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two branches of stats
descriptive and inferential
three levels of measurement
numeric, rank order, nominal
types of numeric variables
equal interval, discrete, continuous
equal interval variable
numbers are equal amounts apart from each other
ratio scale
equal interval variable that has an absolute zero
types of frequency distributions
unimodal, bimodal, multimodal, skewed, normal
types of skewed distributions
floor v ceiling (right v left)
floor effect
piles up at bottom (skewed right, positive)
ceiling effect
piles up at top (skewed left, negative)
kurtosis
extent to which frequency distribution deviates from normal curvety
types of central tendency
mean, mode, median
variability statistics
variance and standard deviation
variance formula
sum of squares divided by number of scores
standard deviation formula
square root of variance
sum of squares
sum of ((each score minus the mean) squared)
z score
how many standard deviations a score is from the mean
normal curve standard deviation percentages
34%, 14%, 2%
population parameter symbols
mu, theta
sample statistics
M, SD
probability
expected outcomes divided by total possible outcomes
two interpretations of probability
long run frequency interpretation v subjective
addition rule of probability
when two outcomes are mutually exclusive, the chance of getting either outcome is the sum of each individual probability
multiplication rule of probability
the probability of getting both of two independent outcomes is the product of multiplying both individual probabilities
conditional probability
probability that one event will occur given that the other has already occured
steps of hypothesis testing
research v null hypothesis, comparison distribution, cutoff sample score, sample’s score, reject/ fail to reject null
null hypotheses for one v two tailed
one (mu1 > mu2), two (mu1 = mu2)nu
null hypothesis
if the research hypothesis is false, what would this look like?
comparison distribution
model of normal curve for null hypothesis based on mu,theta
standard cutoff sample scores
1.64/2.33 (one tailed) or 1.96/2.58 (two tailed)
sample score
sample’s raw score converted to z score, compared to the cutoff sample score
implications of failing to reject null
inconclusive, not statistically significant
implications of rejecting null
“supports”, not proves, statistically significant
conventional levels of significance
0.05/ 0.01
distribution of means
normal curve made up of means, more than one individual
comparison distribution features
mean is same as the population mean, standard deviation is standard error (muM, thetaM)
standard error/ SEM
square root of variance of distribution of means, which is the variance of the population divided by the number of samples
shape of distribution of means is normal if…
each sample has 30+ individuals OR the distribution of population of individuals is normal
central limit theorem
the averages of samples means has an approximately normal shape
confidence intervals
interval of what we are confident will include the true population mean
confidence limits
upper and lower values of confidence intervalst
steps for figuring out confidence interval
find standard error, find raw scores for 1.96/2.58 std above/ below the sample mean
analyzing confidence interval
if the null hypothesis mean is not included in the confidence interval, then we are 95/99% we can reject the null/ statistically significant
decision errors
errors made when interpreting the results of a study
type I error
falsely rejecting the null hypothesis: seeing an effect where there isn’t one, p too low, alpha
type II error
falsely failing to reject the null: not seeing a result when there truly is one, p too high, beta
effect size
standardized measure of difference between populations, cohen’s d
effect size formula
mu1 - mu2 over theta (difference between means over standard deviation)
cohen’s d conventions
0.2 small, 0.5 medium, 0.8 large
meta analysis
combining effect sizes from different studies to compare (smaller the range the bigger effect size)
properties of measurement from least to most
identity, magnitude, equal interval, true zero
scales of measurement
nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio
reification of a construct
mistaking a CONSTRUCT for a FACT
construct
idea that is used as assumption as if it is real
inductive reasoning
particular instances to general knowledge
deductive reasoning
general to particular
levels of constraint
naturalistic, case study, correlational, differential, experiment
precision v relevance problem
as we go up in precision/ levels of constraint, the relevance of our studies become less applicable to real life
operational definition
the working definition of how a variable is measured
convergent validity
multiple lines of reasoning draw to the same conclusion
social desirability bias
urge to be “social desirable” biases participants to answer in a certain way, giving inaccurate results
interrater reliability
participants agree with each other
test retest reliability
one individual gets the same results multiple times
internal consistency reliability
several different observations made create the same score
effective range
measurements can be understood well on this scale
scale attenuation effects
restricting range of scale can lead to misinterpreted results, ceiling effect/ floor effect
criterion related validity
validity established by correlating measures with one or more criterion measures
predictive validity
how well something can predict a future event
concurrent validity
how well a instrument/ measure correlates to another instrument/ measure
margin of error (MOE)
maximum difference between sample mean and population mean, 1.96 std
features of a boxplot
75-25th percentile scores, whiskers are max and min, line is median, symbol is mean, circles are outliers
reliability v validity
consistent scores v accurate scores; you can have reliability without validity, but not vice versa
theory
must be testable/ falsifiable
generalizability
how well you can generalize the results of a study to a general population
unobtrusive observer
researcher conducting study without participant knowing by blending into background
participant observer
researcher is a part of the study and influences the environment
measurement reactivity
participants reacting differently to study because they know they are being studied
coding
method of organizing behavior into predetermined codes
experimenter reactivity
experimenter affecting results of the study inadvertently
experimenter bias/ expectancy
experimenter interpreting data/ results of the study differently due to bias
correlational research
studying the relationship between two variables
differential research
comparing two or more groups that differ on preexisting variables
cross sectional studies
studies that take data from groups that are different ages, liable to cohort effect
cohort effect
people from the same cohort/ age group are likely to have similar reactions to certain stimulus due to age, confounding variable that is solved by longitudinal studies
confounding variable
varies similarly to the independent variable and manipulates dependent variable despite experimenter’s direct control
artifact
result of confounding variable
moderator variable
variable that affects relationship between other variables
when is a t test used
when we know the population mean, but not the population variance
degree of freedom
n-1, unbiases sample set
t score formula
T = (M - mu) / Sm
troubling trio
low statistical power, surprising finding, p value under 0.05
repeated measures designs
research method where a person is tested more than one, within subjects design
t test for dependent means
two scores for each person and population variance unknown
difference scores
difference between person’s score on one testing versus another testing
population mean for t test for dependent means
zero— assume that the populations are the same/ no effect
assumptions for t test for single sample and dependent means
normal population, robustness, not skewed
robustness
extent to which hypothesis testing procedure is relatively accurate regardless of assumptions being violated
power
probability that the study will give a statistically significant result IF THE RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS IS TRUE
difference between power and alpha
power- if research hypothesis true, alpha- if null hypothesis true
free random assignment
assigning randomly, assignment of one participant doesn’t affect the assignment of another
randomizing within blocks
use blocks for participants, and fill up each condition before adding more participants