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Textbook used: https://perpustakaan.poltekkes-malang.ac.id/assets/file/ebook/George_Rejda,_Michael_McNamara_-_Principles_of_Risk_Management_and_Insurance,_Global_Editon-Pearson_(2021).pdf
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Risk
No single definition, commonly used is: situations where the probability of possible out-comes can be estimated with some accuracy.
Uncertainty
Situations where possibilities cannot be estimated.
Loss exposure
Any situation where a loss is possible, regardless of whether a loss actually occurs or not.
Objective/degree of risk
The relative variation of actual loss from expected loss. Varies with the square root of # of cases under observation.
Example of objective/degree of risk
10,000 house are insured, on average, 1% or 100 hours burn. Sometimes it may be 90 or 110. There’s a variation of 10 from 100 or 10% relative variation. Variation of actual loss from expected loss.
The Law of Large Numbers
The greater the number of exposures, the more closely will the actual results approach the probable results that are expected from historical averages.
Subjective risk
Uncertainty based on a person’s mental condition or state of mind; varies depending on different perceptions of risk, affecting behavior.
Example of subjective risk
A drunk driver attempts to drive home, they are unsure if they will get home safely or get stopped by the police.
Chance of Loss
Probability that an event will occur; objective and subjective probability.
Objective probability
Uses historical data and statistical analysis to predict the likelihood of losses.
Subjective probability
Individual’s personal estimate of the chance of loss; can be affected by: intelligence, education, use of drugs, etc.
Peril
The cause of loss
Hazard
A condition that creates or increases the frequency or severity of loss. Four types: Physical, moral, attitude/morale, and legal hazards.
What are the four types of hazards?
Physical, moral, attitudinal/morale, and legal hazard.
Physical hazard
Physical condition that increases the frequency or severity of loss; EX: icy roads, defective locks
Moral hazard
Dishonesty or character defects in an individual that increase the severity or frequency of loss; EX: stealing
Attitudinal/morale hazard
Carelessness or indifference to a loss, which increases the severity or frequency of loss; EX: leaving doors unlocked
Legal hazard
Characteristics of the legal system that increases the severity or frequency of loss; EX: statues that require insurers to cover certain benefits
Speculative risk
Situation in which either profit or loss is possible; EX: stocks
Diversifiable/particular risks
Risk that only affects individuals or small groups; can be eliminated with diversification
Nondivesifiable/fundametal risks
Risk that affects the entire company or large # of people or groups; cannot be eliminated for diversification
Enterprise risk
Term that encompasses all major risks faced by a business firm; includes: pure, speculative, strategic, operation, and financial risk.
Strategic risk
Uncertainty regarding the firm’s finical goals and objectives; EX: when a firm enters a new line of business, it may be unprofitable.
Operational risk
Risks from the firm’s business operations; EX: a bank offering online banking services may incur losses if hackers break into the banks’s computers.
Financial risk
The uncertainty of loss because of adverse changes in commodity prices, interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and the value of money.
Systemic risk
Risk of collapse of an entire system or market du to the failure of a single entry or group of entities that can result in the breakdown f the inter financial system.
Personal risks
Risks that directly affect an individual or family; includes: dependents to support, retirement risks, poor health, unemployment, etc.
Premature death
Death of a family member with unfulfilled financial obligations
Property risks
Risk of having property damaged or destroyed from numerous causes; associated with direct and indirect/consequential loss.
Direct loss
Financial loss that results from the physical damage of property.
Indirect/consequential loss
Financial loss that results indirectly form the occurrence of a direct loss; EX: if your house burns down, you may need to rent a hotel, resulting in additional expenses
Types of Pure risk
Personal risks
Property risks
Liability risks
Liability risks
Risks of being sued or held liable for certain events that may occur if you do something that causes bodily or property damage to someone else.
Lein
Legal claim on someone’s property or income to secure payment of debts.
Commercial risk
The potential for a business to suffer financial losses due to various factors including: customer’s ability too pay, a trading partner’s failure to meet obligations, operational issues, and legal liabilities.
Techniques for managing risk
Can be classified as risk control or risk financing.
Risk control
Techniques that reduce the severity or frequency of loss; major techniques include: avoidance, loss prevention, and loss reduction
Avoidance
Avoiding a risk; EX: you can avoid divorce by not marrying
Loss prevention
Technique used to reduce the frequency or severity of loss; EX: by installing a sprinkler system, a fire can be property distinguished, minimizing severity of loss.
What are the types of loss reduction?
Duplication
Seperation
Diversification
Duplication
Having back-ups and copies.
Seperation
Assets are separated to minimize severity of loss from one single event.
Diversification
Reduces the chance of loss by spreading the loss across different parties.
Risk financing
Refers to techniques that provide for the funding of losses; major techniques include: retention, non insurance transfers, and insurance.
Retention
Means that an individual or business retains part or all of the losses that can result from a given risk; passive or active.
Passive retention
Means that certain risk may be unknowingly retained because of ignorance, indifference, or failure to identify risk.
Active retention
Means that individuals are consciously aware of risks and deliberately plans to retain all or part of it.
Self insurance
Part of retention by which part or all of a given loss exposure is retained by the firm.
Speculator
Market participant who seeks to profit from short term price movements
Future contracts
Agreements to buy or sell an asset at a set price on a specific date in the future
Noninsurance transfers
Risk is transferred to a party other than an insurance company either by contracts or hedging.
Hedging
A technique for transferring the risk of unfavorable price fluctuations to a speculator by purchasing and selling future contracts.
Insurance
No single definition, commonly used is: the pooling of fortuitous loses by transfer of such risks to insurers who agree to indemnify insured for such losses.
American Risk and Insurance Association (ARIA)
Premier professional association of risk management and insurance educators and professionals.
What are the basic characters of insurance?
Pooling of loss
Payment of fortuitous losses
Risk transfer
Indemnification
Pooling of losses
Heart of insurance, pooling is the spreading of losses insured by the few over the entire group.
Payment of fortuitous losses
A loss that is unforeseen an unexpected by the insured and occurs as a result of chance.
Risk transfer
Pure risks being transferred form the insured to the insurer.
Indemnification
Insured is restored to their approximate financial position prior to the occurrence of loss.
Characteristics of insurable risk
Large # of exposure units
Accidental/unintentional loss
Determinable and measurable loss
No catastrophic loss
Culpable chance of loss
Economically feasible premium
Large # of exposure units
Large number of similar exposure units subject to the same perils; for pooling.
Accidential/unintentional loss
One will not be indemnified if loss is deliberate
Determinable and measurable loss
Loss should be definite to cause, time, amount, and place.
No catastrophic loss
A large number of exposure units should not incur losses at the same time because then pooling wouldn’t work; combatted by reinsurance
Reinsurance
Insurer transfers to another insurer (reinsurer) part or all of of the potential losses.
Culculable chance of loss
Insurer must be able to calculate both the average frequency and severity of the future losses with someone accuracy; this is so proper premiums can be charged.
Economically feasible premium
Means that insured must be able to afford the premium.
Adverse selection
The tendency of someone with a higher than average chance of loss to seek insurance at a standard (average) rates, which if not controlled by underwriting and policy provisions, results in loss and unprofitable business.
Underwriting
Process of selecting and classifying applicants for insurance.
Policy revision
The specific terms and conditions outlined in an insurance policy that define right and responsibilities of both parties.
Hazard risks
Risk associated with organizations property, liability, and personnel-related loss exposures; what traditional risk management was limited to
Governance/compliance risk
Organizations are answerable to various regulatory agencies and to their owners and must meet numerous legal and governmental requirements
Risk register
A listing of the risks faced by an organization with pertinent information about each risk.
Risk map
A grid on which risks facing the organization are charted based on potential frequency and severity of loss; severity Y axis frequency X axis
Risk appetite
The total exposure than organization is willing to accept, given the risk and return trade0ff for an individual risk or in aggregate fr the portfolio of risks.
Risk tolerance
The amount of uncertainty that an organization is willing to accept.
Cost of risk
Total costs associated with treating the organization’s loss exposures;
cost of risk = retained losses + insurance premiums + loss control
Reasons for reinsurance
Increase underwriting capacity
Stabilize profits
Reduce the unearned premium reserve
Provide protection against a catastrophic loss
The two types of reinsurance
Facultative reinsurance and treat reinsurance
Facultative reinsurance
An optional, case-by-case, method that is used when the ceding company receives an application for insurance that exceeds its retention limit.
Treaty insurance
An agreement under which the primary insurer must automatically cede to the reinsurers all business written in a certain category, and the reinsurer must accept the business.
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
Requires facilities with hazardous chemicals to create risk management plan for accident prevention.
Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)
Sets safety standards in workplace.
National Fire Protection Association (NFPA)
Provides standards and guidelines for insurance and risk management by defining best practice to prevent fire, electrical and other hazards..
Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA)
Sets minimum standards for health and retirement plans.
Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1985 (COBRA)
Allows for family to keep employer’s group health insurance temporarily after losing your job, or other life events like divorce or death of an employee by paying premium yourself.
Basic insurance policy features
Premium
Deductible
Coverage limits
Exclusions
Endorsements (added coverage)
Policy period.
Risk aversion
Tendency to prefer certainty over uncertainty; people would rather accept a smaller, guaranteed payoff than risk a potentially larger but uncertain one.
Term insurance
A type of life insurance that provides a death benefit if you die within a specified period of time; no cash value, lower cost.
Permanent insurance
Type of life insurance that provides lifelong coverage; includes cash value, higher premiums;
Insurance portfolio
Collection of policies covering different risks
Principle of Indemnity
States that the insurer agrees o pay no more than the actual amount of the loss; insured should not profit from loss.
Principle of Insurable Interest
States that the insured must be in a position to lose financially if a covered loss occurs.
Principle of Subrogation
Means that substitution of the insurer in place of the insured for the purpose of claiming indemnity from a third party for a loss covered by insurance; the insurance company is entitled to recover from a negligent third party any loss payments made to the insured.
Principle of Utmost Good Faith
A higher degree of honesty is imposed on both parties to other contracts.
Warranty
A statement that becomes part of the insurance contract and is guaranteed by the maker to e in true in all respects.
Commutative contract
Contract in which the values exchanged by both parties are theoretically equal.
Aleatory contract
Contract where the values exchanged may not be equal but depend on an uncertain event.
Unilateral contract
Contract by which only one party makes a legally enforceable promise
Conditional contract
The insurer’s obligation to pay a climate depends on whether the insured has compiled with all policy conditions