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Primary Task of policy analysis
identifying policies that have best prospects and assessed based on specific goals and criteria
Policy Alternative
option, strategy,etc. to solve, mitigate, or improve a public problem
Methods for arriving at alternatives
Start comprehensive and end focused, Out of the box solutions, model the system = describe causes
Consider alternatives jointly”
alternatives are not mutually exclusive, can be adopted in groups or pairs
Basic vs Variant
basic = broad category of interventions/policies
Generic policy solutions table
market mechanisms, incentives, rules, nonmarket supply, insurance and cushions
Market mechanisms
Freeing markets(deregulate,legalize,privatize), facilitating markets(allocate through property rights, create new marketable goods)
Incentives
Supply-side taxes (tariffs), Supply-side subsidies (matching grants, business deductions and credits), Demand-side taxes(commodity taxes and user fees), Demand-side subsidies(In-kind subsidies, vouchers)
Establishing Rules
Frameworks (criminal and civil laws), Regulations(on price, quantity, info)
Supplying Goods through nonmarket mechanisms
Direct supply, Contracting out
Providing insurance and cushions
Insurance, Cushions (Transitional assistance, stockpiling)
Solution for public goods
nonmarket supply
Solution to externalities
rules and incentives
Solution to natural monopolies
rules and nonmarket supply
Solution to information asymmetry
rules
Solution to equity of opportunity
rules and insurance and cushions
Solution to equality of outcoes
rules, nonmarket supply, insurance (all secndary)
Solution to direct democracy
rules
Solution to representative government
market mechanisms
Solution to bureaucratic supply
market mechanism
Solution to decentralization
incentives
Sawicki “no-action” alt
provide benchmark against which alternatives can be compared, help clarify project’s objectives, sometimes accepting no action may be the best solution
“Do nothing” alternative
“let present trends continue undisturbed”, natural change may affect underlying problem, evaluate against other finalist alternatives, calculate incremental benefits/costs
Diff b/wsawicki and bardach
Bardach do nothing recognizes consequences and political reality, rather than just as a baseline
Why is including the alternative in analysis important?
baseline for comparison, inaction is a policy choice, do nothing could sometimes be better
Governmental failures
direct democracy, representative government, bureaucratic supply, decentralization
Kahneman and Tversky systems
how you can take decisions, fast-taking mental shortcuts “gut feeling” vs. slow measured analytic approaches “conscious thought”
Heuristic examples
status quo bias, loss aversion, framing, confirmation bias, optimism and overconfidence
Biases/deviations from rational choice
representativeness, anchoring, availability
Nudges
encourage people to act in ways that the government considers to be in their best interest, don’t coerce and give option to act otherwise (libertarian paternalism)
Choice architecture
how options are sequenced, labeled, and designed, “status quo bias”
EAST
East-decreasing/increasing frictions, Attractive-standout and attractive, Social- norms and networks, Timely- Early, capitalize on major moments, time inconsistency
Limits of nudges
less effective with large, structural issues; may enable manipulative or unethical practices by govt; heterogeneity across social and cultural contexts; generalizability constraints
Normative analysis
introduce one’s values or ideological beliefs and makes explicit conclusions about what should be done
Positive analysis
A statement of fact, finding, or theory that is devoid of judgement. A conclusion is made about what did or will happen without introducing an opinion as to whether this is a good or bad thing.
Diff b/w positive and normative
Positive analysis describes how the world is; normative analysis
describes how the world should be
Criteria
goals, values we want to achieve/realize, standards for evaluating the results of policy actions
Criteria help us assess
magnitude of outcome produced by each alternative, how likely each alternative is to produce outcome, How well each alternative produces outcome
Diff b/w alternatives and outcomes
alternatives are courses of action and criteria are mental standards for evaluating results of actions
Steps to take with criteria
identify criteria, develop metric that measures it, measure impact of each alternative on each criterion, discuss tradeoffs and finish
Principal objective
problems either maximize or minimise this, criteria should target this and elucidate tradeoffs among competing alternatives
Consider criterion based on
importance, meaningful and understandable to relevant stake holders, specific, ends, not means, measurable, comprehensive(completely exhaustive), independent(mutually exclusive)
Common broad criteria
effectiveness, efficiency, cost, equity, feasibility, ease of implementation, unintended/adverse consequences
Operationalization
process through which analysts measure concepts, identifying scales that correspond to variance in the concept
Criteria of measurement quality
reliability, validity, quality
Nominal
mutually exclusive, exhaustive
Ordinal
mutually exclusive, exhaustive, inherent ranking of categories
Interval and ratio
mutually exclusive, exhaustive, inherent ranking of categories, specific distance between categories