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Foreign Policy
Actions that government representatives make regarding something outside of their boarders
Ex: war and peace, trade, foreign aid etc
Foreign policy analysis
Why foreign policy decisions come into being (foreign policy outcomes)
Emphasis on the actors and processes within states
Explanation
Neorealism
States looking at relative gains and losses
Systematic factors that drive states to do things - balance of power
Liberalism
Interdependence and codependency
Institutions mitigating the effect of anarchy
Cooperation
States make policy based on what the people want
Constructivism
Operating on norms, values, and identity
Acts of foreign policy should represent norms
Levels of analysis
Systematic constraints and incentives (structure of intl system)
Domestic processes and actors or attributes of the state (political culture)
Characteristics of individual decision makers
top down vs bottom up
Top down: focus on gov actors, other actors restricting or pressurizing government
Bottom up: focus on societal actors, their activities are the main explanatory factor
Formal and direct Policymaking
Inclusion in decision making structures
Formal and indirect policy making
Hearings of interest groups in parliament, scientific policy advise, diplomacy
Informal direct policy making
Some forms of corruption
Informal indirect policy making
Media reporting, academic publishing, lobbying and advocacy, expert consultations
Transnational Actors
Global actors, such as nongovernmental organizations, multi- national corporations, intergovernmental organizations, and private organizations, that operate across borders and share the world stage with states.
Expert networks like scientists
Policy process
agenda setting (identify important topics/issues), policy formation (executive thinking how to address problem), decision making (concrete decision made), implementation (bureaucracy implementing decisions), evaluation and feedback (ideal)
Presidential systems in foreign policy
President has significant formal foreign policy power
Mostly very influential but compete with others like legislature
Parliamentary System in foreign policy
No constitutional seperation of power between executive and legislative
PM has informal powers because they represent the country
PM can be constrained by parliament, party factions etc
Multi party coalition government in foreign policy
Maybe more extreme behavior than single party governments
Highly cooperative or highly aggressive
Institutional effects on character, not foreign policy
Actors in domestic society
Corporate lobbies (campaigns, events, showcase support for a policy to congress)
Formal - direct and indirect
Informal - direct and indirect
Public opinion, media, interest groups, social movements
Leaders- authoritarian
Authoritarian leaders have greater leeway to make decisions without consulting with coalition partners, party members
Individual decision making
Leaders aren't interchangeable (different republican would make different policy than trump)
Decision makers don't respond the same to structural constraints
In which situations are leaders most/least important?
Non routine decisions
Complex situations
Crises, decision under stress, situation with excess of information
Rational choice approaches
Assumption is that people are rational decision makers, or rational actors that can work with lots of info
They consider costs and benefits
Objectively select the best option
Psychological and cognitive approaches
Human rationality is bounded by biology, we can't process all the info that we want to make a perfectly rational decision
Operational code analysis
How leaders make decisions:
Beliefs that explain FP decisions and actions
Philosophical beliefs- basic assumptions about nature of politics and political conflict
Instrumental beliefs- the relationship between goals and means in politics
Issue specific- they relate to a specific issue/domain
Leadership trait analysis
Not issue specific
Personality characteristics
Mostly stable throughout time and across issue areas
Focus on if the leader has high, average or low manifestation of certain traits
Do their traits stand out and potentially influence policy decisions?
Foreign policy decision making
The process, focus on attributes of individual decision makers
Decision criteria: factors that are taken into account (individuals put different emphasis on different decision criteria)
Decision rules - maximizing
Purposeful acting, selected goal
Not influenced by external pressures
Able to calculate costs and benefits
Decision rules - elimination by aspects
Prioritize a prominent dimension and discard alternative that don't meet that dimension, then move down ladder to remaining dimensions
Decision rules - lexicographic rule
Chose top option according to important criteria
Option that has greatest utility in dimension weighed most prominently
Decision rules - Poliheuristic rule
Initially use cognitive approach to discard alternatives that don't meet critical requirements
Then they move to rational or lexicographic approach
National role conceptions
Focus on decision makers perceptions of their state
Israel's role, partnership with USA, U.S. big brother, Israel little brother
Russia and Soviet union - national role conceptions, and role expectations
Roles - enactment
State A acting on the basis of its national role conceptions- if you see yourself as an ally to US, you will act accordingly
Roles - socialization
The process where state As role enactment is brought into alignment with state Bs expectations
States that join EU- after fulfilling expectations they can be in EU
Roles - domestic role contestation
Disagreement within the state regarding the roles the state should play on intl stage
Debate between elites - horizontal
Differences between decision makers and the public - vertical
Factors that explain foreign policy
Government systems
Societal and global actors
Types of leaders
How leaders make decisions
Roles - master and auxiliary roles
More important vs less important roles of a state
Diplomacy
Conduct of relationships, using peaceful means, by and among Intl actors
Keeping relations and implementing political decisions at intl level
Practices include: gathering, analyzing, and communicating info
Negotiation
Drafting treaties and establishing interactions
Maintaining representative missions: embassies, consulate
Key elements of diplomacy
Agents- career diplomats, temporary people on specific missions like military officers, scholars, journalists
Material goods- embassies, consulates, equipment, secure communication
Knowledge- producing knowledge, sending back info to ministries of foreign affairs where it is analyzed and processed to inform policy, information exchange
Track 1 diplomacy
Official and formal interaction between gov representatives, diplomats, etc to manage intl relations and solve conflicts
Involves: high level negotiation, treaty making, mediation
Track 2 diplomacy
Informal dialogues among actors like academics, religious leaders, NGO officials
Can help maintain and strengthen communication on critical issues, especially where governments don't want to be seen officially negotiating
Diplomacy origins
Mesopotamia, Greek city states, Romans, arthashastra, renaissance (most important) - permanent embassies established to observe, report and negotiate
Treaty of Westphalia
Transition from religious to state centric diplomacy in Europe
Modern state system
Congress of Vienna - codified intl diplomatic conduct among sovereign states
Concert of Europe - system promoted stability through regularized diplomatic meetings
Multilateralism
The practice of coordinating national policies in groups of three or more states
Vienna convention on diplomatic relations
Makes what was custom to be binding - diplomatic immunity; without fear, coercion, harassment
Diplomats must be able to carry out their functions
Diplomacy today
Issues: broad, war, peace, health, environment, tech, culture (travel, cultural promotion)
Diplomats: negotiate, communication, trade promotion, cultural exchange, public relations
Diplomacy - actors
States are central, but non state actors are impatient (NGO, multinational corps, religious groups, celebrities
Intl orgs: UN, ILO- key sites for multilateral diplomacy and collective decision making
Individuals: philanthropists , terrorists, can influence diplomatic agendas
Diplomacy - IR theories
Realist- instrument of grand strategy to make alliances to balance against more powerful states
English school- focus on intl society, institutions, common rules (agreement on what is a great power, agreed upon meaning for what is war)
Diplomacy - a practice
Key argument: multilateral diplomacy produces inequality
Focus: how hierarchies are reproduced through diplomatic practices at the UN
Focus: observable practices, who sits in which meetings, diplomatic stuff shape identities and decide who is important
Poststructuralism in IR
Language produces meaning
The words we chose creates power relationships
Words genocide vs tribal warfare, global north and global south
Language and Power
Power defines what counts as knowledge
Poststructuralist approach to diplomacy
How diplomacy shapes how states see the world, and how diplomats send info back home, how this shapes peoples knowledge and views
Diplomacy creates the states: presence of state is real if they have a diplomat that speaks and represents on behalf of state
Public diplomacy
A government and its representatives communicating abroad, promoting certain ideas abroad
States or non state actors communicating their view of the world/situation
Instrument used by states and actors to understand cultures, attitudes, and behavior. Managing relationships, influence thoughts and mobilize actions to advance their interests and values.
Why: desire to be noticed, spreading values, defending against foreign criticism, status, economic concerns, narrative
Practices: country promotion, messaging, nation branding, varies among states, campaigns to promote travel
Origin: US during Cold War
Public diplomacy vs propaganda
PD: interested in dialogue, and long term relationship building
Propaganda: generally not interested in dialogue or relationship building
Status in World Politics
3 attributes: positional, perceptual, and social
Standing/rank/position in hierarchy
Belonging to "status community" - rank determined by beliefs of members
Social identity theory: how social groups strive to achieve positive distinctive identity
Strategies: social mobility, social competition, social creativity
Soft power
To obtain preferred outcomes by attraction rather than coercion or payment
Shaping what others want/what they think
Attracting others because they like what you "have"
Ability to affect others to get outcomes
Resources that produce soft power: culture (Hollywood, cinema), political values (democracy promotion), foreign policy
Can be passive or actively sought, effects can be direct or indirect
Target is at least as important as the sender (emphasis on relationship of power and recipient)
Problems: power resources and effects of power aren't separated, soft power is non-tangible power resources, difficult to assess them
Digital diplomacy
The role of digital technology in diplomacy
Use of digital tech (social media and online platforms etc) by ministries of MFA's, intl orgs, to communicate with each other and the public, conduct diplomacy, and advance FP goals
1. Visual simplicity (format of messaging) - simple, plain, direct, quick
2. Emotional framing (style and form) - more emotion, more likely to spread on media
3. Computational personalization (shift focus from macro to micro level alignment) - identify themes that individuals can connect with
4. Engagement hybridization (physical and virtual environment integrate, complement and empower each other) - physical diplomacy and video conferences
Populism
Ideology that considers society to be separated to "the pure people" vs "the corrupt elite" and politics should be expression of the general will of the people
Thin-centered ideology, people centrist and anti elitist
Populism and Foreign Policy
Impacts how foreign policy is made, not necessarily with immediate impact on FP outcomes
2 mechanisms:
mobilization- strong leader that claims he speaks for the people, FP can be used for domestic political mobilization (true people vs external others)
Personalization- representation as the embodiment of the popular will, direct connection between the leader and the true people
Most likely foreign ministries would be weaker, diplomats would be weakened
Negotiation
How to Solve disputes among states:
judicial means (adjudication sometimes used, but states usually emphasize sovereignty and prefer limited interference)
Bargaining and negotiation - default option for disputes among states
Getting something by giving something, search for solutions when there are conflicts of interest, compromise
Sequence of actions where 2 or more parties address demands, arguments, and proposals for potential agreement - sometimes reaching agreement isn't the main goal, maybe negotiating to buy time, not genuinely trying to agree
Structural theories of intl negotiations
Intl bargaining problems treated in terms of power resources and capabilities of the negotiating parties
Realism: strong states will prevail, outcomes reflect preferences of stronger states, outcomes pre-determined
Weaker actors can overcome asymmetries by adopting bargaining tactics and strategies (asking for support from others, mediators, refusal to make concessions etc)
Formal decisional analysis
Assumption of strategic rationality: no egoistic rational acto can pursue its own interests independently of the choices of other actors, you are never completely alone
Communication-based approach
Negotiation- a way to change parties perceptions of a conflict so they learn and trust each other - become willing to make concessions
Attitudes change is possible because human conflict is many times driven by misperceptions, conflicting identity and status demands
Internal dynamics can destroy negotiations
Negotiation Analysis - distributive tactics
Focus on relative gains, increase self advantage
Opening with high demands, refuse to make concessions, exaggerating minimum needs and true priorities, manipulating info to others disadvantage
Taking others' issues hostage: connect 2 issues that matter to rival and pressure them (Iran holding strait of Hormuz "hostage")
Threats, penalties, protecting yourself from losing
Negotiation analysis - problem solving tactics
Proposing agenda items likely to benefit both
Communicating information
Joint research, increasing options outside the opening positions
Negotiator dilemma
If party A uses distributive, party B wont use integrative
Value claiming - distributive: discourage the integrative process
Value creating - integrative (problem solving): open the negotiator to risk of exploitation and loss of value for their side
Linkage strategy: connecting different issues in a negotiation
-ex: can be used by powerful states that use military power to coerce weaker states to change policies on trade
-can also promote agreement and expand mutual gain
BATNA (Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement)
In negotiation, actors must think if we don't reach agreement, what is the best alternative?
Reservation value: the value of the best alternative +/- transaction costs
A party isn't certain of others reservation value prior to bargaining
No deal option might be equal to status quo, but it can also be worse or better than status quo before negotiations