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is a measure of how much value is created or added today by undertaking an investment (the difference between the investment’s market value and its cost).
NPV
WHAT:
PV of Future CF’s - Initial Cost
NPV=
Estimate future cash flows. Calculate the present value of those cash flows minus the initial cost.
Shift NPV or CF Button
NPV
HOW:
CF0=Initial cost
CF0=Initial cost
Cost of Capital means “I”
Cost of Capital means “I”
The investment should be accepted if the net present value is positive and rejected if it is negative
assumes cash flows are reinvested at the cost of capital
NPV
The Rule:
Uses all cash flows; NPV IS KING!!!
Adjusts for the time value of money
NPV
Pros:
Need appropriate discount rate (I)
Relatively more difficult to communicate
NPV
Cons:
Yes, if NPV > 0
NPV
YES:
NPV = 0 means Indifferent
NPV
if NPV=0
graphical representation of NPV at various I’s
NPV Profile
What is it:
The internal rate of return is the discount rate that makes the net present value of a project equal to zero.
I => NPV=0
what I do i need to input so NPV can be zero? = The IRR/Breakeven rate of return
IRR is also called “Breakeven rate of return”
IRR
WHAT:
Set NPV equal to zero and solve for “r”. Calculating IRR is identical to calculating the yield to maturity on bonds.
CF buttons → Shift IRR
IRR
HOW:
Yes if IRR > I (uppercase i)
IRR
YES:
An investment is acceptable if the IRR exceeds the required rate of return. It should be rejected otherwise.
Assumes cash flows are reinvested at the IRR.
IRR
The Rule:
Closely related to the NPV rule
Relatively easier to communicate
IRR
Pros:
May result in multiple answers (nonconventional cash flows); means more than 1 IRR. we can compare to I if multiple IRR. cash flow signs change more than once.
May result in incorrect decisions (mutually exclusive investments); means out of all methods if multiple methods can be used, we are not going to use IRR)
IRR
Cons:
Crossover Rate
NPV is same between 2 projects
The profitability index is the present value of an investment’s future cash flows divided by its initial cost (absolute value). Also called a benefit-cost
ratio.
PI=PV of Future CF’s / Initial Cost
PI
WHAT:
Calculate the present value of the future cash flows (the PV not the NPV) and divide by the initial cost. If a project has a positive (negative) NPV, the PI will be greater (less) than 1.
PI
HOW:
Yes if PI > 1 (number)
PI (BANK 4 BUCK)
YES:
every dollar you invest, you get $PI back.
PI
Bank for Buck
Only accept projects with a PI greater than 1, and invest in projects with the largest PI’s first.
PI
The Rule:
Closely related to the NPV rule
May be useful when investment funds are limited (we would want the biggest bang for buck)
PI
Pros:
May result in incorrect decisions (mutually exclusive investments); something different than NPV says
PI
Cons:
The payback is the length of time it takes to recover our initial investment.
how long does it take CF0?
Payback Rule
WHAT:
Assume cash flows are received uniformly throughout the year. Calculate the number of years it will take for the future cash flows to match the initial cash outflow.
Payback Rule
HOW:
An investment is acceptable if its calculated payback period is less than some pre-specified number of years.
The Payback Rule
The Rule:
Simple/Easy to do
Biased toward liquidity
The Payback Rule
Pros:
Ignores the time value of money (we are doing horrible finance, comparing number between different years)
Ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff; requires an arbitrary cutoff (why 4 year? Why not 4.2? Why not 5 yrs?), biased against long term liab
The Payback Rule
Cons:
The discounted payback period is the length of time it takes for the sum of the discounted cash flows to equal the initial investments
Adjusts for Time Value of Money
Correct to bad finance
Definition is still same as payback, but will not compare year 4 to year 0. But will be what is it worth in year 4 to year 0.
The Discounted Payback Rule
WHAT:
Assume cash flows are received uniformly throughout the year. Calculate the number of years it will take for the present value of the future cash flows to match the initial cash outflow.
The Discounted Payback Rule
HOW:
Adjusts for the time value of money (adjusts bad finance)
*Does not accept negative NPV projects
Biased toward liquidity
The Discounted Payback Rule
Pros:
Ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff
Requires an arbitrary cutoff
Biased against long-term projects
The Discounted Payback Rule
Cons:
The average accounting return is the ratio of the average net income
of the project to the average book value of the investment.
= avg NI / avg BV
The Average Accounting Return (AAR)
WHAT:
Calculate the average net income and divide it by the average book value.
The Average Accounting Return (AAR)
HOW:
An investment is acceptable if its average accounting return is greater than some pre-specified benchmark.
The Average Accounting Return (AAR)
The Rule:
Simple/Easy to do
The Average Accounting Return (AAR)
Pros:
Ignores the time value of money
Requires an arbitrary benchmark
Accounting numbers and book values
Just Very Wrong to do
The Average Accounting Return (AAR)
Cons: