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public health
concerned with health of the public (ex: populations)
Epidemiology
a branch of medical science that discovers the source, cause and control of infectious disease and other health problems in populations
epidemiology
core science of public health
Epidemiologists
challenged to determine why an outbreak of disease occurs at a particular time and/or particular place
epi
upon
demos
people
logos
study
results of epidemiological studies
identify risk factors for disease and targets for preventive healthcare (high BP is a risk factors for neurodegenerative and cardiovascular disease)
Disease pattern
the occurrence of disease- related events by time, place and personal characteristics
Disease incidence
the number and rate of disease in the population
pattern by time
seasonal occurrence, annual occurrence, daily, weekly or even hourly occurrence during an epidemic
pattern by place
includes geographic variation, urban-rural differences and locations of worksites or schools, densely populated and congregate settings with cramped housing units
patterns by personal
characteristics including demographic factors like preexisting conditions, age, race, sex, marital status, socioeconomic status as well as behaviors and environmental exposures
The two fundamental measures of disease occurrence
prevalence and incidence
Prevalence
measures the proportion of persons in a population who have a particular disease at a particular time
COVID19 prevalence rate in US 2023 (population 328M)
103.8/328= 31.6%
COVID19 prevalence rate in US 2022 (population 328M)
80.2/328= 24%
COVID19 prevalence rate in US 2021 (population 328M)
46.5/328= 14%
Incidence proportion
the proportion of an initially disease-free population that develops disease or dies during a specified (usually limited) period of time
Variations of incidence
attack rate, risk, probability of getting disease
incidence
new cases that occurred during a given time period/population
incidence conveys:
information about the risk of contracting the disease
prevalence indicates:
how widespread the disease is
prevalence and incidence tend to go hand and hand with
short lived illness, like the common cold, and diseases that kill those affected swiftly, like rabies
R0
The average number of secondary infections produced when one infected individual is introduced into a host population where everyone is susceptible
(measures the potential for transmission and epidemic outbreak)
R0 is calculated by:
using individual-level contact tracing data obtained at the onset of the epidemic. Once an individual-level contact tracing data obtained at the onset of the epidemic. Once an individual is diagnosed, his/her contacts are traced and tested. R0 is then computed by averaging over the number of secondary cases of many diagnosed individuals
R0 of an infectious disease predicts:
if an emerging infectious disease can spread in a population; what proportion of the population should be immunized through vaccination to eradicate a disease
The higher R0,
the stronger is disease spreading
The R0 for measles in a susceptible population
We expect each new case of measles to produce 15 new secondary cases
John Snow (mid-late 1800s)
the father of epidemiology as we understand it
In the 17th century, deadly cholera epidemics were happening in many countries and continents
Cholera outbreak
1854, 500 deaths in 10 days
Sporadic
refers to a disease that occurs infrequently and irregularly (tetanus, rabies, etc)
Endemic
regularly found at a steady level in a particular location, baseline (common cold, etc)
epidemic
sudden increase in morbidity (illness rate) and mortality (death rate) above the norm expected (plague, etc)
pandemic
epidemic that has spread across continents (1918 influenza, HIV/AIDS)
Epidemics: the types
common source
epidemics involve contact with a single contamination source (contaminated water, John Snow)
propagated epidemics
result from person to person contact (mumps, chicken pox, COVID19)
propagate in the community
an infectious disease must reach and strike many hosts. This is achieved by a chain of events linked into a so-called disease cycle
interferes with the disease
targeting the chain of events linked into a so-called disease cycle
microbe-host interactions
occur at the core of the disease cycle
Reservoir
a side in nature/a habitat in which microbes can survive and possibly multiple
reservoirs
prime targets for preventing, minimizing and eliminating existing and potential epidemics
pathogens where humans are the only known reservoir
smallpox, gonorrhea, measles, polio, etc. those pathogens are easier to eradicate
Active carriers:
individuals who have a microbial disease
healthy carriers
have no symptoms and may unwillingly pass the disease onto others
chronic carriers
continue to harbor the microbe after recovery, this state can continue indefinitely without illness. Treatments may include long term antibiotics
Zoonoses
domestic and wild animals serve as reservoirs for ~150 species of pathogenic microbes that can affect humans and cause zoonotic diseases
eradication of zoonotic disease
requires eradication of their reservoirs- a goal hard to achieve
Primates
animals closely related to humans
nonliving reservoirs
soil, water, food
Cycle of microbial disease
1.Pathogen
2. Reservoir (source) of pathogen
3. Transmissible to susceptible host
4.Portal of entry into susceptible host
5.Portal of exit out of susceptible host
Transmission
the mechanism by which an infectious agent is spread into a susceptible person
Direct transmission
microbes are transferred from portals of exit to portals of entry
Horizontal: person-to-person, animal-to-person
contact, touch (blood, facilitated by mucus membranes, kissing, sneezing, sex, etc), animal bites (rabies virus directly transmitted from saliva onto skin cut)
Vertical: mother to child
transplacental (from mothers to offspring via placenta- AIDS, measles, chickenpox), in breast milk, via birth canals (STD)
indirect transmission
microbes pass from reservoir (or source) to an intermediate agen and then to a host
vehichleborne
via food, water, biological products (organs, blood/products transfusion) and fomites (inanimate objects)
airborne
aerosols of water or dust particles (less than 4 um) in the air; unlike droplets (10um or larger) aerosols remain airborne for extended periods
vectorborne
phylum arthropoda (ticks, flies, mosquitoes, lice and fleas), which also includes class insects (chagas' kissing bug)
Mechanical vectors
perform passive transmission on feet, insect body, when microbes do not invade, multiply or develop in the vector
Biological vectors:
represent a necessary part of the life cycle of a pathogen, transmission is an active process
Food intoxication (food poisoning):
ingestion of bacterial toxins (with or without the microbe being present)
Foodborne infection (disease):
bacteria multiply in the intestinal tract and secrete toxins (enterotoxins) and may invade cells of the intestinal tract
Clostridium botulinum:
a g+ obligate anaerobe bacillus, spores in soil
Botulism
caused by the botulinum neurotoxin
botulinim toxin
performed in improperly canned veggies, sausage, cured pork and ham, smoked fish and canned salmon
therapy
antitoxin and mechanical ventilation
botox
release wrinkles, reduce muscle overactivity
lethal dose of botulinum toxin for a human
typical grain of sands weight, 1kg would be enough to kill the entire population
Staphylococcal food poisoning is caused by toxins from
staphylococcus aureus, a g+ coccus, commensal opportunistic for humans. Non-spore forming, not motile
S. aureus
Found in human skin, in the node, armpit, groin and other areas with estimated prevalence of 20-30% for persistent and 60% for intermittent colonizations
Foods with staphylococcal toxins:
meat, poultry, egg and dairy, salads, cream filled pastries & cakes, sandwich fillings
Staphylococcal food poisoning
result from the consumption of sufficient amount of one or more preformed enterotoxins. The toxin, not the bacterium acts in the small intestine and causes inflammation and swelling
Salmonellosis
is caused by several species of g- bacilli in the genus
Salmonellosis in baby foods and peanut butter and unknown source
outbreak in 2007-2008, 400 deaths, 2,088 cases
Salmonella typhi
most deadly of salmonella, secretes typhoid toxin & causes typhoid fever, transmission via fecal matter-contaminated foods or hands
typhoid mary
early 1900s was a healthy asymptomatic carrier of salmonella typhi
cholera intoxixation
caused by the exotoxin secreted by the g- curved rod vibrio cholera, Rehydration must be instituted quickly to avert death
Whooping cough
caused by the g- coccobacillus
Humans and primates are the reservoir, threat to children under age 4
Transmission direct via droplets
Bacilli bind to epithelial cells in upper respiratory tract
symptoms: runny nose, fever and mild cough- followed by weeks of severe coughing (may last for 10 weeks)
Diphtheria
caused by an exotoxin produced by the g+ bacillus
Diphtheria transmission
via droplets and fomites
Kills epithelial cells which accumulate forming a leathery pseudomembrane
Death by suffocation may result
Toxin diffuses into the bloodstream and may cause widespread damage
S. pyogenes
can cause the life-threatening flesh-eating disease, or necrotizing fasciitis
Flesh eating disease
occurs in cuts, bruises. Bacteria secretes flesh-destroying enzymes and toxins cause tissue necrosis at a speed 3 cm/h
Necrotizing fasciitis are (650 to 800 cases annually in the US), non contagious
Treatment: antibiotics, skin grafts, amputations, hyperbaric oxygen therapy
Tuberculosis
An ancient disease, remains the leading cause of infectious death worldwide
About 10M people are infected with an annual death toll of 2M
About 8M new cases develop annually made even worse by multiple drug resistant strains
Plague (black death)
is caused by the g- bacillus, yersinia pestis: one of the most virulent bacteria known
ID is a single bacillus
Multiple virulence factors produces
Multiple transmission mechanisms
Multiple portals of entry
No spores but extremely hardy, infectious after many weeks in soil and other surfaces
first pandemic of the plague
plague of justinian 6th-8th centuries
second pandemic of the plague
black death 14th century
third pandemic of the plague
monder plague 18th-20th century
black death
profound effects on the course of European history, Mass deaths, suffering, lack of understanding caused horror and resulted in massacring of lepers, romani jews, causes great social and economic upheaval between 1350 and 1400
Incidence and mortality rates of plague
Incidence rate in the US 6-7 year, mortality rate is 1/year
Global incidence rates 1,000 to 2,000 cases per year, highest in Africa
Transmission of plague to an uninfected individual can be completed by
Droplet contact
Physical contact
Indirect contact: contaminated surface
Airborne transmission
Fecal-oral transmission
Vector borne transmission: insects or other animals
bubonic plague
Most common form, contracted by an infected rodent or flea bites
Usually contracted by an infected rodent or flea bites
The bacilli infect the lymph nodes of groin, armpits and neck causing inflammation and swelling (buboes)
Untreated, it can spread into the bloodstream (causing septicemic) or into the liver and lungs (causing pneumonic)
pneumonic
Bacilli from lymph can either enter the bloodstream and colonize lungs, causing pneumonic plague which can then be transmitted to others by coughing and through saliva
Approaches 100% fatality without early treatment
Vaccine is protective for only a few months and is only given to persons at high risk
septicemic plague
Results from the spread of bacteria from the lungs to other parts of the body
Acquired by contact of contaminated hands, food or objects withe the mucous membranes of the nose or throat
100% fatal
MRSA bacteria
Staphylococcus aureus is the most virulent of the staph, g+
Methicillin resistant s. Aureus (MRSA) are the leading cause of nosocomial infections in the United States
gastroenteritis
stomach and abdominal pain, diarrhea, vomiting,and abdominal cramps
Hepatitis
Inflammation of the liver, usually caused by a viral infection, that causes fever, loss of appetite, jaundice, fatigue, and altered liver function.
jaundice
yellowing of the skin and the whites of the eyes caused by an accumulation of bile pigment (bilirubin) in the blood
viral hepatitis
A, B,C, D, and E (D and E are not as common in the US)
Indirect vehicleborne
Hepatitis A and E