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Nyhan: 5 Myths About Misinformation
Myth: Most Americans dwell in online echo chambers
Myth: Consumption of news from dubious websites is widespread
Myth: âFake newsâ led to Donald Trumpâs election
Fact-checks usually backfire?
Weâre now in a post-truth era?
Most Americans dwell in online echo chambers
Not really, peopleâs behaviors do sway towards their political positions, but peopleâs media diets online are mostly divided by ideology. But the groups and networks they talk with about politics are less diverse
Fact-checks usually backfire
No, it is possible to correct misinformation but core beliefs usually remain unchanged. Exposure to fact-checks tends to increase the accuracy of peopleâs beliefs but they do not change their views towards a particular candidate
Origins of public misinformation and polarization
âFake Newsâ is more rare than one might think, however the origins of public misinformation and polarization are more likely to lie in the content of ordinary news or the avoidance of news to forage a particular narrative
What were effects of conspiracies about COVID from the GOP?
higher death rates among Republicans from Covid
spillover to misinformed beliefs about other life-saving vaccines
âPizzagateâ
Insane conspiracy theory claiming that a Washington, D.C. pizzeria was the center of a child trafficking ring linked to prominent politicians.
Conspiracy Theories and killing them
Frankovic: Conspiracy theories are hard to kill, regardless of how stupid and/or dangerous, especially when they have a partisan component to them that leads to directionally motivated reasoning (i.e, believing what you want to believe)
A way to make conspiracies lose traction:
Need elites from both parties to denounce conspiracies like QAnon because public follows elite cue
Other recent conspiracies spread through willful mis/disinformation, with potentially tragic consequences:
Lies about Haitian immigrants in Springfield, OH âeating catsâ
Lies about natural disasters (Hurricane Helene): Government âmakingâ the weather, withholding funds, etc
How did something as outrageous and obviously racist as the false Haitian cat-eating story catch fire?
Participatory Disinformation: Elites set the frames. Audiences create content to fit those frames. Influences selectively amplify content to reinforce the frames and help move content from audiences back up to elites
Abbie Richards Consipracy Chart (upside-down pyramid):
Grounded in Reality: (Watergate, Tuskegee, FBI spying on MLK)
Speculation Line (âWe have questionsâ): (UFOs, JFK)
Leaving Reality (False but harmless): Elvis is still alive, Alien abductions
Reality Denial (Dangerous): Global warming is a hoax, 9/11 âtruthersâ, Antifa did Jan. 6, anti-vax)
âThe Antisemitic Point of No Returnâ: World controlled by small cabal, usually said to be including jews (Pizzagate, Qanon, Holocaust denial, Sandy Hook fake)
Motivated Reasoning
People hear what they want to hear
Does Fact Checking Work?
Studies suggest that fact checking works, but might also lead readers to think the story is biased.
How long do factchecks last for?
They fade over time pretty quickly unless people hear the same accurate messages about climate change again and again.
Poynter Study":
About as many people read Fake News as read Fact Checks
Edsall argument about conspiracy theories
Conspiracy theories are a powerful tool to demonize opposing groups, and in extreme cases can make people believe that violence is necessary
What groups do conspiracy theories often resonate with?
Groups that are suffering from loss, weakness or disunity (eg. White nationalists)
Agenda Setting in Media
Media doesnât tell us what to think, they tell us what to think about, the most covered topics in the news tend to be the issues people think are most important
Media Priming
Similar to Agenda Setting, but it is about how media influences judgments of politicians, specifically: the issue covered the most in the news tends to be the issue voters are most likely to think about when making judgments about candidates
Media Priming Age in 2024
Many articles about Bidenâs age were written and made voters see his age as a major problem/issue
Framing
The narrative choices reporters and editors make in selecting certain types of information over others in such a way as to promote a particular problem definition, causal interpretation, moral evaluation, and/or treatment recommendation for the item described
Framing effects: Episodic
tends to lead to individual level attributions of responsibility, meaning people think causes and solutions are individual-based and support punitive outcomes
Framing effects: thematic
leads to societal level attributions of responsibility, meaning people are more likely to think society is to blame and are likely to support societal or less punitive outcomes
Punitive outcome meaning
Punishment or to punish
Independent variables
the things that influence, effect, cause other things (eg. strategy framed news stories)
Dependent variables
The things that are influenced, effected, moved (eg. political self-efficacy, cynicism)
Survey Research effects on results
Question wording
Question order
Non attitudes, memory
Issues with social desirability and survey setting influencing responses (eg. race of interviewer)
Non-attitude
A belief made up by someone who does not actually have an opinion on the subject
Advantages of Experiments
Casual inference because of random assignment and control over administration of independent variable. They have internal validity
Disadvantages of Experiments
Not always generalizable, lack external validity because may not work same way outside lab
What is the top rank agenda for newpapers and newcasts?
Crime coverage
Crime coverage is not related to crime rates
one study documents that as crime fell 34% between 1991 and 2000, stories in the press about homicides rose 700%
Media Distorting black families
When media outlets report poor families, they chose to feature black families in their coverage 59 percent of the time even though only 27 percent of families living below the poverty line are black
In terms of welfare, 60 percent of families portrayed were black even though only 42 percent of families receiving welfare are black
Missing White Woman Syndrome
Mediaâs tendency to highlight missing persons cases involving young, attractive white women, while paying less attention to other people
Ways the press marginalizes social movements:
a. norm of objectivity
b. trivializing and skepticism
c. routine: official sources are only trustworthy ones
d. divide movements into legitimate main acts and illegitimate side shows
e. celebritification
f. radicalize
Potential Protest Frames
Riot Frame
Confrontation Frame
Spectacle Frame
Debate Frame
Confrontation Frame
A focus on clashes between groups, arrests, use of weapons, who was detained. Police and protester interactions. Police forces brought in or weapons prepared by police
Spectacle Frame
A focus on emotional reactions of protesters, ie. profanity, crying, screaming, laughing
Vigils, performances, oddities, singing, dancing, playing games
Crowd size, appearance or attire (masks)
Debate Frame
A focus on protesters viewpoints or demands and the social movement driving protests
Radical justice, systemic racism, police brutality, police reform, defunding police
Historical context for the protests
Agenda seeding
How activists use protest/disruption to capture the attention of the media and overcome political asymmetries caused by hostile majorities
Media coverage of protest can lead to legislative action
through extensive and agreeable media coverage that signals to lawmakers the urgent and legitimate demands of groups whose views are often compromised within conventional electoral channels
Media matter in how we see protests
Itâs not just ânon-violent protest moves public opinion left; violent leads right.â Reserach shows itâs protest â media attention/framing â opinion
Protest paradigm
tends to dismiss or disparage protesters and protest tactics through a reliance on police and government sources, along with episodic, conflict-based stories that fail to engage the complex social causes of protest
What happens when news stories employ sensational images of property damage, using terms such as riot, mayhem and chaos?
Rise in public support for law-and-order and crackdowns on protest, rather than support for social policies to address the roots of protest
Indexing hypothesis
Press coverage of war and international crises, at least in establishment and early phases, tends to reflect the range of debate of elites, especially the White House and Congress
Only if a crises/war stays unresolved for a while does the press seek out other perspectives/sources/frames.
White House dominates the indexing dynamic: Its frames are privileged in media coverage.
Press âindexesâ coverage to intensity and duration of official conflicts
Cultural Congruence:
degree to which framing aligns with public opinion/values
Hard power bias in media
is the media is far more critical when a president tries to end a war than when he tries to start one
Post Censorship
Media allowed on front lines, copy censored before publication Norm through Vietnam
Pre-censorship
Media kept off front lines
British start with Falklands War
US uses in Persian Gulf War
Embedding
Media allowed on front lines, but assigned to units Afghanistan, Iraq
Vietnam Coverage Myths
MYTH: Anti-War from the beginning
MYTH: Lots of casualty coverage
MYTH: Turned the public against the war
Casualty coverage
non-existant
Cute cat theory of digital activism
accidentally see political content similar to how some people can learn about politicas and current events through soft news