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Sales forecasting
A quantitative method of predicting what a firm's future sales will be
Seasonal variation
Sales change depending on the season of the year
Cyclical variations
When sales change depending on cycle of the economy during growth and recession phases
Random variation
Sales change but there is no way to predict them
Benefits of sales forecasting
-operations: can help with production schedule, whether capacity is needed to expand
-HR: increase staff
-Marketing: new marketing campaigns, reduction in prices that increase slowing sales, intro of new products
-Finance: monitor cash flow, invest or wait on new project, find new source of finance
Drawbacks of sales forecasting
- time consuming
- ignores external factors (less accurate)
- new businesses cannot use it
- interpretation of data is biased
factors affecting sales forecasting
- consumer trends
- Economic variables
- actions of competitors