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public opinion
the collective attitudes and beliefs of individuals on one or more issues
public opinion polls
scientific efforts to estimate what an entire group thinks about an issue by asking a smaller sample of the group for its opinion
political socialization
the process by which people gain their political attitudes and opinions
influences of political socialization
race, gender, stage of life, ideology, education, economics, religion, geography
Sample
A relatively small proportion of people who are chosen in a survey so as to be representative of the whole.
sample bias
the effect of having a sample that does not represent all segments of the population
sampling error
a number that indicates within what range the results of a poll are accurate (+3/-3)
random sample
a sample in which every element in the population has an equal chance of being selected
Why does polling matter?
because America is a democracy so popular sovereignty matters
greatest influence on socialization
family
How big does a sample need to be?
1000-1500
best way to poll
in person
worst way to poll
internet
Polling Bias
wording poll questions to produce a desired answer
turnout rate in U.S. elections
lower than other industrialized nations (60%)