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Potential Workers
Civilian non institutional population- everyone except children under 16, active military, institutionalized persons
Employed
Have a paid full time or part time job
Unemployed
No job, but are available for work and have looked for a job in the past 4 weeks
Labor Force
Unemployed +employed
Not in labor force
Persons without paid job and not actively searching for one
Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR)
100%*(LF/PW)
Employment Population Ratio (EPR)
100%*(employed/PW)
Employment Rate (ER)
100%*(Employed/LF)
Unemployment Rate (UR)
100%*(unemployment/LF)
counterfactual
calculating unemployment rate with the same labor force as a year before
labor market
where the equilibrium real wage and quantity of labor are determined
demand for labor
determined by firms that want to maximize profits
supply of labor
determined by workers who want to maximize utility
Labor Demand
firms seek to maximize profits
Price Taking firms
perfectly competitive firm cannot influence prices of outputs or inputs
Marginal Benefit
value of the output produced by the last unit of labor
Marginal product of labor
increase in revenue resulting from hiring an additional worker
marginal cost
the cost to the firm of an additional unit of labor (market wage, w)
VMPl =
w = P*MPl = change in total revenue/change in Labor
Labor Demand Curve
depicts the relationship between the quantity of labor demanded and the wage, it is the VMPl
Labor demand curve shifts when there is a change in:
1. output price of the good or service
2. demand for the good or service
3. Tech progress and high productivity
4. Input prices of capital and land
culture hypothesis
societal values are responsible for differences in prosperity
return-to-entrepreneurship curve
shows the number of entrepreneurs with at least a particular level of returns
Frictional Unemployment
job seekers who have coordination problems being matched to the job openings, workers must undertake time consuming job search, arises because workers and firms have imperfect information about each other
Structural unemployement
wage is stuck above the market-clearing rate, there is wage rigidity, results from a persistent gap between the quantity of labor supplied and the quantity of labor demanded
Wage rigidity
caused by minimum wage laws, labor unions, and firms paying higher wages to increase worker productivity
Downward Wage Rigidity
most firms would rather fire some workers than cut wages
Cyclical Unemployment
relates to cyclical trends in growth and production in business cycle
Natural Rate of Unemployment
Difference between the current unemployment rate and its long term average, result of businesses not having enough demand for labor to employ all those who are looking for work
Debtors or borrowers
Economic agents such as entrepreneurs, businesses, home buyers, college students, who borrow funds
Credit
The amount of loans the debtor receives
Interest Rate
The additional payment, above and beyond the principal (loan amount) that a borrower makes on a $1 loan
Nominal Interest Rate
The annual cost of $1 loan, total interest payments = i x $L
Real Interest Rate
the annual real or inflation adjusted cost of a $1 loan, accounts for the decline in the value of one dollar because of the increase in the overall price level, given by r = i - pi (real interest rate= nominal interest rate - rate of inflation)
Quantity of credit demanded
The amount of loans that borrowers are willing to borrow at a given real interest rate
Credit demand schedule
a table that reports the quantity of credit demanded at different real interest rates holding all else equal
Credit demand curve
A curve that plots the quantity of credit demanded at different real interest rates
Why does the credit demand curve slope downward?
An increase in the real interest rate will raise the cost of borrowing. As a result, profits will be lower which in turn will decrease the number of potential borrowers
Credit demand curve shifts with changes in any of the following:
1. Perceived business oportunities for firms
2. Household preferences or expectations
3. Government Policy
Quantity of credit supplied
the amount of funds that people and firms save at a given real interest rate
Credit Supply Schedule
A table that reports the quantity of credit supplied at different real interest rates, holding all else equal
Credit supply curve
A curve that plots the quantity of credit supplied at different real interest rates
Credit supply curve shifts with changes in:
1. Changes in the saving motives of households because of expectations about the future or demographic changes
2. Changes in saving motives of firms: retained earnings
Balance sheet
records the assets and liabilities of a company, like a bank
Asset
is something owned by a bank, if asset is sold, the payment goes to bank
liability
something owed to another institution, if a liability is sold, the payment comes from the bank
Assets of a bank
Bank reserves (vault cash and holdings on deposit at Federal Reserve bank), Cash Equivalents (riskless, liquid assets that a bank can immediately access), and Long Term Investments (loans to households and firms and the value of the bank's properties)
Liabilities of a Bank
Demand deposits (funds that depositors can access on demand), Short Term borrowing (consists of loans from other financial institutions that are short in duration), Long term Debt ( debt that is due to be repaid in one year or more), Stockholders equity (difference between a banks total assets and total liabilities, equal to estimated value of company)
Total Assets=
Total Liabilities + Stockholders Equity
Banks perform 3 interrelated functions
1. Identify profitable lending opportunities
2. Transform short term liabilities into long term investments (maturity transformation)
3. Manage risk through diversification
Maturity
The time until a debt must be repaid
Banks manage risk by:
a) holding a diversified portfolio
b) transferring risk to stock holders and ultimately to the US government during a severe financial crisis
Money
an asset that people use to make and receive payments when buying and selling goods and services
medium of exchange
something that can be traded for goods and service, thereby facilitating trade
store of value
an asset that enables people to transfer purchasing power into the future
unit of account
universal yardstick that is used to express relative prices of goods and services
Fiat Money
an asset that is used as legal tender by government decree and is not backed by a physical commodity like gold
Money Supply
(M2) currency in circulation and checking accounts and savings accounts and travelers checks and most other types of bank accounts
Velocity
circulation rate of money, nomical GDP/ Money supply
Nominal GDP
total value of production using prices from the same year as the output was produced
Real GDP
total value of production using fixed prices taken from a particular base year
Growth rate of nominal GDP
growth rate of real GDP + GR of prices = GR of Real GDP and Inflation rate.
The Quantity Theory of Money
assumes that the ratio of money to GDP is constant
Inflation
situation of rising prices, equal to the gap between the growth rate of money supply and the growth rate of GDP
Deflation
situation of falling prices (negative inflation)
Hyperinflation
situation of extreme inflation where prices double within 3 years
Inflation rate=
GR of money supply-GR of real GDP
Relative Prices
real wage and real interest rate, can change, creates winners and losers
social benefits of inflation
1. generating gov revenue from printing currency
2. sometimes stimulating economy (fall in the real wage increases the firms willingness to employ, increases in the price of output shifts the labor demand to the right
social costs of inflation
1. inflation tax: decline in value of cash holdings due to inflation
2. Raising logisitcal costs: frequent price changes
3. Distorting relative prices
Deflation costs
1. high real interest rates that can't be offset by lowering the nominal interest rate
2. real burden of debt which is fixed in nominal terms rises when prices fall
What caused the German Hyperinflation of 1922-1923?
the German gov could not make reparation payments to the Allies after WWI, the gov started to print more and more currency to pay bills
Central Bank is gov institution that:
-monitors financial institutions
-controls certain key interest rates
-indirectly controls the money supply
-enforces monetary policy
Fed has 3 parts:
1. 12 fed reserves banks
2. 7 member board of Gov in DC
3. 12 member fed Open Market Committee
Fed two goals
1. low and predictable levels of inflations
2. maximum (sustainable) levels of employment
Fed does 3 things:
1. Influence short term interest rates (esp Fed Funds Rate)
2. influences the money supply and inflation rate
3. influences long-term real interest rates
Bank Reserves
provide liquidity, combo of deposits that private banks hold at central bank and cash in their vaults
Fed Funds Market
market where banks borrow and lend reserves to each other
Fed Funds Rate
overnight interest rate charged in this market
Demand curve for reserves shifts when:
1. economic expansion/contraction
2. Changing liquidity needs
3. Changing deposit base
4. Changing reserve requirement
5. Changing interest paid by Fed for deposits at Fed
Supply curve for reserves
vertical because Fed supplies not to earn economic profit but to pursue monetary policy
Open Market Purchase
Fed buys gov bonds from private banks and in return gives the private banks more reserves
Open Market Sale
Fed sells gov bonds to private banks and in return the private banks give some of their reserves
2 strategies to maintain policy
1. keep reserves fixed even when demand curve shifts and allow fed funds rate to fluctuate
2. supply more or less reserves to keep the fed funds rate constant (followed for 30 years)