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33 Terms

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Deterrence

A strategy to prevent an adversary from taking an action by threatening credible retaliation.

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Credibility

The believability of a threat or promise; essential for deterrence to work.

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Normal form game

A representation of a strategic game using a matrix showing payoffs for each strategy combination.

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Zero-sum game

A situation in which one player's gain is exactly equal to another's loss.

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Prisoner's Dilemma

A game showing why two rational actors might not cooperate even when it's in their best interest.

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Extensive form games

Games represented as trees showing sequential moves, decision nodes, and outcomes.

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Backward induction

Solving a game from the end (final decision node) backward to determine optimal strategy.

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Commitment device

A way to lock in a course of action to influence an opponent's expectations.

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Dominant strategy

A strategy that always provides a better outcome regardless of the opponent's actions.

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Nash equilibrium

A set of strategies where no player benefits from changing their strategy unilaterally.

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Security dilemma

When a state's defensive actions are perceived as threats, leading to arms races or conflict.

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Human security

A focus on individual safety from violence, poverty, and disease, beyond traditional state security.

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Hegemon

A dominant state with overwhelming influence in the international system.

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Polarity

The arrangement of power in the international system, including unipolarity, bipolarity, and multipolarity.

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9-dash line

China's territorial claim in the South China Sea.

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Monroe Doctrine

A U.S. policy opposing European intervention in the Western Hemisphere.

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Manifest Destiny

The belief that the U.S. was destined to expand across North America.

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Lone wolf terrorism

Attacks carried out by individuals without direct group orders.

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Affiliate terrorism

Local groups linked to global organizations like Al Qaeda or ISIS.

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Other Minds' Problem

The challenge of understanding others' intentions in strategic settings.

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Cyber security

Protection of digital systems from cyberattacks, includes threats like Stuxnet.

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Ethnic war

Conflict driven by ethnic divisions, identity, and grievances.

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Transnational organized crime

Crime crossing borders, often linked to weak states or corruption.

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Counterinsurgency

Military and political efforts to combat insurgent groups.

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Impossible trilemma of counterinsurgency

The challenge of protecting civilians, defeating insurgents, and building local legitimacy—can't do all three.

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Rwandan genocide

Mass killing of Tutsis by Hutus; example of ethnic outbidding and scapegoating.

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Revolution in warfare

Fundamental changes in how wars are fought due to technology or strategy.

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Moral hazard in IR

When protection or support encourages risky behavior (e.g., interventions encouraging rebellion).

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Force protection

Military emphasis on minimizing casualties, sometimes at odds with mission goals.

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Stuxnet

A cyberattack (by US and Israel) that targeted Iran's nuclear program.

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Ethnic outbidding

Politicians using extreme ethnic rhetoric to gain support.

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Slobodan Milosevic

Serbian leader instrumental in the Yugoslav Wars and ethnic cleansing.

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