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UWRF John Walker
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4 phases of the business cycle
Contraction, trough, expansion, peak
Contraction
low inflation, high unemployment
Trough
low inflation, high unemployment
Expansion
high inflation, low unemployment
Peak
high inflation, low unemployment
Neoclassical view
Government should not intervene, allow self adjustment
Keynesian view
Government must intervene to boost aggregate demand
Say’s Law
Supply creates its own demand
Keynes view on Say’s Law
Argues Say’s Law does not hold, aggregate demand can fall short because the economy has rigidities
Aggregate demand
An inverse relationship between the price level and real GDP
Aggregate demand real income effect
A fall in the price level increases the real income of households (and vice versa)
Aggregate demand interest rate effect
A fall in the price level will also reduce interest rates (and vice versa)
Determinants of aggregate demand
Changes in consumption by households, investment by firms, net exports, fiscal policy, and monetary policy
Long run aggregate supply
Assume prices are fully flexible
Short run aggregate supply
Assume prices are rigid or fixed
Determinants of short run aggregate supply
Changes in nominal wages of workers, changes in prices of raw materials, pandemic, productivity, war, famine
Determinants of long run aggregate supply
Technology, productivity, labor changes, capital changes
Stagflation
High inflation, high unemployment, low economic growth
Animal spirits
Human behavior
Would Keynes have agreed with the 2008 stimulus package?
Yes
Reagan program components
25% tax cut, deregulation of markets, balance the federal budget
Which supply would the Reagan program support?
Shifts long run aggregate supply to the right
Reagan program on GDP
Growth in GDP
Reagan program effect on employment
Growth in employment
Reagan project effect on inflation
Lower inflation due to greater productivity
Freidman’s rule
Fed should increase money supply at the same rate that the GDP is growing
Keynesian counter-cycle fashion
Promoted stabilization
Deficit
When spending is greater than the revenue
2024 US Deficit
$1.8 trillion
National debt
Amount of money the country borrowed
2024 national debt
$7.9 trillion
The six economic arguments for balancing the budget
Reduce national debt, stabilize economic growth, lower interest rates, fiscal responsibility, protect future generations, keep economy growing
The Keynesian counter arguments regarding the budget
Increase government spending and lower taxes
The Chinese Exclusion Act
1882
Johnson-Reed Act
1924
Hart-Cellar Act
1965
Immigration and Reform Act
1986
Labor Market Effects When Immigrants are Substitutes
Decrease the wages of unskilled workers
Labor Market Effects When Immigrants are Complements
Higher wages and increased employment opportunities
Problems with clean coal
Burning coal releases toxins and heavy metals, and may cause birth defects and other reproductive issues
Alternatives to coal
Renewable energy, natural gas, nuclear power
4 types of earnings discrimination
Wage, Employment, Occupational, Human Capital
Earnings difference between men and women
-19%
Earnings difference between African Americans vs all
-21%
Earnings gap between hispanics vs all
-25%
Earnings gap between asian Americans vs all
+1.2%
Minority
A group with less access to higher positions in society
Prejudice
A pre-judgement based on stereotypes and hearsay plus the refusal to consider evidence of the contrary
Discrimination
An action that treats individuals differently on the basis of an arbitrary characteristic
3 common forms of pollution
Air, water, land
Goal of “cap and trade”
Gov sells pollution permits that allows them to pollute to a limit