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Pattern (5 criteria)
• A pattern is bounded by at least two trend lines (straight or curved)
• All patterns have a combination of entry and exit points
• Patterns can be continuation patterns or reversal patterns
• Patterns are fractal, meaning that they can be seen in any charting
period (weekly, daily, minute, etc.)
• A pattern is not complete or activated until an actual breakout occurs
4 Techniques for Trading Patterns
Breakouts, Entry Stops, Protective Stops, Retracements
Breakout
Violation of a Trend Line, Support or Resistance, or previous reversal point
5 Confirmation filters to determine whether a breakout has taken place
Intrabar, Multiple Closes, Time, Percentage or Point, Money
Intrabar
An intrabar confirmation filter requires price to move a specified distance beyond the breakout level during the bar before the breakout is considered valid.
Example: Resistance is at 20,000 on NQ. Instead of buying the instant price trades at 20,001, you require a 5-point intrabar filter. You enter only if price reaches 20,005 during that bar.
In short: breakout level + required additional movement = confirmed breakout.
Unlike a closing-price filter, you don't need to wait for the bar to close—the confirmation happens intrabar.
Multiple Closes
A multiple-closes confirmation filter requires price to close beyond the breakout level for a specified number of consecutive bars before the breakout is considered valid.
Example: Resistance is at 20,000 and you require 2 closes above resistance:
Bar 1 closes at 20,006 → first confirmation.
Bar 2 closes at 20,012 → second confirmation.
Breakout is now confirmed.
This is more conservative than an intrabar filter because it helps filter out brief moves beyond support/resistance that quickly reverse.
Time
A time confirmation filter requires price to remain beyond the breakout level for a specified amount of time before the breakout is considered valid.
Example: Resistance is at 20,000, with a 5-minute time filter. Price breaks above 20,000 at 10:00 AM and must remain above it until 10:05 AM before the breakout is confirmed.
In short: the longer price holds beyond the level, the more confirmation you have that the breakout is genuine.
Percentage or Point
A percentage or point confirmation filter requires price to move a specified distance beyond the breakout level before the breakout is considered valid.
Example — point filter: Resistance = 20,000, filter = 10 points → breakout confirmed at 20,010.
Example — percentage filter: Resistance = 20,000, filter = 0.1% → breakout confirmed at 20,020.
So instead of entering immediately when resistance is breached, you require an additional X points or X% of movement first.
This is closely related to an intrabar filter; the distinction is that point/percentage describes how the confirmation threshold is measured, while intrabar describes when it can be confirmed (before the bar closes).
Money
A money confirmation filter requires the breakout to move a specified dollar value per contract/share beyond the breakout level before it is considered confirmed.
Example: You require a $100 money filter on one NQ futures contract. Since NQ is $20 per point, $100 corresponds to 5 points.
Resistance = 20,000 → breakout confirmed at 20,005.
So it's essentially a point filter expressed in monetary terms, taking the instrument's dollar value per point into account.
Entry Stops
Buy stop orders are used to
enter trades once the price
breaks out.
False Breakout
Price breaks out but almost
immediately returns back
through its breakout price.
Failed Breakout (Trap)
False breakout occurs and
the price then breaks out in
the opposite direction.
Protective Stops and Types of Placement
Determines the amount of
capital risk before entry and protects capital. Types of placement include Filters, such as percent,
points, or money; Trend line, support or
resistance level with filter
4 Steps for Trading False Breakouts Using Protective Stops
1. Enter on breakout
2. Place protective stop
outside breakout bar
opposite from breakout
direction
3. Place entry stop at same
level (called a "stop and
reverse" order)
4. If price continues in
direction of breakout, profit
from breakout entry; if breakout is false, profit
from stop and reverse
2 Types of Retracements (Counter Trend Correction)
1. Pullback (on breakout down)
2. Throwback (on breakout up)
3 Categories of Multi-Bar Patterns
1. Horizontal Congestion 2. Triangles 3. Other
Common Horizontal Congestion Patterns
Double and Triple
Tops/Bottoms, Rectangles
Common Triangle Patterns
Symmetrical, Ascending and Descending, Wedges
Common Other Patterns
Head and Shoulders, Cup and Handle
6 Common Candlestick Patterns
1. Doji
2. Harami
3. Hanging Man/Hammer
4. Shooting Star/Inverted Hammer
5. Engulfing
6. Dark Cloud/Piercing
4 Common Short-Term Patterns
1. Pennant/Flag
2. Gaps
3. Pipe Bottom
4. Narrow Range
3 Characteristics of the Double Top
1. Two successive peaks separated
by an opposite reversal point
2. Either rounded or pointed peaks
that are usually at roughly the same
price (resistance level)
3. Price must break out of middle
reversal point
How to Calculate Price Target for the Double Top
Take the height from the highest peak to the trough and
then subtracting the amount from the breakout price to the
downside.
3 Characteristics of the Double Bottom
1. Two successive troughs separated
by a peak
2. Either rounded or pointed troughs
that are usually at roughly the same
price (support level)
3. Price must break out of
middle peak
How to Calculate Price Target for the Double Bottom
Take the distance from the troughs to the peak and then
adding that amount from the breakout price to the upside.
2 Characteristics of the Triple Top
1. Three distinct peaks at roughly the
same price level separated by two
intermittent troughs
2. Breakout occurs when price exceeds
the extreme of the intermittent
trough or a trend line connecting
those points; there is often a pullback to retest the troughs
How to Calculate Price Target for the Triple Top
Take the height from the highest peak to the lowest trough
in the pattern. Then subtract that amount from the lowest
trough in the pattern to generate a price target.
4 Characteristics of the Triple Bottom
1. Three distinct troughs at roughly the
same price level separated by two
intermittent peaks at any level
2. Breakout occurs when price exceeds
the extreme of the intermittent peaks
or a trend line connecting those
points; throwback often occurs to retest the peaks
3. Best performance may be after a
sustained decline*
4. An average performance, but watch
for failures*
How to Calculate Price Target for the Triple Bottom
Take the height from the highest peak to the lowest trough
in the pattern. Then add that amount to the highest peak in
the pattern to generate a price target.
5 Characteristics of Rectangles
1. Trading range with support and
resistance levels bounding price
action
2. Slight tilt, similar to horizontal
channel
3. Often has many false breakouts*
4. Things to consider:
‐ Confirm a breakout
‐ "Shortfall" often indicator of eventual
breakout direction
5. Best occurrence may be bottom
breaking upward*
How to Calculate Price Target for the Rectangle
Take the height from the resistance line to the support line. Then either add that amount to the resistance line to generate a price target for an upside breakout, OR subtract that amount from the support line to generate a price target for a downside breakout.
4 Characteristics of the Symmetrical Triangle
1. Bounded by a downward sloping
upper trend line and an upward
sloping lower trend line. Each bound
is a straight trend line
2. Prices must touch each bound at
least twice. Many false breakouts.
Moderately successful in
performance
3. Things to consider:
‐ Confirm a breakout
4. Best occurrence may be upward
breaking out - above average for
all patterns*
How to Calculate Price Target for the Symmetrical Triangle
Take the height from the highest peak in the pattern to the
lowest trough in the pattern. Then either add it (for upward
breakouts) to the breakout price or subtract it (for downward
breakouts) from the breakout price to generate a price target.
4 Characteristics of the Ascending Triangle
1. Bounded by a horizontal upper trend
line and an upward sloping lower
trend line. Each bound is a straight
trend line
2. Prices can break in either direction,
but more commonly upward*; often a throwback/pullback
3. Breakout usually occurs in pattern.
About average failure rates but many
small false breakouts*
4. Post breakout performance average
on upside but above average on
downside*
How to Calculate Price Target for the Ascending Triangle
Take the height from the highest peak in the pattern to the
lowest trough in the pattern. Then either add it (for upward
breakouts) to the breakout price or subtract it (for downward
breakouts) from the breakout price to generate a price target.
3 Characteristics of the Descending Triangle
1. Bounded by two trend lines; the
lower is horizontal and the upper
slopes downward
2. Prices can break in either direction
but most commonly downward*
3. Above-average performance on
upside break; retracements occur
often*
How to Calculate Price Target for the Descending Triangle
Take the height from the highest peak in the pattern to the
lowest trough in the pattern. Then either add it (for upward
breakouts) to the breakout price or subtract it (for downward
breakouts) from the breakout price to generate a price target.
3 Characteristics of the Wedge
1. Bounded by two trend lines, each
headed in the same direction; Price
must touch a trend line at least five
times (3 times on one and 2 times on
the other) before a breakout; a pullback often occurs
2. Often occur following a panic
(declining wedge) or bubble
(rising wedge)
3. Performance in both types is below
average, and retracements are
very common*
How to Calculate Price Target for the Wedge
For downward breakout, the lowest trough in the pattern is the price target. For upward breakouts, take the height from the highest peak in the pattern to the lowest trough in the pattern and add that amount to the breakout price for a price target.
6 Characteristics of Head and Shoulders Top
1. Three peaks with center peak higher
than the other two
2. Shoulders should be at approximately
the same level and the head higher
3. Line connecting the two throughs
between the peaks is called
the "neckline"
4. Pattern is only complete on breaking
the neckline
5. Target is the distance from the head to
the neckline projected from the neckline
6. This is a standard pattern for tops and
has one of the lowest failure rates
Head and Shoulders Bottom
Inverted but otherwise
identical to a top pattern, except not as profitable
4 Characteristics of a Cup and Handle (Saucer)
1. Pattern consists of a rounded bottom
(not a "V" bottom), two "lips" at each
end, and a "handle" (similar to a flag
pattern) from the handle
2. Pattern is complete with breakout
above both lips
3. Often have a throwback
4. The pattern's performance ranks
about average for bottom patterns*
How to Calculate Price Target for the Cup and Handle
Take the height of the right cup lip to the bottom of the
cup, then add that amount to the breakout price.
3 Best Multi-Bar Patterns for Generating Upward Signals
1. Descending Triangle 2. Rectangle 3. Pipe Bottom
3 Best Multi-Bar Patterns for Generating Downward Signals
1. Flag 2. Head and Shoulders Top 3. Island Reversal
Pipe Bottom (4 Points)
A Pipe Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern consisting of two consecutive, prominent downward price spikes that bottom at approximately the same price level, typically on a weekly chart.
Example: A stock falls sharply and makes a weekly low at $50. The following week it falls sharply again but bottoms around $50.25, then reverses upward. The two similar lows form the "pipes."
Basic idea: sharp low → second similar sharp low → reversal upward.
It resembles a double bottom, but the two bottoms occur very close together—usually on adjacent bars—and are sharp rather than rounded.
Island Reversal (5 Points)
An Island Reversal is a reversal pattern where a group of price bars becomes isolated from the surrounding price action by gaps on both sides.
Bullish example: Price is falling → gaps down → trades for several bars at the lower level → then gaps up, leaving those bars isolated as an "island."
Bearish example: Price is rising → gaps up → trades for several bars → then gaps down.
Visually: Bullish: decline → ↓ gap → [island] → ↑ gap → rally
The key feature is that the two gaps overlap in price, so the island is separated from the price action before and after it.
3 Characteristics of the Candlestick
1. Traditionally, candlestick patterns are reversal patterns, meaning they
are used to identify when a trend is ending
2. Candlestick patterns are often used with longer-term trends, thus,
upward reversal patterns after a correction in a longer upward trend
show the best performance, and vice versa for downward reversal
patterns in a long downward trend
3. Be careful not to act on a perceived candle pattern until the pattern
has formed and is activated by a breakout in a certain direction
3 Characteristics of the Doji
1. A one-candle pattern formed when the open
and close are the same price, and the high
and low are roughly equidistant from the open
and close
2. Extremely common
3. Indicates indecision in the marketplace and
thus is a possible warning of price change
3 Characteristics of the Harami
1. A two-candle pattern of a large body of either
color followed by a small body of the opposite
color (Top: small black candle within large white candle; Bottom: small white candle within large black candle)
The second body is completely within
the body of the large body and is called a
"spinning top"
2. Although common belief is that the harami is
a reversal pattern, many report that is has the
potential of breaking either way
3. A variation that has a doji instead of a spinning
top as the second candle has equally average
performance and random breakout*
4 Characteristics of the Hanging Man and Hammer
1. One-candle patterns differentiated by the color
of the body. Each pattern has a high that
coincides with either the opening or closing
price
2. Hanging man, thought to be a continuation
pattern, actually breaks in either direction
randomly with a slight upward bias. Its overall
performance is below average*
3. Hammers occur relatively frequently but have
below-average performance*
4. Hanging Men often occur at the top of a trend and are often black; hammers occur at the bottom of a trend and are always white
3 Characteristics of the Shooting Star and Inverted Hammer
A one-candle inverted hanging man or hammer
pattern. Hammers by themselves have white
bodies and shooting stars have black bodies
• As a one-candle pattern, the shooting star has
average performance. The same is true for the
single inverted hammer*
3. Inverted hammers occur at the top of a trend and are often black; inverted hammers occur at the bottom of a pattern and are usually white
2 Characteristics of Engulfing
1. A two-bar pattern in which the second bar
body completely engulfs the first bar body; top: small white candle that is then engulfed by large black candle; bottom: small black candle that is then engulfed by large white candle
2. A bottom engulfing pattern, with a short black
body followed by a tall white body, is thought
to be an upward reversal pattern and actually
has very good performance on a downward
breakout in a downward trend
4 Characteristics of the Dark Cloud Cover and Piercing Line
1. The dark cloud cover is a two-bar pattern where
the second bar closes higher than the first and
is black versus white in the first bar; top: white candle then black; bottom: black candle then white
2. The piercing line is the opposite of the dark
cloud cover in that the second bar is white and
lower than the first bar which is black
3. The dark cloud is thought to be a downward
reversing pattern
4. The piercing line pattern is thought to be an
upward reversing pattern*
3 Characteristics of the Pennant/Flag
1. Pennant and flag patterns are
variations of the same pattern
2. These patterns are often preceded by
a steep, sharp price change, up or
down, and form a short consolidation
that appears like a triangle or flag.
Generally, the pattern slopes slightly
in the direction opposite from the
trend
3. The breakout in either direction is
often followed by a move that equals
the earlier steep, sharp price change
into the pattern
How to Calculate Target Price for the Pennant/Flag
Take the height from the start of the "flag pole" to the
highest peak in the pennant. Add that amount to the
bottom of the pennant for an upward price target.
8 Characteristics of Gaps
1. Definition - no trading (gap)
at specific prices
2. Gaps can be considered
"up" or "down"
3. Gaps are caused by
appreciable changes
in supply and demand
from one close to the
following open
4. Gaps are generally profitable on
breakouts from patterns, trends,
support or resistance
5. A method of trading a gap is the
"explosion gap pivot." It assures
that the gap is valid
6. After the gap, wait for
"throwback." If throwback "covers"
the gap, no action. If the
throwback stops, this is called the
"pivot low." Place buy entry above
high of the gap bar
7. "Pivot" is the lowest level of the
post-gap breakout
8. Protective stops initially placed at
gap low and then below pivot low
3 Characteristics of the Two-Bar Reversal Button or Pipe Bottom
1. Two bars and occurs at the end of a large
trend, up or down trend. Ideally, the first bar,
in a bottom pattern, closes at the low, and the
second bar closes in the upper half of the range.
It is more reliable in weekly data
2. Bar ranges are larger than preceding
bar ranges
3. Action occurs on breakout through second bar
How to Calculate Price Target for the Two-Bar Reversal Button or Pipe Bottom
Take the height from the taller of the two bars to the lower
of the two bars. Add that amount to the taller of the two
bars to get a price target.
5 Characteristics of Volatility Patterns
1. Dull activity is known as "low volatility." New
trends often begin from periods of low volatility
2. One way to look at volatility is to observe the
relationship between price bars
3. "Range" is the spread between high and low in
a price bar
4. If a bar is followed by a bar with less range,
volatility is declining; the second bar is called a
"narrow range" bar
5. When this second bar's range is contained
within the range of its preceding bar, it is called
an "inside bar."
3 Characteristics of Narrow Range
1. One low volatility pattern is called a "Narrow
Range" pattern and consists of a bar with a
range narrower than its preceding bars
2. The graph shows a four-bar, Narrow Range
pattern (NR4) with four bars, the fourth bar
having a narrower range than the preceding
three bars
3. The breakout occurs on a break above or below
the high or low of the narrow range
Technical Indicator Definition
A mathematical calculation based on historic price or volume.
5 Types of Technical Indicators
1. Trend Indicators 2. Momentum Indicators 3. Volume Indicators 4. Volatility Indicators 5. Support and Resistance Indicator
Simple Moving Average (TI) Definition
SMA is the easiest moving
average to construct. It is
calculated as the average price
over the specified period. The
average is called "moving"
because it is plotted on the
chart bar by bar, forming a line
that moves along the chart as
the average value changes.
Determining a Trend Direction with SMA (2 Points)
1. If the SMA is positively sloping, the trend is up.
2. If the SMA is negatively sloping, the trend is down.
Determining Trend Duration with SMA (3 Points)
1. 200-bar SMAs are common proxies for long-term trends.
2. 50-bar SMAs are typically used to gauge intermediate trends.
3. Shorter-period SMAs can be used to determine short-term trends.
Determining Trading Signals via price crosses with SMA (2 Points)
1. When prices cross above the SMA, you may want to go long or cover short.
2. When prices cross below the SMA, you may want to go short or exit long.
Cover Short Definition
Buy back shares that were previously borrowed or sold short
Exit Long Definition
Sell a stock you previously purchased
Using Moving Average Crossovers to Generate Trading Signals (2 Points)
1. When a more sensitive
(faster) SMA crosses
above a less sensitive
(slower) SMA from below,
it is considered bullish.
2. When a more sensitive
(faster) SMA crosses
below a less sensitive
(slower) SMA from above,
it is considered bearish.
Exponential Moving Average (TI) Definition
The EMA measures trend
direction over a period of time.
It applies more weight to data
that is more current. Because of
its unique calculation, EMA will
follow prices more closely than
a corresponding SMA.
Identifying Trends Earlier with EMA (1 Point)
Use the same rules that apply to SMAs when interpreting EMAs. Keep in mind that EMAs are generally more sensitive to nearer-term price movement.
Determining Trend Direction with EMA (1 Point)
When the EMA rises, you may want to consider buying when prices dip near or just below the EMA. When the EMA falls, you may consider selling when prices rally toward or just above the EMA.
Indicating Support and Resistance Areas with EMA
A rising EMA tends to support the price action, while a falling EMA tends to provide resistance to price action.
How Does EMA React to Pullback and Subsequent Rallies vs. SMA
It reacts faster to pullbacks and subsequent rallies than SMA; A 30-day chart is a good way to see examples of this
Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (TI) Definition
MACD is a momentum oscillator primarily used to trade trends.
How is the MACD line Calculated?
MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-period EMA from the 12-period EMA.
How is the MACD Signal Line Calculated?
The signal line is calculated by taking a 9-period EMA of the MACD line itself
Standard MACD Formula on Trading Platforms
MACD (12, 26, 9)
Determining Bullish or Bearish Movement with MACD (3 Points)
1. MACD crossing above the zero line is considered bullish, while
crossing below the zero line is bearish. When MACD turns up from
below the zero line, it is considered bullish. When it turns down from
above the zero line, it is considered bearish.
2. When the MACD line crosses from below to above the signal line, the indicator is considered bullish. The further below the zero line this cross occurs, the stronger the signal.
3. When the MACD line crosses from above to below the signal line, the indicator is considered bearish. The further above the zero line this cross occurs, the stronger the signal.
Why are bullish MACD crossovers considered stronger when they occur below the zero line, and vice-versa?
When the MACD line is below the zero line, the longer-term EMA is higher than the shorter-term. A bearish crossover is considered stronger when it happens above the zero line because above the line, the shorter-term EMA is higher than the longer-term.
MACD Histogram Definition (3 Points)
- The bar graph that represents the distance between the MACD line and the signal line.
- At convergence, there are no lines
- Histogram = MACD line - Signal line
Indications of Momentum Above and Below the MACD Zero Line (2 Points)
- Above the zero line: MACD is above the signal and upward (green) momentum is accelerating.
- Below the zero line: MACD is below the signal line and downward momentum is accelerating
What Does the Average Directional Movement Index (TI) do?
ADX can be used to help
measure the overall strength
of a trend.
4 Characteristics of ADX
1. A strong trend is present when ADX is above 25;
no trend is present when ADX is below 20.
2. If the ADX is declining, it could indicate that the current trend
is weakening.
3. If the ADX is rising, it could indicate a strengthening trend.
4. The ADX indicator incorporates two different components in its
construction which are commonly plotted along with the ADX.
‐ Positive Directional Indicator (+DMI) shows the difference between today's
high price and yesterday's high price. These values are then added up from
the past 14 periods and then plotted.
‐ Negative Directional Indicator (-DMI) shows the difference between today's
low price and yesterday's low price. These values are then summed up from
the past 14 periods and plotted.
4 Characteristics of the Stochastic Oscillator
1. Generally, the area above 80 indicates an overbought region, while
the area below 20 is considered an oversold region.
2. A sell signal is given when the oscillator is above the 80 level and
then crosses back below 80. Conversely, a buy signal is given when
the oscillator is below 20 and then crosses back above 20.
3. A crossover signal occurs when the two lines cross in the overbought
or oversold region.
4. Divergences form when a new high or low in price is not confirmed
by the Stochastic Oscillator.
* Divergences between price and oscillators can also generate signals.
Formulas for fast Stochastic Oscillator and Slow Stochastic Oscillator - Which provides the cleaner signal?
Fast Stochastic: 14, 1, 3
Slow Stochastic: 14, 3, 3 (provides cleaner signals)
What are the two lines of the Stochastic Oscillator and what do they do?
%K line: the fast/main line that measures where the current close sits relative to the recent high-low range; usually calculated over 14 periods.
%D line: the slower signal line and a smoother version of %K; most commonly a 3-period SMA of %K
What do overbought and oversold signals on the chart indicate?
Price movement in the short term.
4 General Rules of Volume Theory
1. Increasing volume reinforces the trend direction 2. Declining volume diminishes the trend direction 3. A price peak or trough on ultra-high volume is often an important reversal point in a trend.
What is true about oscillators during trend markets?
Oversold or overbought can last for days or weeks; in a strong bull trend, 50 or 40 is the oversold zone where buyers step back in; 50 or 60 is overbought where sellers step back in during bear trends. This is called indicator Embedding
Stochastic Oscillator (MI)
The Stochastic Oscillator is a
momentum indicator that
shows the location of the close
relative to the high-low range
over a set number of periods.
The indicator can range from 0
to 100. Stochastic Oscillators
are most effective in broad
trading ranges or slow moving
trends.
What is a common occurrence with ADX in an uptrend, but not a requirement?
+DMI is greater than -DMI
Key signal to look for when using ADX
Look for places where ADX crosses below 25 and -DMI has crossed above +DMI at about the same time, and vice-versa
What does Relative Strength Index (MI) do?
RSI measures the speed and change of price movements
4 Characteristics of the RSI
1. The RSI oscillates from zero and 100. Traditionally, the RSI is
considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30.
2. In an uptrend or bull market, the RSI tends to remain in the 40-90
range with the 40-50 zone acting as support.
3. During a downtrend or bear market, the RSI tends to stay in the
10-60 range with the 50-60 zone acting as resistance.
4. If underlying prices make a new high or low that isn't confirmed by
the RSI, this divergence can signal a price reversal. Core mechanic: Momentum shifts before price
Divergence Caveat
Divergence is not an immediate trigger and should be confirmed by stochastic crossovers, break of trendline, etc., or 2nd price peak/trough w/ RSI mismatch.
What does On Balance Volume (Volume Indicator) do?
OBV measures buying and
selling pressure as a cumulative
indicator that adds volume on
up days and subtracts volume
on down days.
25
3 Characteristics of OBV
1. The actual value of the OBV is unimportant; concentrate on its
direction.
2. When price continues to make higher peaks and OBV fails to make
higher peaks, the upward trend is likely to stall or fail. This is called a
negative divergence.
3. When price continues to make lower troughs and OBV fails to make
lower troughs, the downward trend is likely to stall or fail. This is
called a positive divergence
What is an Up Day with OBV, and what defines it
Current close is higher than previous; OBV = previous OBV + today's volume