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tree rings
Annual layers reflect variations in environmental conditions such as rainfall, temperature, and fire occurrence.
coral growth
annual layers, indicate environmental changes such as temperature, light availability, nutrient conditions; can be used for paleotemperature reconstructions.
speleothems
cave formations like stalactites and stalagmites that grow as calcium carbonate precipitates from evaporating water
speleothems in paleoclimate research
can be dated using radioactive isotopes and used as temperature proxies or indicators of rainfall through oxygen isotopes and layer thickness
ice cores resolution
annual to centennial
ice core range
up to 800,000 years
what can be measured from ice cores
Precipitation (estimated from layer thickness), temperature (inferred from oxygen isotopes), CO2 concentration (trapped air bubbles), dust content (indicative of wind velocity and direction)
ice cores archives of paleoclimate information
provide information on atmospheric composition (CO2, dust) and temperature
sediment cores archive of paleoclimate information
offer insight into changes in sediment composition, chemistry, microfossil species, and isotopic changes in fossils, indicating environmental changes over longer timescales (centennial to millennial)
age of earth
around 4.5 billion years old
indicators of glaciation (icehouse world)
u-shaped valleys, cirque horns, moraines, erratic boulders, hanging valleys
coal formation
Abundant vegetation compressed and heated over time
organic-rich clay formation
Accumulation of organic material in anaerobic conditions
petroleum formation
formed from organic residue of plants and animals buried in sedimentary rocks and subjected to slow heating
coal, clay, and petroleum deposits’ role in carbon distribution in the earth system
These deposits represent a major carbon sink, sequestering carbon that was once in the atmosphere
alluvial fans
Formed by tectonic activity and enhanced erosion, indicating periods of increased weathering and CO2 drawdown from the atmosphere through silicate weathering
limestone
Formed in warm marine environments, acting as carbon sinks by sequestering carbon dioxide
chalk
limestone derived from phytoplankton cells
indicators of deserts/dry conditions
large cross-bedding (ancient dunes) and evaporites that form in areas of intense evaporation/subtropical arid zones
Laterite and bauxite as tropical soil indicators
Iron and aluminum-enriched soils formed in hot and wet tropical climates by weathering
Volcanic activity and climate
Causes short-term cooling due to aerosols but can lead to long-term warming if there is a sustained release of CO2
Sedimentary structures
Ripple marks and desiccation cracks indicate evidence of shallow water, evaporation, and changing water levels
fossil leaves shape
used to estimate paleotemperature (smooth leaf for warm, toothed leaf for cold)
fossil leaves stomata
used to estimate atmospheric CO2 concentration (high density for low CO2, low density for high CO2)
pollen in sediment
indicate changes in vegetation, reflecting shifts in climate and environment
when did Permian end?
252 million years ago
Permian climate
high temperatures, arid conditions, extreme weather events, toxic environments, and widespread ecological disruptions, culminating in one of the most catastrophic extinction events in Earth's history
what caused the rise of CO2 in atmosphere in Permian era
likely caused by volcanic activity
Siberian Trap Basalts
a key trigger of the extreme "hothouse" climate conditions and ecological collapse that characterized the end of the Permian period on Earth
end-permian ocean
no deep ocean ventilation(not circulating/mixing), lack of ocean circulation, ocean acidification, ocean anoxia (lack of oxygen), development of toxic, anoxic conditions in sunlit layers of the ocean, and subtoxic-anoxic conditions (expansion of OMZ)
end-permian extinction
Severe extinction event with 95% of marine species and 70% of terrestrial vertebrates extinct
end-permian: which toxic gases were released from oceans
hydrogen sulfide (H2S) and methane (CH4)
end-cretaceous sea level
extremely high; went from 330-660 (beginning of cretaceous) feet to 660-820 feet
when did cretaceous period end
66 million years ago
cretaceous ocean anoxic event
intense volcanism released greenhouse gases
end-cretaceous extinction event
extinction of approximately 75% of all species on Earth, most likely caused by major meteorite impact, caused massive earthquakes, tsunamis, wildfires, and the injection of large amounts of dust, soot, and sulfur gases into the atmosphere, acid rain, and lead to period of intense darkness and cooling
when did paleocene-eocene thermal maximum (PETM) occur
56 million years ago
PETM gas additions
rapid spikes in CO2 and methane (greenhouse gases)
PETM gas addition causes
likely from release of methane from seafloor hydrates and coal deposits
cooling trend 50 million years ago
Potentially caused by falling CO2 levels, mountain building, and the growth of ice sheets
mountain building global cooling
enhances silicate weathering and draws down atmospheric CO2
miocene ice sheets
increased growth of ice sheets, specifically in Antarctica and Greenland, caused sea levels to fall and altered ocean currents and circulation patterns
Effects of geological changes on Earth's climate
Opening of the Drake Passage, Fram Strait, and closing of the Isthmus of Panama influenced ocean currents, circulation patterns, and regional climates
Quaternary Period - pleistocene
2.7 million to 11,700 years ago
Quaternary Period - Holocene
last 11,700 years
Orbital cycles
Variations in Earth's orbit affecting solar radiation received by the planet
orbital cycles correlation to pleistocene glacial
times of lower eccentricity (more circular orbit), lower obliquity (smaller tilt), and certain configurations of precession that reduce summer solar radiation in the Northern Hemisphere
orbital cycles correlation to pleistocene interglacial
times of higher eccentricity, higher obliquity, and precession configurations that increase summer solar radiation in the Northern Hemisphere
pleistocene atmospheric CO2 and temperature
CO2 levels were around 200-280 ppm, with temperatures significantly lower than today's, temperatures were 5-6°C lower during glacial periods
pleistocene sea level changes
Sea levels were about 100-130 meters lower than today during glacial stages
Younger Dryas event
Rapid cooling period around 11,700-12,900 years ago, likely triggered by a slowdown in thermohaline circulation due to freshwater influx into the North Atlantic
temperature trend over past 8,000 years
Generally cooling trend, but recent temperature increase has reversed this trend
medieval warm period
9th to 13th century, possibly influenced by solar intensity and volcanic activity
little ice age
16ht to 19th century, possibly influenced by solar intensity and volcanic activity
hockey stick curve
reconstruction of Northern Hemisphere temperatures over the past 1,000 years, showing the recent sharp rise in temperatures after a relatively stable period, likely linked to human-induced climate change
climate model - grid resolution
Up to 2 degrees is typical, with 20-30 layers in the atmosphere and ocean
representation of earth system processes
applying fundamental laws of physics (motion, thermodynamics) to solve budget equations for each component, calculating the exchange of energy, momentum, and mass
boundary conditions
include solar radiation, greenhouse gas concentrations, orbital parameters, topography, and bathymetry
evaluation of model results
comparing output to observational data, looking at correlation coefficients for surface air temperature, terrestrial radiation, precipitation, and cloud radiative effects
IPCC
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
time range for model prediction in IPCC report
Predictions are made for near-term (2021-2040), mid-term (2041-2060), and long-term (2081-2100) periods
SSP
shared socioeconomic pathway
SSP number indication
indicate the approximate radiative forcing in W/m^-2 by 2100 for that scenario
Temperature predictions
range from approximately 1.5 to 4.3 degrees Celsius increase by the end of the century, depending on the scenario
precipitation predictions
increase at high latitudes, in the equatorial Pacific, and in monsoon regions, but decrease in subtropical areas
prediction for change in carbon uptake
predicted to decline under higher emissions scenarios (SSP5-8.5, SSP3-7.0), indicating these natural sinks will become less effective. Under lower emissions scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP1-1.9), the sinks continue to absorb more carbon
predictions for sea ice coverage
decline significantly, potentially leading to an ice-free summer by mid-to-late century under the higher emissions scenarios in Arctic. Lower emissions scenarios still show decline but maintain some summer ice cover
predictions for ocean surface pH
decrease (increased acidification) significantly under higher emissions, with a less severe but still substantial decrease under lower emissions.
predictions for sea level
rise 0.38-0.77 m by 2100 under lower emissions, and 0.63-1.01 m under higher emissions
general trend in climate extremes
more frequent, intense, and prolonged
Areas in US with changes in climate extremes
The southwestern and southern United States increase in hot weather, northeastern US increase in precipitation
expected shift in vegetation biomes
expected to shift poleward, leading to the replacement of high-latitude and high-altitude ecosystems with species migrating in from lower latitudes and elevations
effects on species at high latitude or altitudes
likely to be negatively affected in a warmer climate as they may face habitat loss due to biome shifts and increased competition from species moving in from lower latitudes or elevations
wildfire occurence
projected to increase in many regions due to hotter and drier conditions, as well as changes in vegetation patterns
coral bleaching
occurs when rising ocean temperatures cause corals to expel the symbiotic algae living within their tissues, leading to the loss of the vibrant colors associated with healthy coral reefs
what is ocean acidification
process where increased absorption of atmospheric CO2 leads to a decrease in the pH of seawater
why is ocean acidification increasing
because of the absorption of excess CO2 emitted by human activities, primarily from the burning of fossil fuels
how does ocean acidification affect marine life
detrimental effects on marine organisms, particularly those that rely on calcium carbonate structures, such as shellfish and plankton.