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Consumer price index
CPI- overall cost of goods/services bought by a consumer
Core CPI
overall cost of consumer goods/services excluding food/energy
Producer price index
PPI- cost of a basket of goods and services sold by domestic firms
How is CPI calculated?
BLS surveys consumers to find what goods/services they buy (basket)
BLS finds data on the prices of these goods
Use prices to compute total cost
Choose a base year
CPI formula
basket cost in current year/basket cost in base year x 100
CPI inflation rate formula
(CPI this year - CPI last year)/CPI last year x 100
3 problems with CPI
substitution bias, introduction of new goods, unmeasured quality change
Substitution bias
Over time, prices of some goods increase faster than others, so consumers substitute cheaper goods. Since the CPI has a fixed basket of goods, it doesn’t account for these changes and thus overstates inflation
Introduction of new goods
When there is increased variety of goods, the value of a dollar increases. CPI misses this (with its fixed basket of goods) and overstates the cost of living
Unmeasured quality changes
An increase in the quality of a good increases the value of a dollar. It is difficult for the BLS to account for these changes in quality
Are imported consumer goods part of GDP or CPI?
CPI (not GDP)
Are capital goods (investments) part of GDP or CPI?
GDP (not CPI)
Main difference between GDP and CPI
CPI- fixed basket, the prices of all things bought by consumers
GDP- not fixed basket, the prices of all things produced domestically
Converting dollar figures from different time periods formula
Amount in today’s dollars= amount in year T x (CPI today/CPI in year T)
Indexation
automatic correction to salary of a dollar amount for effects of inflation
What does indexation look like?
An increase in CPI can lead to changes in the COLA in many multi year labor contracts OR adjustments in social security payments and federal income tax brackets
COLA
cost of living allowance
Nominal interest rate
interest rate not corrected for inflation- it measures the rate of growth in dollar value of a deposit or debt
Real interest rate
corrected for inflation- rate of growth in the purchasing power of a deposit or debt
Real interest rate formula
Real interest rate= nominal interest rate - inflation rate