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Shape (using SOCS to describe distribution)
“The graph is roughly (skewed L/R, symmetric, uni/bimodal)”
Outliers (using SOCS to describe distribution)
“There are no apparent outliers / (the graph appears to have an outlier at (#) (SOCS)”
Center (using SOCS to describe distribution)
“The graph's center is (roughly) at (mean or median)”
Spread (using SOCS to describe distribution)
“The (units in context) vary from (min) to (max)”
Direction (using DOFS to describe a scatter plot)
“The direction of association between (x variable) and (y variable) is (positve/negative)”
Outliers (using DOFS to describe a scatter plot)
“There are no apparent outliers / (the graph appears to have an outlier at (#) (DOFS)”
Form (using DOFS to describe a scatter plot)
“The form is (linear/curved/has gaps)”
Strength (using DOFS to describe a scatter plot)
“The association appears to be (strong/moderate/weak)”
Interpreting r (correlation coefficient)
There is a (strong/moderate/weak) (positive/negative) linear relationship between (x variable) and (y variable)”
Interpreting r2 (coefficient of determination)
“(r2)% of the variation in response variable can be explained by the linear relationship with explanatory variable”
Interpreting b (slope of least squares regression)
“For each additional (x variable), the (y variable) is predicted to increase/decrease by (b)”
Interpreting a (y-intercept of least squares regression)
“At a (x variable), of zero units our model predicts (#) in (y variable)”
Interpret a residual plot
“There is (an/no) obvious curve pattern in the residual plot, so a linear model (is not/is) appropriate”
Interpreting probability (using law of large numbers)
“After many, many (trials), the percent of (successes) will approach (α)%”
Identifying a binomial distribution (BINS)
Binary (success or failure), Independent trials (previous trials don’t affect future), Number of trials is fixed (n = _), Same probability of of success (p = _)
Identifying a geometric distribution (BINS)
Same as binary. However, instead of fixed trials, it is meausuring # of trials until success
Contructing confidence interval
We want to estimate (p/μ) = true (proportion/mean) of (parameter in context) with (α)% confidence. We will use a one sample (z/t) interval for (p/μ)
Interpreting confidence interval
We are (α)% confident that the interval from (lower bound) to (upper bound) captures are true (parameter in context)
Interpreting confidence level
If we take many, many samples and calculate a confidence interval for each, about (α)% of them will capture the true (proportion/mean) of (parameter in context)
Constructing a significance test
We will use a 2 sample (z/t) test for (p1 - p2 / μ1 - μ2) . Let (p1 - p2 / μ1 - μ2) = true difference of (proportion/mean) of (parameter in context)
Interpreting p-value (less than α)
Since the p-value = (#) is less than α = (#), we reject H0. There is convincing evidence to support HA
Interpreting p-value (greater than α)
Since the p-value = (#) is greater than α = (#), we fail to reject H0, there is not convincing evidence to support HA
Type I error (False positive)
Reject H0 when it’s true
Type II error (False negative)
Fail to reject H0 when it’s false
Hypotheses for GoF test
H0: The claimed distribution of (item) is true. HA: The claimed distribution of (item) is not true
Hypotheses for Independence/Association
H0: there is no association between (item) and (item). HA: There is an association between (item) and (item)
Hypotheses for Homogeneity
H0: There is no difference in distribution of (item) and (item). HA: There is a difference in distribution of (item) and (item)