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Define biostatistics
When statistics are used to understand the effects of a drug or medical procedure on people and animals
What are the steps to journal publication? (FYI)
1. Begin with a research question
2. Design study
3. Enroll subjects
4. Collect the Data
5. Analyze the data
6. Publish
What are the two types of data?
Continuous and Discrete/Categorical
Define Continuous data
Data is provided by some type of measure which has unlimited options (theoretically) of continuous values
Define Discrete/Categorical Data
Data fits into a limited number of categories
What are the 2 types of continuous data?
Ratio and Interval
What are the 2 types of discrete data?
nominal and ordinal
Define ratio data
A type of continuous data where 0 means none
Define interval data
A type of continuous data where 0 does not mean none
Define nominal data
A type of categorical data where the order of the categories does not matter
Define ordinal data
A type of categorical data where the order of the categories does matter
What are examples of ratio data?
age, height, weight, time, blood pressure, HR (0 HR is cardiac arrest)
What are examples of interval data?
temperature scales (F and C)
Ex. 0 degrees is a temperature
What are examples of nominal data?
gender, ethnicity, marital status, mortality
What are examples of ordinal data?
NYHA Functional Class I-IV
0-10 pain scale
What is mean?
Average
Add up sum and divide by total
What is median?
Middle number when arranged from lowest to highest
What is mode?
MOst frequently occuring number
What is range?
the difference between the highest and lowest scores in a distribution
What is standard deviation?
Indicates how spread out the data is
What is the normal distribution?
Gaussian/bell curve
What % falls within one standard deviation?
68%
What % falls within two standard deviations?
95%
What are outliers?
Extreme values
What are independent variables?
the factors being manipulated or changed in the experiment by the experimenter
What are dependent variables?
the factors being measured, the results we are examining affected by the independent variables
What is needed to show significance?
Show the null hypothesis is NOT true and should be rejected
Define null hypothesis
NO statistical significant difference between groups
- we are trying to disprove this or reject it
Define alternative hypothesis
Significant difference between the groups
- we are trying to prove this
What is the alpha level?
Maximum permissable error margin
- threshold for rejecting null hypothesis
What is alpha normally set at?
0.05 or 5%
What is p value?
P = Probability
Probability that the result obtained was due to chance. Generally a P-value < 0.05 indicated statistical significance.
- If P < 0.05 that means there is a < 5% probability that the result occurred by chance.
If p value is higher than alpha value, what does this mean?
Accept null hypothesis (we dont want to do this)
If p value is lower than alpha value, what does this mean?
Reject null hypothesis (significant)
Define confidence interval
the interval in which you are confident that the mean of the entire population is within a certain range (e.g. 95%)
- significance and precision
CI equation
CI = 1 - alpha
How can we tell if something is statistically significant from confidence interval range?
If it DOES NOT cross zero
How can we tell if something is statistically significant from confidence interval of relative risk?
If it DOES NOT cross zero
What are type 1 errors?
False positives ("saying the pt has cancer when he actually doesn't")
- alternative hypothesis accepted when it is wrong and null was rejected in error
What are type 2 errors? (Beta)
False negative ("saying the pt doesn't have cancer when actually does")
- accepting a false null hypothesis
What is study power?
Probability that a test will reject the null hypothesis correctly. Used to avoid type 2 error.
Power formula
Power = 1 - beta
What is power determined by?
- outcome values
- difference in outcome rates between groups
- alpha level (significance)
If beta is 0.1, what is power?
90% power (larger sample size is needed to increase power)
Define risk
Probability of an event when an intervention such as a drug is given
Define relative risk
Ratio of risk in the exposed group (treatment) divided by the risk in the control group
- AS likely
Risk formula
R = Number of subjects in a group with an unfavorable event / total number of subjects in the group
Relative risk formula
RR = risk in treatment group / risk in control group
What does RR = 1 indicate?
NO DIFFERENCE in risk of outcome between groups
What does RR > 1 indicate?
GREATER risk in the treatment group
What does RR < 1 indicate?
LOWER risk in treatment group
Define relative risk reduction
Indicates how much the risk is reduced in the treatment group compared to the control group
- Less likely
Relative risk reduction formula
RRR = (% risk in the control group - % risk in the treatment group) / (% risk in the control group)
OR
RRR = 1 - RR
RR + RRR = ?
100%
What is absolute risk reduction?
Includes the reduction of risk AND the incidence rate of the outcome
- If ARR is not given, it could mean that the RRR is minimal but we need to compare it to general population
What is an example of absolute risk reduction?
If the risk of nausea is reduced but the risk was small to begin with, the large risk reduction has no real benefit
Absolute risk reduction formula
ARR = (% risk in control group) - (% risk in treatment group)
How is ARR interpreted?
For ARR x: for every 100 patients treated with the intervention, x fewer patients would experience the negative event
What is number needed to treat?
Number of patients who need to be treated for a certain period of time in order for ONE patient to benefit
1/ARR
What is NNT formula?
1/ (risk in control group - risk in treatment group)
OR
1/ARR
How is NNT interpreted?
If NNT is 9, for every 9 patients who receive a drug for a year, disease progression is prevented in one patient
What is number needed to harm?
Number of patients who need to be treated for a certain period of time in order for one patient to experience harm
How is NNT rounded?
UP
How is NNH rounded?
DOWN
NNH formula
NNH = 1/ARR (same as NNT)
How is NNH interpreted?
If NNH is 90, one additional event is expected to occur for every 90 patients taking drug instead of placebo
What is odds ratio?
the probability that an event will occur, versus the probability that it will not occur
Example of odds ratio
Ex: Estimates the risk of unfavorable events associated with treatment or with intervention
Odds ratio formula
OR = AD/BC
Odds ratio formula meaning
A= # that will have outcome with exposure
B = # without the outcome with exposure
C = # with outcome without exposure
D = # without outcome without exposure
What is hazard ratio?
The rate at which an unfavorable event occurs within a short period of time
Hazard ratio formula
HR = (Hazard rate in treatment group) / (Hazard rate in control group)
OR or HR =1 means
The event rate is the SAME in treatment and control, no advantage to treatment
OR or HR >1 means
The event rate in the TREATMENT group is HIGHER than control, do not use treatment
OR or HR < 1 means
The event rate in the TREATMENT group is LOWER than the control group, use treatment group
Define primary endpoint
Main result that is measured to see if the treatment had a significant benefit
Define composite endpoint
Combines multiple, individual endpoints into one measurement. Must use the composite endpoint value when assessing the composite endpoint because just adding the individual endpoints will NOT equal the same thing
When are T tests used?
When an endpoint has continuous data and is normally distributed
What is analysis of variance (ANOVA)?
F test, tests for statistical significance when using continuous data with 3 or more samples/groups
What tests are used with continuous data?
For parametric measurements
- t tests
- f tests
What tests are used with continuous data for NONparametric measurements?
- sign test
- wilcoxon signed rank test
- mann whitney
- kruskal wallis test
What tests are used for discrete/categorical data?
- Chi square
- Wilcoxon square test
- Fishers exact test
- kruskal wallis test
Describe Chi square tests
Used to determine statistical significance between treatment groups
When is a one sample t test used?
1 group
When is a dependent/paired t test used?
1 group with before and after measures
When is an independent/unpaired student t test used?
2 groups (treatment and control)
When is an ANOVA test / f test used?
3 or more groups
When is a sign test used?
1 group
Nonparametric data
When is a wilcoxon signed rank test used?
1 group (before and after measures)
Nonparametric and Discrete
When is a mann whitney test used?
2 groups (Treatment and control)
Nonparametric
When is a kruskal wallis test used?
3 or more groups
Nonparametric or discrete
Define correlation
A statistical technique that is used to determine if one variable changes, or is related to another variable
What is positive correlation?
as one variable increases, so does the other
What is negative correlation?
one variable decreases, the other does too
Define regression
Used to describe the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variable, or how much the value of the dependent variable changes when the independent variables change
What are the 3 types of regressions?
1. Linear (continuous)
2. Logistic (Categorical)
3. Cox (categorical in survival analysis)
What is sensitivity?
The true positive
Describes how efficiently a test identifies patients with the condition
What is specificity?
The true negative
Describes how effectively a test identifies patients without the condition
Sensitivity formula
Sensitivity = A/ (A+C) x 100
Specificity formula
Specificity = D/ (B+D) x 100