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+ business/gov tactics
Nudge theory UK+SG
Sweets as back of shops/ category rating abcd
reduced by 25% UK
pension savings default increase over time
increased long term savings, vs opt-in
Correct choices of under saving
Freedom
NY serendipity restaurant anchoring (retail pricing strategies)
Anchoring: Item listed as $69, make $17 seem reasonable/cheap in comparison
sales of 17 burger increased after
Evaluation:
Decisions are not based on rational cost-benefit, but anchored to initial price.
Suggests firms exploit behavioural biases; consumers are not always rational.
Supports behavioural economics' critique of perfect information assumption.
USA organ donation (default choice)
Default = opt-out → high donation rates
In US states with opt-in systems: only ~25% consent rate
In contrast, Austria (opt-out): ~99% consent
Evaluation: Shows how default settings override rational choice — people stick with default due to bounded rationality. Challenges assumption of utility-maximising, fully informed consumers.
More socially desirable/less backlash tactics, but still may feel sense of manipulation
Market structures Oligopoly
collusion
OPEC
few producers coordinate output
2020: cut supply to raise prices during demand slump
collusive oligopoly acts like monopoly
Higher prices lower output
Can stabilise market in some cases
OPEC talks collapsed when russia refused oil cuts, Saudi responded = interdependence
increasing production = price war, low prices
depend on trust and transparency
Risk: attract regulatory attention (2021 US sense accused collusion)
Consumer higher prices and reduced efficiency
Dairy products in UK supermarkets
Sainsbury, Asda and Safeway, etc, colluded to increase milk prices in 2002 and 2003
Tesco has 27.9% of market shares in British supermarkets, Sainsbury’s has 15.6%, Asda has 14.4%
270 million pound additional profit overall
80-110 million pound fine NOT ENOugh
3. Fast food differentiation
Monopolistic competition
Coffee shops in UK (preset, costa, locals)
many firms and low barriers with similar but differentiated products (location, branding, menu)
Short run abnormal profits
Greater consumer choice, innovation, NPC
inefficient allocation (P>MC)
Long run normal profits
More variety than monopoly but firms not produce at lowest cost
Monopoly/natural
Monopoly
Goggle: 90% of global search market, price maker (data/ads)
abuses of market power in 2018: EU fined billions for forcing android to pre-install goggle (manipulating competition)
Allocative inefficiency= restricted consumer choice, biased search (prioritising own shopping sites)
abnormal profits
fund R/D, limited competition however
Gov anti-trust regulation, depend on enforcement strength / speed, size
Apple innovation
Uber predatory pricing
competitor taking market share away in California (fly-wheel)
Low prices to outcompete bc of EOS
consumers benefit
Flywheel loses almost all shared
Same with Amazon for diapers.com
Amazon ran losses during this time
diapers more innovative, Amazon takeover hindered innovation, harm consumers long term benefit short term w low prices
Luxottica glasses
less innovation but high prices
Natural
UK water industry (Thames water)
hugged fixed infrastructure cost, multiple firms would be inefficient
EOS justify
Allows consistent service, but lack of competition
less incentive for efficiency + quality
Regulation needed to incentivise and prevent abuse (control prices/quality assurance)
2023: faced backlash for poor sewage handling, public pressure+ political impact (gov complacency)
Rationality / beahvioru
UK sugar intake—self control
NHS recommended levels, sugar consumption still high above recommended levels
people aware but still eat: habits and bounded control
Dont always act in long term self interest, nudge theory better
Bounded rationality/computational
Hard Rock Cafe SG over 200 menu choice, do not have capacity to process + best choice
this may not always be issue with use of technology like booking websites which can make high Q of info easy to process+ make best choice
Selfishness
assumed to act selfishly—(own best interests, may not)
Bill gates donates a lot to many charities+ healthcare
Imperfect info:
Perfect competition
India tuktuks
Asymmetric info + solutions
moral hazard
Adverse selection
USA used car market
-buyers dont know quality, risk of buying bad car
reduced demand for all used cars market failure, good used cars not sold
Gov; dealers must disclose history , warranties, etc, buyers allowed to return if bad condition
Reduces info gap , more efficient
but enforcement required , varies
Cost to gov and firms (admin ) may be passed onto consumers through price
USA health insurance (pre-obama)
consumers have more info abt own risk than sellers,
Sick people more likely to buy —> insurers spend more, so make prices higher for all
insurers may ask for health history
Obama care 2010, mandated coverage + subsidised
reduced uninsured , improved access but price stil rise
SG/EU food labelling
Mandatory calories, sugar, fat labelling on packaged
SG: graded (ABCD) sugar+ ‘healthy’
consumers can make better informed choices,
However
consumers may have limited cognitive: dont know significance of calorie/fat, so SG labelling may be better
Also, stil remains rational limitations: slelf control
Firms may manipulate/escape with small text+harder to understand
Better effective with education+nudge policies
taxes junk food
USA: tobacco, alcohol, soda
- UK junk food tax, recent added,
since 2013, places add soda tax
- only Hungary and Mexico have junk food tax
2011 4% tax on packaged foods/drinks with high sugar
evaluation: junk food C decreased due to price increase (tax), BUT ALSO: educational campaigns
People bought cheaper and often healthier alternative
Hungary is focused on nutrition incentivised firms to renew recipes , many did to make healthier
gov revenue: 219USD —public health
2013, Mexico 8% tax on junk food/calorie dense
evaluation: junk food consumption reduced by 7%
But regressive: most impact on low income groups, (or consume a lot of junk food)
Argument of infringing people’s choice—political pressure
Education option; more educated, junk food consumption less
Need to make healthier food more accessible and cheaper
taxes cigarettes
Australia tobacco tax
One of highest in world
Aim to reduce daily smokers
Price rise by 10x since 1990s
make up 65% retail price in taxes
Seems to help reduce smoking rates
regressive tax , poorer more smoking rate also, price affect them , (3x rate)
Education/mental health campaigns— not just addiction, reduce availability too, not just price
China cigarettes
Vaping tax
20% sales tax B.C since 2020
Quebec introduced complete ban of vape sales,
subsidies
US rice:
excess of $1 billion subsidies towards farmers in 2004
Haiti negatively impacted: 60% rice imported, but for farmers without subsidies in Haiti and with lowered tariffs to US, cheaper rice from US replace domestic
Fewer profits now 80% imported
India fertiliser
reduce subsidise on soil nutrients, chemical free farming
Hurts crop yields and earnings, 60% population depends,
Prices of crop nutrients rise globally crisis
Max price
Malaysia masks during Covid
shortage of face masks
smaller sellers charge above the limit RM0.10 over for surgical masks and RM2 over for N95
Most large firms complying
Other stores would buy large Q and resell for profit ,
face fine of RM100,000/imprisonment, or RM500,000 for
Singaporean cross border buyers since cheaper in RM
Sg provide for free
Venezuela inflation —price ceiling
Rice equilibrium price 15x higher than max price, but max price of only 12c
Monitor supply chain—opp cost
Way below equilibrium, no incentive
Waiting time whole day, rely on black market
high prices
Min price
EU CAP/milk lake
overproduction, excess saved for future if output falls—> milk lakes, butter mountains
Brussels buys up milk since 2015 , keep farmers in business after falling prices : E640 million, 100s of tonnes in storage ,
pay E120,000 a month for storage ,
Loss when selling
Dumping foreign markets in west Africa
Canada
artificially high prices for milk, chicken and eggs—spillover on other products
regressive
Richest farmers benefit
Scotland MUP
alcohol: preventing alcohol related deaths — point for aims of gov to reduce demand instead of protect producers,
limited effect on dependent people
Min wage
posisitve externalities—healthcare spending
UK NHS spending
OPP cost: 129 billion in 2018/9, increase with inflation by 2020,
also spent on education, initiatives, training, infrastructure, etc
Under provided+funded—> meet demand and MSB
Low efficiency and leads to moral hazrad (wait times)
Negative consumption externalities: ads + gov regulation
SG checkouts in groceries dont allow demerit goods like alcohol/cigarettes, diesel, petrol, lottery tickets to be bought under vouchers
ad campaigns for healthy food, anti-smoking
Australia
USA: “tips from former smokers” campaign 2012 successful
1.6mil attempt to quit
Cost-effective: less than $200 per year of life saved
BUT: depends on restriction on advertising FOR—UK: 2017 Junk foods ads spent more than healthy eating
obesity increases seen
27.5x spent on junk foods ads
also depends on quality of ads
vaccines positive externalities consumption + public good
UK vaccines subsidised
20 bil pounds, for R+D
Vaccination campaigns
free vaccines, accessible
reduced hospitalisation significantly (more than vaccinated %) -herd immunity
Sg Free of charge vaccines /subsisidsed
free for kids
reduce risk of disease outbreak
For adults heavily subsidised —low price=access
OPP cost
pos externalities consumption: Education
Korea Uni Subsidies
860bil won
all unis nation-wide, not taking into account performance, but by size and employment safety
In order to achieve job security
Finland 2000
free education since gov funded, Uni also
top ranks in education, productivity and innovation
UK legislation
ages 5-16 school is mandated
Truancy rates monitored and attendance rates (monitoring OPP cost/enforcemet), but we’ll emforced,
but depend on quality for outcome, resources availible
Regulation in dealing with Negative production externalities (also CPR air)
China air pollution, 2013 reached hazardous levels
policy: gov regulations: simple to implement, force compliance + limit pollution
environment regulations, shutting down causal factories and promoting renewable energy
Restricted coal-fired power plants
Vehicle standards (limiting causal tech)—also SG on car emission
Outcomes reduced 40% main cities but less in rural/industrial areas
but less efficient—doesn’t diff between low/high cost of reducing pollution
Policing OPP coSt
Market based policies:
carbon taxes
but: not forced to reduce
Regressive (if tax)
Estimating right amounts
More stable prices
Simpler
Pollution reduced at lowest cost—>efficient (for CT/TPs)
Less open to corruption
Emission trading scheme —
cap carbon China: 2011
very complicated and so there were delays in implementing
Australia 2012, faced political backlash and removed by succeeding party
European trading scheme
reduced emissions significantly, 2005-2021, greener energy
Initially too many permits used so many free permits to sell without reducing emissions a lot
Carbon tax
Sweden 1991,
emissions reduced by 25% up to 2015, not impacting GDP growth
UK $25/tonne of CO2
emissions at lowest levels, cleaner fuel used
Education/awareness
Overall: probities of gov- revenue eg
UK congestion charge—consumption
reduced traffic by 30% in 1st year
Improved air quality and
revenue used for public transport
Also consumption: SG Cert O entitlement every ten years
costs very high to own a car, let alone buy =, cost based on car type
disincentive to buy and use cars
Taxes on Negative consumption externalities
Australia cigarettes
Graphic package warnings laws 2012,
Taxes 65%
Public awareness campaigns, ads
fall by 5% from 2011 to 2019
China cigarettes
50% chinese men smoke, gov run firms (chinese national tobacco company)+ very profitable
Contributes to tax revenue
But burden to economy—>healthcare
Sweets
/UK nudge policies—> back of stores and banned from checkout
Sugar tax
regressive, PED, but low price but addictive
Norway sugar tax— 83% on sweets in 2018, 42% bevs
sugar consumption fallen significantly (by ½ since 2000)
But cases of cross border shopping to evade tax+ also tax revenue for gov: cross border revenue increases
Lay off staff—> unemployment
Rwandan plastic bags
banned production, use and importation
very clean, reduced pollution
But smuggling of bags
Public goods
London street light 2007
LED lights increase Safety and reduced energy
reduced crime rates for well lit areas—> merit , non-ecl, non-riv
Sweden waste collection 2015
recycling waste, only 1% in landfills, publicly funded
US military
spending OPP cost significant
Hard to place value— surveys to ask people but still not accurate—> may over or under perceive the benefit
Common pool resources
Amazon deforestation 2000-
illegal logging, ranching,
Monitoring of activities,
OPP cost
Gov operations: green Brazil: Military forces
Increased after some time due to weak enforcement
loss of biodiversity and climate change ,
Overfishing North Sea 1990-
unsustainable practices
EU: common fisheries policy, quotas and sustainability measures,
stocks partially recovered initially poorly enforced
California water management 2014
Overuse for agriculture —depletion
Legislation: sustainable groundwater act passed 2014, regulates usage
improved monitoring and less over use
Enforcement weak+ OPP cost
Nepal 1970s community forest management
(self governance?)
allowed communities to set rules
forest cover increased in many areas