Demography

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Birth rate

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62 Terms

1

Birth rate

→ Live births per 1000 of the population per year

→ Long-term decline since 1900; 28.7 to 12.2 in 2014

→ Baby booms happened over time

  • post war, 1960s

→ Increased since 2001

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2

Future trends in birth rates

→ Increase since 2001 is attributed to immigration

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3

Total fertility rate

→ Avg. number of children birthed during a woman’s fertile years (16-45)

→ Risen recently, but still lower in past

  • 1964 was peak (2.95)

  • 2001 was lowest (1.63)

  • 2014 was 1.83

→ Women are having children later, or not having them at all

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4

Why is there a decline in birth rate?

→ Changes in womens position

→ Decline in infant mortality

→ Children are economic liabilities

→ Society is child-centred

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5

Harper -- BR/changes in position

Education is the most important reason for the long-term fall in birth rates

→ Change in mindset among women; dont have to be housewives

→ Many delay/dont have kids

→ No of 45yo childless women has doubled in 25 years

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6

Harper -- BR/IMR

A fall in the IMR leads to a fall in the birth rate

→ Parents no longer have to ‘repalce’ dead babies, so fewer births overall

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7

What is the infant mortality rate and why has it fallen?

No. of infants dying before 1st birthday, per 1000 babies born alive yearly

Fallen in 20th century:

→ Better nutrition/services for mum/baby

→ Improved sanitation, reduced infectious disease

→ Knowledge of child welfare/health

→ Medical factors e.g. midwifery, antibiotics, vaccines

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8

Children as economic liabilities

→ Can no longer work at an early age; children used to be assets, but now are economically dependent for longer

→ Changing norms = kids are more expensive

→ Parents may not be able to afford a big family

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9

Society as child-centred

Childhood is a more important period in our lives

→ Parents have fewer children, give more attention to those few

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10

Effects of changes in fertility

→ Effects on the family

→ Dependency ratio

→ Vanishing children

→ Public services/policies

→ Aging population

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11

Effects on the family -- fertility

Smaller families = women freer to go to work

→ Creates a dual-earning couple

→ Better off couples may also be able to have bigger families + still use childcare services to work f/t

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Effects on dependency ratio -- fertility

This is the size of the working population vs non-working

→ Children make up most of dependent population, so less kids = reduction in burden of dependency

→ Long-term, will be a smaller working population so burden rises again

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13

Effect on vanishing children -- fertility

Fall in TFR = less kids

→ Childhood is lonelier

→ More childless adults, so fewer voices speaking in childrens’ interests

→ May make children more valued

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14

Effect on public services/policies -- fertility

Less schools/maternity/child health services needed

→ Also lowers costs of maternity/paternity leave on the public

→ Changes types of houses needed (smaller, not bigger)

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15

Effect on aging population -- fertility

Less kids = average age of population rises

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16

Tranter -- death rate

Death rate has declined so heavily in 19th/20th century due to fall in deaths from infectious diseases

→ Particularly TB

→ HOWEVER these have been replaced by diseases of affluence

  • Heart disease, cancer

  • Affect the old, rather than the young

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17

Reasons for decline in death from infection

→ Improved nutrition

→ Medical advancements

→ Reduction in smoking?

→ Public health measure

→ Other social changes

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18

McKeown -- DR/nutrition

Nutritional accounts for half the reduction in deaths from infectious disease

→ Increased resistance for those infected

 But, how come women live longer even though they tend to get smaller shares of the food supply?

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19

Medical advancements -- DR

→ Antibiotics/immunisation

→ NHS gives care to people

→ Bypass surgeries + medication for heart disease

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20

Reduction in smoking -- DR

→ May be counteracted by rise in obesity

  • Deaths from this kept low due to medication

  • Rise of American health culture where lifestyles are unhealthy, but long lifespan is achieved via medication

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21

Harper -- DR/smoking

Greatest fall in death comes from reduction in smoking

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22

Public health measures -- DR

Help to improve quality of the environment

→ Clean Air Act

→ Improved housing quality

→ Pasteurised milk

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23

Other social changes -- DR

→ Decline of dangerous manual occupations e.g. mining

→ Smaller families reduce transmission rates

→ Greater public knowledge of causes of infection

→ Lifestyle changes; reduction in smoking

→ Higher incomes; healthier, higher qual. lifestyle

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24

Life expectancy

→ Increase of 2 years per decade for last 2 centuries

→ Previously very low due to IMR

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25

Harper -- life expectancy

We will soon achieve radical longevity if lif expectancy continues to increase

→ Predicted to be 1mil centarians by 2100

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26

Class, gender and regional differences -- life expectancy

→ Women generally live longer than men

  • Gap is narrowing due to lifestyle changes

→ Those in the North/Scotland have lower life expectancy than those in the South

→ W/c men in unskilled jobs 3x as likely to die before 65 as men in professional jobs

Walker; those in poor areas of England die 7 years earlier than those in the richest

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27

Ageing population

→ Average age of population is rising

→ 2014; 65+ equal to u15s

→ Caused by rising life expectancy + decline in IMR/TFR

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28

Effects of aging population

→ Public services

→ One-person households

→ Dependency ratios

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29

Public services -- aging population

Elderly people consume larger proportion of public services

→ Possible changes in policy/provision of housing/transport/other services

→ BUT many remain in good health

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30

One-person households -- ageing population

→ Lots of pensioners in this family type

→ Feminisation of later life; most are women, as usually outlive their husbands

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31

Dependency ratio -- ageing population

Retired elderly are economically dependent and provided for via taxation

→ Dependency ratio increases as people retired

→ Pension withdrawal age rising due to this

→ Increase in number of old people is offset by declining number of kids

  • Will have long-term negative effect

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32

Ageism -- ageing population

Negative stereotyping/treatment of people based on their age

→ Rising due to ageing pop. - especially due to cost of pensions/healthcare for the old

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33

Modern soceity and old age

Say ageism comes from structured dependency

→ Old people excluded from paid work, so dependent on family/state

→ Identity/status in modern society is based on your role in production, which old people are excluded from

→ Made powerless, as excluded from labour force, which is important in role allocation

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34

Phillipson -- ageism

Old people are of no use to capitalism; no longer productive

→ State is unwilling to support them, so family must take on their care

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35

Postmodern society and old age

→ Trends have blurred boundaries between life stages

  • Individuals have greater choice, regardless of age

  • Early retirement, kids dressing like adults

→ Elderly can shape their identities via ==rejuvenation services ==e.g. Botox

  • Can write their own identities as we focus on surface features

→ Breaks down ageist stereotypes

→ Centrality of the media means positive aspects of elderly life can be portrayed

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36

Pilcher -- inequality among the old

Inequalities of class/gender are still important after stages of the life course are broken down

→ M/c have better pensions/savings to live a better life/maintain self-identity

→ Women also suffer from this; lower pay, career breaks, + sexist stereotyping of them as ‘old hags’ vs men as ‘dilfs’

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37

Evaluation of postmodern explanation of ageing

Understates the importance of inequality

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38

Hirsch -- policy implications of ageing

Lots of important social policies must change to tackle issues caused by the ageing population

→ How do we finance longer periods of old age?; working for longer, or paying more taxes while working?

→ Housing policies so old people can trade down into smaller housing

  • Frees up housing for young people

→ Need cultural changes in attitudes towards old age

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39

Migration and demographics

Migration affects the size/age of the population

→ Immigration = movement into society

→ Emigration = movement out

→ Net migration = difference between im/em

  • Until 1980s, more emigrants than immigrants

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40

Immigration and demographics

→ Results in ethnically diverse society

→ Immigration acts in 60s-90s restricted non-white immigration

  • White EU countries are main source of UK immigration

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41

Emigration and demographics

→ UK used to be a net exporter of people (more em. than imm.)

  • Mostly to US/CAN/AUS/NZ/SA

→ Usually economic factors caused this

  • Push factors; recession/unemployment at home

  • Pull factors; higher wages/opportunities abroad

→ Contracts with immigrant reasons - many people immigrated to UK due to persecution

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42

Impact of migration on population size

→ Increase due to immigration

→ Natural increase in births; non-UK mothers account for 25% of all births

  • still below replacement level of 2.1 per woman

→ If not for net migration, population would be shrinking

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43

Impact of migration on age structure

→ Lowers avg. age of population directly + indirectly

  • Direct; immigrants usually younger

  • Indirect; young immigrants = more fertile, have kids

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44

Impact of migration on dependency ratio

→ More likely to be of working age; lowers DR

  • Many older migrants will return to home country to retire

→ Produce more children, so increase ratio

  • Lowers long term as they join labour force

→ Overall impact of DR is reduced over time

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45

What is globalisation?

→ Barriers between societies are disappearing

→ People are becoming increasingly interconnected across nations

→ Produces rapid social change; e.g. increased international migration

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46

United Nations -- acceleration of migration

International migration is speeding up

→ Increased 33% 2000-2013

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47

Differentiation -- globalisation

→ Different types of migrants; temp workers, spouses, forced migration

  • Legal and illegal

→ Globalisation diversifies migrant types; students are a major group

→ Pre-90s most came from former colonies who had a right to settle

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48

Vertovec -- differentiation

Globalisation leads to superdiversity

→ Migrants come from more countries

→ More dispersed across UK

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49

Cohen -- differentiation

3 types of migrants

→ Citizens with full rights

→ Denizen; privileged foreign nations e.g. oligarchs

→ Helots; most exploited, found in unskilled work

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50

Feminisation of migration

→ More migrants are female now

→ Fitted into patriarchal stereotypes; roles as carers/providers of sexual service

→ Gap of women in the services industry is filled by women from poor countries

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51

Ehrenreich & Hochschild -- feminisation of migration

Care/domestic/sex work is increasingly done by women from poor countries because…

→ Western women/men unwilling to do domestic labour

  • Western women joining labour force

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52

Shutes -- feminisation of migration

40% of adult care nurses in UK are migrants, mostly female

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53

Global transfer of womens emotional labour -- feminisation of migration

→ Nannies provide care to employers’ children

→ At expense of their own children from their home country

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54

Mail order brides -- feminisation of migration

→ Women entering western countries to marry

→ Reflects gender/racial stereotypes

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55

Migrant identities

→ Sources of identities come from many places

→ Country of origin often provides additional identity

→ Hybrid identities; 2+ sources of ID

→ Transnational identities; not belonging to just one place

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56

Eade -- hybrid identities

Bangladeshi Muslims had hierarchical hybrid identities

→ Muslim, then Bengali, then British

→ May find others challenge their identity

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57

Eriksen -- transnational identities

Globalisation has created diverse migration patterns

 Back-and-forth movements, rather than permanent settlement

→ Can sustain global ties without travel

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58

Eriksen -- links to other migrants

People may have links to migrants globally, more than just their country of origin or settlement

→ Chinese migrants in Rome had connections with other Chinese worldwide

→ Makes immigrants less likely to desire assimilation into host culture

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59

Politicisation of migration

→ States have immigration control policies

  • Linked to anti-terrorism policies

→ ==Assimilation ==was first state policy approach

  • Encouraging immigrants to adopt language/values of host culture

  • Transnational migrants may not want to view themselves as belonging to just one nation

→ Multiculturalism; accepts migrants want to retain a separate identity, but often limited to superficial diversity

  • Move to this since 60s, apprehensive to do so since 9/11

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60

Evaluation of politicisation of migration

→ Assimilation policies could encourage workers to blame migrants for social issues eg unemployment

→ Multicultural ed policies only celebrate shallow diversity; fail to address deeper issues of racism

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61

Castles -- assimilation

Assimilation policies are counterproductive

→ Mark out minorities as culturally ‘other’

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62

Eriksen -- multiculturalism

Shallow diversity is acceptable to the state

→ e.g. chicken tikka masala as UK national dish

→ Ignore deep diversity e.g. arranged marriages and veiling

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