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Risk
Uncertainty about whether a loss will occur
What are the two key elements of risk?
Uncertainty and loss
Risk Management
The process to best handle uncertainty about whether losses will occur
Loss Frequency
How often losses occur
What is loss frequency used for?
To predict how likely they are to occur
Loss Severity
The amount of damage resulting from losses and how much it will cost to pay for losses
What is loss severity used for?
To predict how costly future losses are likely to be
Chance of Loss
The probability that an event that causes a loss will occur
Pure Risk
A situation in which there are only the possibilities of loss or no loss
What is an example of a pure risk?
Earthquake
Speculative Risk
A situation in which either profit or loss is possible
What is an example of speculative risk?
Gambling
Diversifiable Risk
Affects only individuals or small groups
What is an example of a diversifiable risk?
Car theft
Can a diversifiable risk be reduced or eliminated by diversification?
Yes
Nondiversifiable Risk
Affects the entire economy or large numbers of persons or groups within the economy
What is an example of nondiversifiable risk?
Hurricane
What is a nondiversifiable risk also called?
Fundamental risk
What may be necessary to insure nondiversifiable risks?
Government assistance
Enterprise Risk
A term that encompasses all major risks faced by a business firm
What are the five types of enterprise risk?
Pure, speculative, strategic, operational, and financial
Strategic Risk
Refers to uncertainty regarding the firm’s financial goals and objectives
Operational Risk
Results from the firm’s business operations
Financial Risk
The uncertainty of loss because of adverse changes in commodity prices, interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and the value of money
Systemic Risk
The risk of collapse of an entire system or entire market due to the failure of a single entity or group of entities that can result in the breakdown of the entire financial system
Exercise: Several types of risk are present in the U.S. economy. For each of the bullet points, identify the type of risk that is present. Explain.
The Department of Homeland Security alerts the nation of a possible attack by terrorists
A house may be severely damaged in a fire
A family head may be totally disabled in a plant explosion
An investor purchases 100 shares of Microsoft stock
A river that periodically overflows may cause substantial property damage to thousands of homes in the floodplain
Home buyers may be faced with higher mortgage payments if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its next meeting
A worker on vacation plays the slot machines in a casino
Enterprise Risk Management
A strategic business discipline that supports the achievement of an organization’s business objectives by addressing the full spectrum of its risks and managing the combined impact of those risks as an integrated risk portfolio
When does a loss occur?
When property or a right owned by a person or an organization has declined in value or a capacity to perform has been diminished
Loss Exposures
Possibilities of accidental losses with measurable financial consequences
What are the three elements of loss exposure?
Value lost
Cause of loss
Financial consequences
Peril
The cause of the loss
What are some examples of peril?
Property damage because of fire
Hazard
A condition that creates or increases the frequency or severity of loss
What are the four types of hazards?
Physical, moral, attitudinal, and legal
Physical Hazard
A physical condition that increases the frequency or severity of loss
Moral Hazard
Dishonesty or character defects in an individual that increase the frequency or severity of loss
Attitudinal Hazard
Carelessness or indifference to a loss which increases the frequency or severity of a loss
What is an attitudinal hazard also called?
Morale hazard
Legal Hazard
Characteristics of the legal system or regulatory environment that increase the frequency or severity of loss
Exercise: Please state whether the following situation is a peril or hazard. If it is a hazard, please state its type.
A house got struck by lightning
Faking an accident to collect insurance proceeds
Cathy’s car hit a patch of ice on the road
Cathy drove her car with carelessness, because she knows that she has auto insurance
What are the four types of loss exposures?
Property, personnel, liability, and net income
What are the two types of property loss exposure?
Real and personal
Real Property
Land, buildings, and other structures attached to the land
Personal Property
Everything but real property
What are some examples of personal property?
Furniture, fixtures, and inventory
Ownership of real or personal property constitutes a _____ loss exposure.
Property
Direct Loss
A financial loss that results from the physical damage, destruction, or theft of the property, such as fire damage to a home
Indirect Loss
A financial loss that results indirectly from the occurrence of a direct physical damage or theft, such as the additional living expenses after a fire
What is indirect loss also known as?
Consequential loss
Employing personnel represents a _____ loss exposure through the possible death, disability, or injury of an employee.
Personnel
Liability
An individual or organization is legally responsible for the injury or damage suffered by another person or organization
What is considered a liability loss exposure?
The risk to the individual or organization of being liable for the injuries suffered by other people as a result of the fire
What are the reasons that liability loss exposure is important?
There is no maximum upper limit with respect to the amount of the loss
A lien can be placed on your income and financial assets
Legal defense costs can be enormous
Net Income
The amount of revenues over expenses that is generated in a specific accounting period
What is a example of a specific accounting period?
A calendar year
What represents a net income loss exposure?
An individual or organization cannot earn the net income and would suffer economic loss
What are the benefits of risk management?
Prevention of losses
Reduction of the financial consequences of losses
Peace of mind
Exercise: Classify each of the following loss exposures as (a) property, (b) liability, (c) personnel, or (d) net income.
Jim might damage his car if it skids on an icy road and hits a tree
Jim might cause injury to a passenger in his car as a result of the accident described in the situation above
Jim might be injured in the accident and be unable to work
Sarah owns an apartment house that might be damaged by a hurricane
Sarah might lose rental income from her tenants because of damage caused by the hurricane
What is the risk management process?
Identifying and analyzing loss exposures → examining the feasibility of alternative techniques available for treating those exposures → selecting the most appropriate combination of those techniques → implementing the selected techniques → monitoring results and considering the need for change or improvement
What question do we ask to determine the values of property loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
What does Rita’s personal property consist of?
What are the tools for identifying the values of property loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
Surveys, questionnaires, and inspections
What question should we ask when looking for the causes of loss of property loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
What are the various ways Rita’s car or its contents could be damaged, destroyed, or otherwise lost?
What question should we ask to determine the causes of loss of liability loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
What are the various ways Rita’s car or its contents could be damaged, destroyed, or otherwise lost?
What are the tools for identifying the causes of loss of property loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
Review the losses that have occurred to others, seek the advice of experts, and brainstorming
What are the tools for identifying the causes of loss of liability loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
Collision and ?
What is needed to analyze the financial consequences of property loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
Exposure identification and analysis require a dollar amount (repair or replace costs)
How are financial consequences with liability loss exposures determined? (Rita’s Case)
Losses can best be assessed with judgment, rather than measurement, possibly determined by a jury/judge
What are the tools for identifying the financial consequences of property loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
Loss experience, expertise of others, purchase price
What are the tools for identifying the financial consequences of liability loss exposures? (Rita’s Case)
Loss experience and expertise of others
What are the personnel loss exposures for Rita’s case?
Rita could be disabled or killed as the result of an auto accident, diminishing, or eliminating her ability to earn a living
What are the net income loss exposures for Rita’s case?
Rita has routine expenses for gas, the maintenance of her car, fees for her driver’s license, tags, and registration, her car payments, and her car insurance premiums that must come out of her earnings or revenues which could unexpectedly be increased by maintenance problems with the car or fines for traffic violations
What is the tool for identifying and analyzing the hazards?
The preparation of a flowchart
Memorize the flowchart!
Memorize the flowchart!!
Memorize the identification and analysis diagram!
Memorize the identification and analysis diagram!!
What are the two categories of risk management techniques for treating loss exposures?
Risk control techniques and risk financing techniques
What are risk control techniques intended to do?
Prevent losses
Minimize the frequency or severity of losses
Make losses more predictable
What are risk financing techniques intended to do?
To pay for those losses that occur despite the best risk control efforts
What are the five risk control techniques?
Avoidance, loss prevention, loss reduction, segregation of exposures, contractual transfer of an asset or activity
Avoidance
Choosing not to own an asset or engage in an activity that increases the possibility of loss
Which of the risk control techniques is often the least practical?
Avoidance
What is the avoidance technique the most practical technique for?
Large organizations with several alternatives available to them
What is an example of avoidance?
Avoid the risk of being mugged in a high-crime area by staying away from high-crime areas
Loss Prevention
Activities to reduce the frequency of a particular loss
What is an example of loss prevention?
Motorists take a safe-driving course and drive defensively
Loss Reduction
Activities to reduce the severity of losses
What is an example of loss reduction?
Using seat belts
How can segregation of exposures be accomplished?
Separation or duplication
Segregation of Exposures (Separation)
Relies on the dispersal of a particular activity or asset over more than one location
Segregation of Exposures (Separation) - Example
The owners of a clothing manufacturer store their inventory in several warehouses at different locations
Segregation of Exposures (Duplication)
Relies on having backups, spares, or duplicates of crucial assets readily available
Segregation of Exposures (Duplication) - Example
Back-up copies of key business records are available in case the original records are lost or destroyed
Contractual Transfer for Risk Control
Transferring the legal and financial responsibility of for a loss from one individual or organization to another
What is an example of contractual transfer for risk control?
Taking a taxi instead of driving cars
What are the two risk financing techniques?
Risk retention and risk transfer
Risk Retention
An individual or business firm retains part or all of the losses that can result from a given risk and plans to generate the funds to pay for losses themselves
Active Retention
An individual is aware of the risk and deliberately plans to retain all or part of it
What is an example of active retention?
A motorist may wish to retain the risk of a small collision loss by purchasing an auto insurance policy with a $500 or higher deductible
Passive Retention
Risk may be unknowingly retained because of ignorance, indifference, or laziness
When is risk retention appropriate?
High frequency, low severity risks where potential losses are relatively small
Risk Financing Transfer
Shifts the financial responsibility for losses from one party to another through a contract