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IVanalyst - Market Price (Analyst Perceived Mispricing)
( IVanalyst - IVActual ) + ( IVActual - Market Price )
Valuation Error + Actual Mispricing
Single Period DDM V0
( D1 ÷ (1+r)1 ) + ( P1 ÷ (1+r)1 )
( (D1 + P1) ÷ (1+r)1 )
Two Period DDM V0
( D1 ÷ (1+r)1 ) + ( (D2 + P2) ÷ (1+r)2 )
Multiple Period DDM
∑ ( Dt ÷ (1+r)t ) + ( Pn ÷ (1+r)n )
Gordon Growth Model V0
( D1 ÷ ( r - g) )
Implied Growth Rate g
r - (D1 ÷ P0)
Present value of Growth Opportunities (PVGO)
P0 - (E1 ÷ r)
V using H-Model
( D0 (1 + gL) ÷ (r - gL) ) + ( D0 × H (gS - gL) ÷ (r - gL) )
H = ( no.of years ÷ 2 )
Retention Rate
( EPS − Dividends ) ÷ EPS
Sustainable Growth (g)
ROE × Retention Ratio
Fair Value Based on Stock Fundamentals V0
EPS × P/E
ROE
Net Income ÷ Equity
DuPont ROE
( NI ÷ Sales ) × (Sales ÷ Assets) × (Assets ÷ Equity)
P0/E1 Justified Leading Price to Earnings
( D1/E1 ) ÷ (r - g)
Equity Risk Premium
Dividend Yield + Growth Rate - Rf
Value of Fixed Rate Perpetual Preferred Share V0
(Par × Dividend Yield) ÷ Required Rate
Dupont Model Net Profit Margin
(NI/EBT) × (EBT/EBIT) × (EBIT/sales)
FCFE (provided Debt-to-asset Ratio)
NI - (1 - DR)[(FCINV - Depreciation) + WCINV]
Terminal Valuet
FCFEt+1 / ( WACC - g )
CFO
NI + NCC -WCINV
FCFE
net income + depreciation − capital expenditures − increase in working capital − principal repayments + new debt issues
FCFE derived from FCFF
FCFF – [interest expense] (1 – tax rate) + net borrowing
FCFE derived from CFO
CFO - FCINV + Net Borrowing
FCFF primary equation
NI + NCC + INT (1-tax rate) - WCInv - FCInv
FCFF derived by EBIT
EBIT (1 – tax rate) + Dep – FCInv – WCInv
Cost of Debt
Interest expense/market value of debt
WACC
wd × rd × (1 – t) + we × re
Value of Equity
FCFE1/(Cost of equity – growth rate)
P/E Ratio
Market Price / EPS
Lower is Cheaper
Earnings Per Share
Earnings / Shares Outstanding
Book Value Per Share
Equity / Shares Outstanding
P/B Ratio
Market Price / Book Value Per Share
Lower is Cheaper
P/S Ratio
Market Capitalization / Sales
Sales = Earnings / Net Margin
Market Capitalization = Market Price × Shares Outstanding
*Lower is Cheaper
Earnings Yield
Earnings / Market Capitalization
Higher is Cheaper
Dividend Yield
Dividend / Market Price
Higher is cheaper
Price / Cash Flow Ratio
Market capitalization/Cash Flow
Cash Flow = Net income + Depreciation + Amortization
Market capitalization = Market Price × Shares Outstanding
Justified P/B
(ROE - g) / (r -g)
Shares Outstanding
Dividends Paid / Dividends Per Share
PEG Ratio
P/E ÷ Earning Growth Rate
Trailing P0/E0 Ratio
[(1 – b)(1 + g)] / (r – g)
EBITDA
(net income + interest + taxes + depreciation / amortization)
EV (Enterprise Value)
(Market value of common stock + Market value of Debt + Market value of Preferred Stock – cash and investments)
Purchases
Closing PPE - Opening PPE + Depreciation + Disposals
Aggregate Accruals Ratio
( NI - CFO - CFI ) / Average Net Operating Assets
Average Net Operating Assets = ( CA - CL ) / 2
Lower PEG
More Attractive Valuation
Higher PEG
Less Attractive Valuation
P/E Ratio (Version 2)
Payout Ratio / (k - g)
growth (version 2)
Retention Rate × Profit Margin × Sales/book value of equity
Leading P/S
(profit margin × payout ratio) / (r − g)
Trailing P0 / S0 or Justified P0 / S0
[(E0 / S0)(1 – b)(1 + g)] / (r – g)
[Profit Margin × Payout Ratio × (1 + g)] / (r − g)
Profit Margin
EPS / SPS
Earning Per Share / Sales Per Share
Terminal Value
P/E × Earnings
Normalized EPSt
Average ROE × BVPSt-1
EVA (Economic Value Add)
NOPAT - $WACC
NOPAT (Net Operating Profit after tax)
EBIT(1 – t)
$WACC
Invested capital × WACC
Invested capital = Long Term Debt + Share Holders equity
Implied Growth Rate using BVPS
r - [ ( BVPS × ( ROE - r) ) / ( V0 - BVPS ) ]
P/CF Ratio
( 1 + g ) / ( r - g)
Adjusted CFO
NI + NCC -WCINV + Int(1-t)
Single Stage Residual Income Value V0
B0 + [( ROE - r ) / ( r - g ) ] × B0
Multi Stage Residual Income Value V0
B0 + PV(high-growth RI) + PV(Continued RI)
Equity Capital Charge
Total Equity × Required Rate of Return
Residual Income
Net Income - Equity Capital Charge
Residual Income at time t( Rt )
EPS - ( r × BVt-1)
Market Value Added (MVA)
Market Value of Company - Total Capital
Aggressive Accounting Decisions
Higher Book Values , Lower Future Earnings
Conservative Accounting Decisions
Lower Book Values , Higher Future Earnings
DLOC
1 − [ 1 / (1 + Control Premium) ]
Total Discount
1 − [(1 − DLOC)(1 − DLOM)]
Build-up Approach
Rf + ERP + IP + SP + CSP
IP = Industry Risk Premium
SP= Small-cap Stock premium
CSP = Company Specific Risk Premium
ERP = Equity Risk Premium with beta = 1
Rf = Risk Free Rate
Transaction-related valuation
venture capital financing, an IPO, a sale of the firm, bankruptcy, or performance-based managerial compensation
Compliance-related valuations
financial reporting and tax purposes
Litigation-related valuations
shareholder suits, damage claims, lost profits, or divorces
βunlevered
βpublic / [1 + (1-t) D/E ]
βprivate Company
βunlevered × [1 + (1-t) D/E ]