Economics
The study of how to allocate scarce resources among competing ends
Macroeconomics
The branch of economics that deals with the whole economy and issues that affect most of society
These issues include inflation, unemployment, Gross Domestic Product, national income, interest rates, exchange rates, and so on.
Microeconomics
The branch of economics that looks at decision-making at the firm, household, and individual levels and studies behavior in markets for particular goods and services
Ex: it models a firm’s decision of how much to produce and what price to charge for its goods or services
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
The total value of all final goods and services produced in a year within that country
The expression “final goods and services” indicates that to avoid ________________.
double counting
Excluded from GDP
The value of intermediate goods like lumber and steel that go into the production of other goods like homes and cars
The repurchase of used goods, which were included in GDP in the year in which they were first produced.
Financial transactions such as the buying and selling of stocks and bonds, since there is no productive activity associated with them to measure.
Public and private transfer payments
Underground economic activities (both legal and illegal)
Home production
The media is prone to use changes in GDP as indicators of societal well-being.
Although an increase in this measure might reflect an increase in the standard of living, GDP also increases with expenditures on natural disasters, deadly epidemics, war, crimes, and other detriments to society.
National Income (NI)
The sum of income earned by the factors of production owned by a country’s citizens
It includes wages, salaries, and fringe benefits paid for labor services, rent paid for the use of land and buildings, interest paid for the use of money, and profits received for the use of capital resources.
Personal Income (PI)
The money income received by households before personal income taxes are subtracted
Disposable Income (DI)
Personal income minus personal income taxes
Two primary ways of calculating GDP:
Expenditure approach
Income approach
Expenditure Approach
One of the primary ways to calculate GDP
Adds up spending by households, firms, the government, and the rest of the world
Expenditure Approach Formula: GDP = C + I + G + (X - M)
Here C represents personal consumption expenditures by households, such as purchases of durable and non-durable goods and services.
I represents investment in new physical capital, new construction (both commercial and residential), and additions to business inventories.
G represents government purchases.
X represents exports.
M represents imports.
Income Approach
One of the primary ways to calculate GDP
Makes use of the fact that expenditures on GDP ultimately become income. National income can thus be modified slightly to arrive at GDP
Depreciation
The decline in the value of capital over time due to wear or obsolescence
Are subtracted from corporate profits before the NI calculation, so they must be re-added to capture the value of output needed to replace or repair worn-out buildings and machinery
Subsidy Payments
Given to businesses by governments as assistance
Are not made in exchange for goods and services, so they are not part of GDP. Thus they must be subtracted from NI to find GDP
Net income of foreign workers
Add the income of foreign workers and subtract the income of citizens working abroad
Added to NI to find GDP
Accounts for the fact that NI includes the income of all citizens, everywhere, whereas GDP includes the values of good produced domestically by anyone
If George Lucas makes a film in France, his income will be part of the U.S. national income because he is a U.S. citizen, but…
but his foreign-made film is part of France’s GDP.
Income Approach Formula:
GDP = NI + Depreciation - Subsidies + Net income of foreigners
Net Domestic Product
GDP minus depreciation
This indicates how much output is left over for consumption and additions to the capital stock after replacing the capital used up in the production process.
Circular Flow (Product Markets & Households)
To product markets → Expenditures
To households → Goods and services purchased
Circular Flow (Product Markets & Firms)
To product markets → Goods and services sold
To firms → Revenues
Circular Flow (Firms & Factor Markets)
To factor markets → Wages, rent, interest, profits
To firms → Inputs
Circular Flow (Households & Factor Markets)
To factor markets → Land, labor, capital, entrepreneurship
To households → Incomes
Goods flow from firms to households through the…
product markets
Inputs flow from households to firms through the…
factor markets
Aggregate Income
The total of all incomes in an economy without adjustments for inflation, taxation, or types of double counting.
Aggregate Expenditure
The total current value of all the finished goods and services in the economy.
GDP =
Aggregate income = Aggregate expenditure
Labor Force
Includes both employed and unemployed adults
To be considered unemployed…
A labor force participant must be willing and able to work, and must have made an effort to seek work in the past four weeks.
Labor Force Participation Rate
The number of people in the labor force divided by the working-age population
Unemployment Rate
The number of unemployed workers divided by the number in the labor force and then multiplied by 100 to get the percent.
Categories of Unemployment
Frictional unemployment
Structural unemployment
Cyclical unemployment
Seasonal unemployment
Frictional Unemployment
Occurs as unemployed workers and firms search for the best available worker-job matches.
Included in this category:
New labor entrants looking for new jobs
Workers who are temporarily between jobs because they are moving to a new location or occupation in which they will be more productive.
Structural Unemployment
The result of a skills mismatch
Ex: As voice recognition software is perfected, skilled typists may find themselves out of work.
Cyclical Unemployment
Results from downturns in the business cycle
During recessions and depressions, firms are likely to hire fewer workers or let existing workers go.
When the economy recovers, many of these cyclically unemployed workers will again find work.
Seasonal Unemployment
The result of changes in hiring patterns due to the time of year
Ex: ski instructors and lifeguards
Discouraged Workers
Those who are willing and able to work, but become so frustrated in their attempts to find work that they stop trying
Do not count as part of the unemployment rate
Dishonest Workers
Bias the unemployment rate upward
These individuals claim to be unemployed in order to receive unemployment benefits when, in fact, they do not want a job or are working for cash in an unreported job.
Natural Rate of Unemployment
The typical rate of unemployment in a normally functioning economy
About 5% in the U.S.
The sum of frictional and structural unemployment
Full Employment
Not 100 percent employment, but the level of employment that corresponds with the natural rate of unemployment
No cyclical unemployment
Okun’s Law
Economists, including the late Arthur Okun, have estimated that for every one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate above the natural rate, output falls by 2 to 3 percentage points
Inflation
A sustained increase in the overall price level
Deflation
The opposite of inflation- a sustained decrease in the general price level
Nominal Salary
The actual number of dollars
Real Salary
The purchasing power of the dollars
Money Illusion
When someone notes an increase in their salary but not the general price of goods. Can lead to excessive spending.
Menu Costs
Costs to change price listings on signs, shelves, computers, and wherever else they are recorded to keep up with inflation
Detrimental Effects of Inflation
People on fixed income or income that grows at a slower rate than that of the inflation are at a loss
Interest rates do not increase with inflation hurting lenders and savers
Causes social tensions
Costs in time and effort (ex: dropping by the ATM to withdraw more cash)
Standard monetary unit of measurement is unstable
Sustained inflation can drastically increase the money supply
Benefits of Inflation
Those who borrowed money at fixed interest rates pay back amounts that are worth less in real terms due to inflation.
Nominal Interest
Actual interest payment in dollars
Real Interest
The purchasing power of an interest payment
Price Indices
Used to measure inflation and adjust nominal values for inflation to find real values
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
The government’s gauge of inflation. It is used, for example, to adjust tax brackets and social security payments for inflation.
To find it, the Bureau of Labor Statistics checks the prices of items in a fixed representative “market basket” of thousands of goods and services used by typical consumers in a base year.
The CPI is calculated as
Cost of base year market basket at current prices/cost of base year market basket at base year prices x 100
The inflation between years Y and Z (Z being the more resent year) can be calculated using the following formula:
[CPI in Year Z/CPI in Year Y - 1] x 100
And any year’s nominal GDP (or any other nominal figure) can be converted into real base year dollars using the following formula:
Nominal GDP/CPI for the same year as the nominal figure x 100
Flaws in the CPI
May overestimate the inflation rate, primarily due to to its inflexible dependency on the base year market basket
Because it relies on a fixed market basket, substitutions for less expensive goods and services are not accounted for in its measure of inflation
Quality improvements and price changes in new products that were not in the base year basket are also excluded
Producer Price Index (PPI)
Similar in calculations to the CPI, but it applies to the prices of wholesale goods such as lumber and steel
Sometimes a good predictor of future inflation because producers often pass their cost increases to consumers
Gross Domestic Product Deflator
An alternative general price index that reflects the importance of products in current market baskets, rather than in base year market baskets, which become less relevant over time
GDP Deflator =
Cost of current year market basket at current prices/Cost of current year market basket at base year prices x 100
GDP Deflator usually registers a…
lower inflation rate than the CPI because it accounts for substitutions of higher priced goods and services.
The value of the GDP Deflator can be substituted
for CPI values in the formulas for inflation and real GDP
Business Cycle
A recurrent fluctuation of financial and economic activity, which occurs non-periodically within a certain period of time
Also called an Economic or Trade Cycle
Business cycles reflect the accelerations and decelerations in significant economic variables, such as:
Product, income, or employment
What is used to measure business cycles?
Growth rates of GDP
Classical Economists
Theorize that wages, prices, and interest rates fluctuate quickly, clearing (bringing to equilibrium) labor and capital markets, and allowing input and output prices to stay in line with each other
Say’s Law
The idea that supply creates its own demand
When supplying goods, workers can earn money to spend or save, and savings end up being borrowed and spent on business investments
Classical economists believe this
Classical Economics
There should be no problem finding demand for the goods and services produced, because the income from making them will be spent purchasing them.
Classical Economics
Supports the classical contention that the government does not need to concern itself with policies that maintain demand at a desirable level.
Critics of Say’s law argue that…
Savings might not equal investment, because the interest rate does not fluctuate freely enough to clear the capital market
John Maynard Keynes
Argued that investment demand depends more on expectations about the prosperity of the economy than on interest rates
If savings exceed investment…
Some of the nation’s real GDP will not be purchased
Firm inventories will expand
Resulting in layoffs and subsequent production below full employment output
If savings are less than investments…
Expenditures will exceed real GDP
Firm inventories will deplete
Resulting in inflation and production beyond full employment output
General Description of the Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve
Explains that real GDP rests at Y(f) in the long run after wage adjustments have had a chance to catch up with price adjustments
If wages can adjust quickly, as classical theory suggests…
They will remain in line with prices, and changes in the price level will not result in changes in real GDP even in the short run
The assumption of flexible wages thus corresponds with a vertical aggregate supply curve as in the…
Left side of Figure 3
One result of a vertical AS is that increases in aggregate demand (due to expansionary policy or other wise) will increase the price level while having…
no effect on real GDP
The Keynesian AS curve is horizontal until the full-employment level of output, where it becomes vertical, as classical theory predicts.
Right side of Figure 3
Keynes focused on…
The horizontal “depression range” of AS where excess capacity and unemployment allow increases in output and income without forcing the price level to increase
Keynes blamed the existence of unemployment and the inability of the economy to self-adjust…
To full-employment output largely on “sticky” wages, particularly in the downward direction
Keynesians argue that wage contracts are typically adjusted no more than once a year…
And such influences as unions, tradition, and a reluctance to threaten company morale effectively prohibit decreases in wages
Keynesian Analysis
If wages cannot adjust to match changes in price levels, deviations from full employment output might persist until the government steps in with monetary or fiscal policy to bolster or tame the economy.
This is in contrast with the classical economists’ preference for laissez-faire (hands-off) governmental policy.