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medium of exchange
an item that buyers give to sellers when they want to purchase goods and services
store of value
Money that keeps its value if it is stored rather than used, can be used later, represents labor
unit of account
a measure used to set prices and make economic calculations,
types of money in history
salt, copper, peppercorns, tea, barley, cattle, gold and silver
first coins
Lydians (Turkey), 650 BC
first paper money
China, Song Dynasty, promissory notes 7th century
Judaism view on money
pragmatic, realistic, banking
Hinduism view on money
pro-wealth, against illegal + greed, banking, low interest
Christian view on money
money is seen as corruption, no usury (lending)
Islamic view on money
anti-cash interest, adapt with debt intstruments
examples of tech transforming money
internet, printing presses, telecom, transportation,
Origin of Banking
2000 BC in Assyria + Babylon, grain loans + gold deposits, storage fees
Medici Bank
1397 Italian famous bank
Oldest bank in existence
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A. (Siena, Italy) founded in 1472 [underwent a financial restructuring in 2017 to avoid liquidation; combination bail-in (bondholders) and bail-out]
Merchant Banking
bank acted as principal, not just intermediary
Private Banking
banking services for wealthy individuals and families
Central Banking
banking services for government, can lend to other banks
Oldest Central Bank
Sveriges Riksbank, 1668 Sweden, issues Noble Prize in Economics each year
Bank of England
1694, central Bank of England, created to finance wars
Glass-Steagall Act
(Banking Act of 1933) - Established the FDIC and prevented Universal Banks. Repealed in 1999, allowing banks to be Universal, established 25k deposit insurance
Glass-Steagall Repeal
Power of Deutsche Bank in 1990s, international banks were mostly Universal
Commercial Banking
take deposits and make loans, checking accounts, mortgages, consumer banking
Investment Banking
Financial activities that involve underwriting new security issues and providing advice on mergers and acquisitions, corporate finance
Universal Banking
Commercial + Investment Banking
Colonial Money
Massachusetts, fiat paper money 1690 for war, pounds, shillings, pence
British Tax Problems
Currency Acts of 1751, 1764, 1773, regulated paper currency in New England, other colonies, lessened restrictions
American Revolution
Washington + Hamilton begging Congress for money, no central bank, no American taxes, European loans for $12 million
Continentals
Paper fiat money issued by Congress to finance the revolution; overprinting/inflation brought value to 1%, $241 million issued
Robert Morris
Went bankrupt financing the American Revolution
First quasi-central bank
Bank of North America 1781, weak American finances, sold shares in US in IPO, replaced Bank of Pennsylvania
Bank of New York
BNY Mellon now, founded by Alexander Hamilton,
Hamilton Report on Credit
Assumption of state debt (mostly northern), transfer debts to federal government, national debt
First Bank of the United States
1791-1811, Created by Alexander Hamilton, the first Secretary of Treasury, owned 25% of all deposits, controversial
Alexander Hamilton
-First Secretary of the Treasury
-Leader of the Federalist Party
US Constitution
regulate interstate commerce, power to tax, regular coin money and value, no mention of banks
Aaron Burr
Jefferson's Vice President; killed Alexander Hamilton in a duel, founded the Manhattan Company, used for providing water to NYC to join banking system
Second Bank of the United States
1816-1836, President Madison, and became a depository for federal funds and a creditor for (loaning money to) state banks. blamed for the panic of 1819, corruption, used for War of 1812 funding
Jeffersonians
favored a weak central government, against central banks, 20 year charter compromise of central banks
Andrew Jackson
7th President, hated banks, removes government deposits, can't get rid of banks so settles for 20 year charter
Post-Jackson Banking
Many states had own currencies and banks, weak central government, no deposit insurance, discounted currencies
Double Liability
If bank closes, shareholders lose investment and must pay out share worth to depositors
Rise of NYC
NYSE formed (Buttonwood Agreement 1792), Erie Canal built (1821), passes Philadelphia and Boston
Civil War
Northern manufacturing economy with stronger financial infrastructure and Southern, plantation based, agriculture based (and slave based) economy
Cost of Civil War
$6.2 billion for North, $2.1 billion for South, North had more capital institutions compared to South paper cash
Jay Cooke
Raised $1.3 billion for North in bonds, major investment banker, South relied on paper currency
National Bank Acts
1863-1864, system of national banks, national currency, secondary market for treasury securities, no more state differences
Salmon Chase
passed Legal Tender Act, face on $1 bill, now $10,000, then said Act unconstitutional
Crime of 1873
cease minting silver dollars, retire Civil War-era greenbacks, and replace them with notes backed by the gold standard from an expanded system of national banks, 16oz Silver = 1oz Gold
Bland-Allison Act
1878, renewed silver dollar production
J.P. Morgan
bailed out US government during 1893 and 1907 Panic bank runs
Federal Reserve Act
1913, establishes Federal Reserve, central bank of the USA, sets interest rates, national banks in charge of regional banks, created Fed Reserve notes using gold standard, out of fear of reliance upon JP Morgan, opposite interest rate policy
Post Fed Banking
WWI helps, gradual central power, bank failures of 1920s, Great Depression, elimination of gold standard 1933, illegal to own gold
McFadden Act
1927, disallowed national banks from branching across states
Crash of 1929
October 24-29, 3 days of -10% stock market, started Great Depression, people + banks went bankrupt
American Banking Trends 1933-1999
movement from partnerships to public companies (Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch)
Bretton-Woods
1944, new international monetary system, gold standard reinstated
Richard Nixon
1971, addressed inflation issue, closed the gold window, eliminates gold standard
May Day
May 1 1975, Charles Schwab, brokerages negotiate commissions instead of fixed rates, change world forever, no more cartel
Milken and Drexel
rise of junk bonds
Nationwide branch banking
1994, banks allowed across state lines, Riegle-Neal
NASDAQ Meltdown
2000-2001, -80%
Golden Age
2001-2008, high ROE, be like Goldman, technology advances, mortgage markets up
Recession
2008-2009, S&P -56.8%, Lehman bankrupt, BOA rescues Merrill Lynch
Goldman Bailout
AIG bailed out by govt, Goldman large share, credit default swaps not securities or insurance so did not need to pay off debts, through hedging AIG
Post-Recession
Fed Power rises
Dodd-Frank Act
2010, strengthened government oversight of financial markets and placed limitations on risky financial strategies
JOBS Act
2012, to ease burden of some federal regulations
Donald Trump
More federal deregulations
Japan
1980s largest banks in world, Tokyo Stock Market peaks in 1989, real estate bubble
China
Deng Xiaoping reforms Chinese economy 1970s, joins WTO 2001, now 2nd largest economy in world, 5% economy growth for years, Hong Kong IPO volume highest, 4 largest banks by asset size
Job of IB
facilitating transfer of assets (companies + securities) from one party to another, good sense of what things are worth, advice, support for transactions
What is an Asset?
generates cash flows now
avoid spending elsewhere
generates future cash
Valuation Theory
value of any security is the net present value of its future cash flows discounted at an appropriate, risk-adjusted discount rate
Challenges to Valuation
what are the future cash flows, appropriate discount rates, look at company/industry/spending trends, document everything, due diligence, use analyst growth rates when possible, 5 year model, use good reasoning
WACC
find equity through CAPM because historical not ROE bc future, find debt through bond ratings and bank loan rates
Terminal Value
Perpetuity Approach: FCF year 6
Exit Multiple Approach: Find multiplier on net income
Enterprise Value
must be allocated to debt, hybrid, preferred, and common equity
3 primary valuation methods
DCF, Comparable Companies, Comparable Transactions
Venture Capital
Look at TAM (total addressable market), management, scalable, many rounds, multiple seed rounds with share preferences
Dividend Discount Model
PV = D1/(r-g) = D1/(1+r)^1 + D2/(1+r)^2 + PV2/(1+r)^2
Lump Sum PV
PV = FV/(1+r)^t
Perpetuity
PV = C/r
Annuity/Mortgage
PV = C/r - C/(r(1+r)^t)
Bullet Bond
PV = C/r - C/(r(1+r)^t) + FV/(1+r)^t
Zero Coupon Bond
FV/(1+r)^t
Global Markets Overview
262 total exchanges, 91 Asia, 69 Americas, 56 Europe, 38 Africa
Global Market Cap
$100 trill, production $125 trill, 0.8x rev, $25 trill NYSE
Top 10 Exchanges
NYSE, NASDAQ, Shanghai, Euronext, Hong Kong, Tokyo, London
2021 IPO Activity
Record US Year, 1k deals, 490 2020, $287 bill raised, $174 bill 2020, SPACs 60% of deals
SPAC
Special Purpose Acquisition Company, "blank check company", shell corporation listed on a stock exchange with the purpose of acquiring a private company, thus making it public without going through the traditional IPO
Direct Listing
company meets listing requirements, no capital needed, no IB, file S1 to raise $ and joins exchange (Roblox, Coinbase, Warby Parker)
Reverse Merger
private company buys a public company; it gives the private company the ability to publicly listed status quickly
Rule 4A1
cannot resell private stock after 2 years, if eligible can sell after 1 year, 6 months if not affiliated, for more mature companies, easier to sell restricted stock
Uplisting
going from OTC markets to NASDAQ or NYSE
League Table
Investment Bank rankings based on fee earning totals, usually Goldman, MS, JP Morgan, BOFA, Citi
All-time largest IPOs
Alibaba, Visa, Facebook, GM, Rivian, AT&T, Kraft, Uber