonic stability theory
Liberalism
free exchange of goods in an international market economy are the best guarantors of peace;
Democratic peace theory
Division of power imposes institutional constraints on use of force
Diversionary theory of war
war is started to divert attention from domestic issues; rooted in social identity theory and out=group hypothesis (Scapegoating)
Prospect theory of decision-making
People make decisions by assessing gains and losses, prioritizing avoidance of risk; tend to over-weigh things they already own
Reference point bias
when the status quo is the reference point, decision making is biased towards maintaining it; leaders tend to take risks to protect rather than enhance
Transnational conflict (TNC)
onflicts that cross national borders, linking local conflicts to regional or global networks; dynamic and involves states and NGOs
Identity group and conflict party-level analysis
Psychological factors are critical components at the identity group and leadership levels; Natioanlism leads to more interstate war
Third generation (1970s-80s)
Drawing from wide range of disciplines with a sound institutional base
Context: cold war with soviet takeover in afghanistan and iranian revolution
Updated overarching projects: avoiding nuclear war, removing inequalities and injustices, and achieving ecological balance
To formulate a theoretical understanding of destructive conflict at three levels
Interstate level, state, and individul
Adam curle’s theory of mediation
Mediation process: mediator facilitates communication, provides information, befriends the conflict parties, and encourages willingness to engage in negotiation
Types of mediation
Track 1 - official, state-level diplomacy using carrots or sticks
Track 2 - unofficial/citizen’s diplomacy
Third parties may act as arbiters with or without the consent of the parties
Track 3 - multi-moda
hourglass model of conflict resolution
Narrowing of political space
Conflict containment
Conflict settlement
Conflict transformation
Widening of political space
arrow of history (1991-2024)
Disintrigtaion of the soviet union in 1991 led to the new world order being announced by bush
problems:
Many critics of liberal peace
Global south’s skepticism towards western compliance with norms
Rise to power of putin and xi jinping
Russian irridentism over georgia and ukraine
Chinese military expansion in south china sea + taiwan
Chinese threat to american hegemony
Us’s disengagement from the ir tools it created
Krauthammer 2016
if you want peace, prepare for war. What is required in the face of russian and chinese determinism is defence and deterrence, not appeasement
History of nonviolent resistance
early examples from abrahamic religions
Secular nonviolence found in rome - plebs went on strike to obtain political rights
Term “nonviolence” originates from 1900s from Gandhi’s “ahimsa”
Theory of nonviolent resistance
Power is dependent on consent; if you withdraw consent you take back power
Not a single action but sustained campaigns
Case studies of nonviolent resistance
Gandhi salt march
Civil rights movement in US
Tiananmen square
Tahrir square
nonvionlent resistance
political activity that bypasses normal poltiical channels and employs noninstitutional (usually illegal) forms of action
Gene sharp’s theory of power actions
protest and persuasion; social, economic, and political non-cooperation; non-violent intervention
Phases of nv resistance
Laying groundwork
Repression
Solidarity and discipline
Political jiu-jitsu
Achieving success
Redistribution of power
Structural prevention
measures to promote capacity of societies to manage their own conflicts; proactive measures
Direct prevention
measures to head off violence when societies ability to manage their own conflicts breaks down
Nagel 2021
increases in sexual violence by rebels in peacetime are an indicator of likelihood of escalation of armed conflict
Barcelona
77% of the countries in armed conflict in 2008 had serious levels of gender inequality, sexual vioelnce against women and children
Feminist criqitue of traditional conflict resolution
Susan willett and ann tickner - gender heirarchies are socially constructed and maintained through power structures to inhibit women fro participating in policymaking
Conflict experience is gendered
Gender blindness ignores gender as constituting and being constituted by gender
Gender is a key variable in conflict, pre, during, and post
Aid is distributed and reconstruction is planned according to traditional family rules
Violent patriarchy is one of the key forms of structural vioelmce across social and political contexts
women’s roles in conflict
Victism of sexual violence
Combatants
Peace activists
Coping and surviign actors
Household heads
Employed in the formal or informal sectors
UNSCR 1325
two main ideas: women must participate equally in efforsst to maintain peace and security; women are more exposed to physical violence than men, especially in intrastate conflict