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bad conditional reasoning
mistakes something that is necessary to bring about a situation for something that in itself is enough to bring about that situation
bad conditional reasoning loophole
What if we actually have to follow the rules of conditional reasoning?
bad causal reasoning
mistakes the cause of a particular phenomenon for the effect of that phenomenon
bad causal reasoning loophole
What if one of the Omitted Options is the case?
whole-to-part
when someone says that what is true of something as whole, must also be true of each of its parts
whole-to-part loophole
What if wholes don't necessarily equal parts?
part-to-whole
when someone tries to say that what is true of part of something must also be true of the whole thing together
part-to-whole loophole
What if parts don't necessarily equal wholes?
overgeneralization
taking a premise about one thing and generalizing it to many other things
overgeneralization loophole
What if we can't generalize from this one thing to a bunch of other things?
survey problems
uses evidence drawn from a small sample that may well be unrepresentative
survey problems loophole
What if the sample was biased, the questions were biased, there are other contradictory surveys, people lie on surveys, or the sample is too small?
false starts
assumes that the two groups are same in all respects except the ones called out as part of the study
false starts loophole
What if the two groups were different in a key respect?
possibility =/= certainty
confuses an absence of evidence for a hypothesis with the existence of evidence against the hypothesis/confuses a existence of evidence for a hypothesis with the absence of evidence against the hypothesis
possibility =/= certainty loophole
What if lack of evidence =/= evidence of lacking?
What if proof of evidence =/= evidence of proof?
implication
combines opinion and fact - someone believes something, there's a fact about the belief, they must believe that fact as well
implication loophole
What if the person in question isn't aware of what their belief implies?
false dichotomy
Consists of a consideration of only the two extremes when there are one or more intermediate possibilities
false dichotomy loophole
What if there are more than just two options?
straw man
A fallacy that occurs when a speaker chooses a deliberately poor or oversimplified example in order to ridicule and refute an idea
straw man loophole
What if what they said has nothing to do with the claim they're pretending to respond to?
ad hominem
An argument based on the failings of an adversary rather than on the merits of the case; a logical fallacy that involves a personal attack.
ad hominem loophole
What if this person's character/motivation doesn't affect the truth?
circular reasoning
assuming your claim is already proven, and then using the "proven" claim to support itself
circular reasoning loophole
What if we can't use the conclusion as evidence for itself?
equivocation
changing the definition of a term in the middle of an argument
equivocation loophole
What if we shouldn't let words change in meaning?
appeal fallacies
invalid appeal to authority/invalid appeal to public opinion
appeal fallacies loophole
What if this opinion doesn't equal evidence of fact?
irrelevant
premise is entirely unrelated to the conclusion
irrelevant loophole
What if the premises and conclusion have nothing to do with each other?
percents =/= numbers
rising # = rising %
percents =/= numbers loophole
What if group size doesn't stay the same?
C in CLIR
controversy, corresponds with debate
L in CLIR
loophole, corresponds with argument
I in CLIR
inference, corresponds with premise set
R in CLIR
resolution, corresponds with paradox
Debate
two people speaking
Argument
conclusion supported by premises
Premise Set
no conclusion, premises do not contradict
paradox
no conclusion, premises contradict
weaken
find the most powerful answer that points to a weakness exposed by the loophole
strengthen
find the most powerful answer that patches the hole exposed by the loophole
sufficient assumption
powerful answer that completely remedies the hole the loophole exposes
counter
attack the loophole in the second argument through the mindset of the first speaker
contradiction
choose the contradictory answer
evaluate
find something that asks if the loophole is true
resolution
make the paradox make sense
conclusion
the argument's main conclusion
inference
what you can definitely prove to be true
most strongly support
95-100% true
fill in
prove what completes the thought
controversy
what the two speakers disagree over
agreement
what the two speakers agree about
necessary assumption
a provable description of what must be true if the conclusion is true
method
a provable description of what happened in the stimulus
argument part
a provable description of what the phrase is doing in the argument
classic flaw
a provable description of what the argument did wrong
loophole flaw
a provable description of how the argument overlooked your Loophole
best way
Red flag: literally uses the words "best way" or a Best Way keyword.
important
Red flag: identifies something as 'important' or an important key word
crazy nonsense
Red flag: has nothing to do with anything in the stimulus
grouped extreme
Red flag: centers on the most extreme part of the group in the stimulus
almost
Red flag: right except for one word or phrase wrong
opposite claim
Red flag: centers on the opposite of the argument's conclusion
dormant conditionals
Red flag: never activated by the premise in the stimulus
comparatives and absolutes
Mismatches comparatives and absolutes between the stimulus and the answer choices
strong answer
Powerful: contain bold language and certainty power players
stepladder
Powerful: outlines a directly proportional relationship between two things
powerful conditionals
Powerful: a conditional that connects premises to the conclusion or other premises
grouped opposite
Powerful: centers on the opposite of the group discussed in the stimulus.
weak answers
Provable: contains flexible language and possibility power players
provable conditionals
Provable: a conditional that reads a chain from the stimulus or states a necessary assumption
certainty power players
Must, cannot (powerful)
possibility power players
Could, not necessarily (provable)
dangling variables
New words that appear in the conclusion and not in the premises.
secret value judgments
The author just can't assume a convenient definition of loaded words in their conclusion without identifying those words in the premises.
secret downsides
The author compares two things and says one of them is superior without giving you the full story.
assumed universal goals
Things that the author assumes that everyone would want.
omitted options
1. What if there's no relationship here at all?
2. What if the causation is backwards?
3. What if a new factor caused one or both of these things?
Designing Loopholes
• Translate stimulus.
• Identify your conclusion.
• Say, "What if...[why maybe not true]"
• Check answers for answer matching predicted Loophole.
Designing Inferences
• Translate stimulus.
• Find the interlocking point(s).
• Predict a basic, safe conclusion which relies on the exact wording of the stimulus.
a. If the premise set is conditional, chain the statements together for the automatic Inference.
• Check answers for answer matching predicted Inference.
Designing Controversies
• Controversy: Disagreement over whether something (Controversy) is true.
• Translate stimulus.
• Take an inference from the second speaker's statements.
a. Add up the second speaker's premises (and conclusion, if there is one) to connect them to the first speaker. This is your Second Speaker Inference (SSI).
b. The goal is to finish the second speaker's point. Make it explicit. Try putting "therefore" before the conclusion.
• Stick a "whether" in front of your SSI and smooth out the language.
• Check answers for answer matching predicted Controversy.
• Focus on what the second speaker is saying. They are doing the disagreeing.
• Make it specific.
• Don't assume the second speaker is always disagreeing with the first speaker's conclusion.
• Always use the background information from the first speaker for your SSI.
Designing Resolutions
• Designed in response to a paradox.
• Translate stimulus.
• What would make this all make sense? Even if the Resolution is powerful. It just has to make sense.
• Split up the two contradictory premises and put a Resolution in the middle.
a. PREMISE 1, but RESOLUTION, so PREMISE 2.
• Fill in the Resolution with something that makes PREMISE 1 naturally lead to PREMISE 2.
• You don't have to prove a Valid Argument; it just has to make sense.
List all the Powerful question types
● Strengthen
● Weaken
● Sufficient Assumption
● Counter
● Contradiction
● Evaluate
● Resolution
List all the Powerful answer words
● all
● every
● none
● never
● only
● required
● every time
● always
What in CLIR is Powerful?
● Loophole
● Resolution
List the Provable question types
● Conclusion
● Inference
● Most Strongly Supported
● Fill In
● Controversy
● Agreement
● Necessary Assumption
● Method
● Argument Part
● Classic Flaw
● Loophole Flaw
● Principle Conform
● Parallel Reasoning
● Parallel Flaw
List the Provable answer words
● could
● usually
● can
● possible
● (at least) some
● not necessarily
● (at least) one
● possibly
● tend to
● sometimes
● not all
● may
● varies
What in CLIR is Provable?
● Inference
● Controversy
Strengthen key words
which of the following, if true
strengthen
most helps to +justify/strengthen/support
Weaken key words
Which of the following, if true
weaken
most undermines the conclusion
most vulnerable
count as evidence against
calls into question
Sufficient assumption key words
which of the following, if true/ assumed
enable the conclusion to be properly drawn/justify the conclusion
the conclusion follows logically if
Counter key words
which one of the following, if true
counter
in response to
Contradiction key words
if the statements above are true
must be false
cannot be true
violate the principle
could be true EXCEPT
Evaluate key words
the answer to which of the following questions
which of the following, if true
evaluate + the argument/ the conclusion
most helpful to know/ relevant to evaluating
Resolution key words
which one of the following, if true
most helps to + explain/ resolve/ account for
discrepancy / paradox/ conflict/ surprising result
Conclusion key words
main point
main conclusion
Inference key words
if the statement above is true/ from the statements above
must be true/ follows logically
inference
properly inferred/ properly be concluded/ properly drawn