2025 FOMC Calendar & Monetary Policy Guide Harder Questions

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Fifty question-and-answer flashcards covering the 2025 FOMC calendar, key economic indicators, policy reactions, and related resources.

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50 Terms

1
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What is the typical duration of the FOMC’s liquidity cycle?

About 4–5 years.

2
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Name the two main phases of the liquidity cycle.

Expansionary and contractionary phases.

3
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Which two policy tools most clearly define the expansionary phase?

Rate cuts and quantitative easing (QE).

4
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Which two policy tools most clearly define the contractionary phase?

Rate hikes and quantitative tightening (QT).

5
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List the four major economic indicators that guide FOMC policy.

Asset prices, inflation, employment, and economic growth.

6
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Why is tracking the FOMC liquidity cycle useful for crypto investors?

Because crypto prices often follow shifts in global liquidity driven by the Fed’s stance.

7
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How did Satoshi Nakamoto time Bitcoin’s halving mechanism?

He aligned it with the 4-5 year global liquidity cycle to absorb liquidity effectively.

8
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When high inflation and strong labor data coincide, what policy action is most likely?

Rate hikes.

9
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When inflation slows but remains above target and data are mixed, what stance may the Fed adopt?

A rate pause or monitoring stance.

10
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Which report details non-farm payrolls, unemployment, and average hourly earnings?

The Employment Situation Report (Jobs Report).

11
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How might the Fed respond to a strong Employment Situation Report?

With rate hikes or a pause if prior tightening is considered sufficient.

12
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How might the Fed respond to a weak Employment Situation Report?

With rate cuts/QE or no action if weakness is deemed temporary.

13
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What does the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure?

Monthly changes in consumer prices, reflecting inflation.

14
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If CPI is above 2 % and climbing, what action might the Fed take?

Rate hikes or a continued tightening bias.

15
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If CPI is below 2 % and the economy is slowing, what action might the Fed consider?

Rate cuts or QE to ward off deflation.

16
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What is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge?

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index.

17
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Rising PCE above target suggests what possible Fed move?

Rate hikes or a hawkish stance.

18
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Declining PCE below target may prompt what response from the Fed?

Rate cuts/QE or at least a dovish stance.

19
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What recurring event results in official policy statements roughly eight times a year?

FOMC meetings.

20
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A hawkish FOMC statement signals concern about what?

Inflationary pressures.

21
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A dovish FOMC statement signals concern about what?

Slowing economic growth.

22
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How long after each FOMC meeting are the minutes released?

About three weeks.

23
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Inflation-focused language in meeting minutes could foreshadow which policy actions?

Rate hikes or QT.

24
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Growth-focused language in meeting minutes could foreshadow which policy actions?

Rate cuts or QE.

25
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What does Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measure?

Overall U.S. economic growth on a quarterly basis.

26
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Strong GDP growth above roughly 2 % with inflation concerns might lead to what?

Rate hikes.

27
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Weak or negative GDP growth may push the Fed toward what action?

Rate cuts or QE.

28
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What does monthly Retail Sales data primarily indicate?

Consumer spending on goods and services.

29
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Rising retail sales alongside higher inflation can trigger what Fed response?

Rate hikes.

30
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Falling retail sales coupled with weak demand can cause what Fed response?

Rate cuts/QE.

31
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Give two typical conditions that lead to rate hikes.

Strong jobs data and high inflation (CPI or PCE).

32
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Give two typical conditions that lead to rate cuts or QE.

Weak jobs data and low or falling inflation.

33
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What stance might the Fed adopt when economic data are mixed and inflation is moderating?

A rate pause/monitoring stance.

34
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On what date is the Employment Situation Report for December 2024 released?

January 3, 2025.

35
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When will December 2024 CPI data be published?

January 10, 2025.

36
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What are the dates of the first FOMC meeting in 2025?

January 28–29, 2025 (statement January 29 at 2:00 p.m. ET).

37
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When is the CPI release for January 2025 scheduled?

February 14, 2025.

38
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At what time is the statement from the March 18–19, 2025 FOMC meeting released?

March 19, 2025 at 2:00 p.m. ET.

39
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Which dates host the Bank of Japan policy meeting in late April/early May 2025?

April 30 – May 1, 2025.

40
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When is the Employment Situation Report for May 2025 released?

June 6, 2025.

41
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At what time will the June 17–18, 2025 FOMC statement be released?

June 18, 2025 at 2:00 p.m. ET.

42
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On what date is CPI for June 2025 scheduled for release?

July 10, 2025.

43
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When will the September 2025 FOMC meeting occur?

September 16–17, 2025 (statement September 17 at 2:00 p.m. ET).

44
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When is the CPI release for October 2025?

November 13, 2025.

45
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When is the final FOMC meeting of 2025 scheduled?

December 9–10, 2025 (statement December 10 at 2:00 p.m. ET).

46
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On what date is CPI for November 2025 scheduled to be published?

December 11, 2025.

47
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Which article is suggested for reviewing U.S. rate-cut history?

"Federal Funds Rate History 1990 to 2023" – Forbes Advisor.

48
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Which article explains the Fed’s quantitative tightening program?

"What Is the Fed’s Quantitative Tightening Program? And Why Its End Matters" – Morningstar.

49
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Which article discusses the global liquidity cycle in depth?

"The Global Liquidity Cycle" by Michael Howell.

50
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What section of the notes summarizes conditions for rate hikes, cuts, or pauses?

The "Summary Key Guide."