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case scenarios
strategy
1. entering new market
2. industry analysis
3. mergers and acquisitions
4. developing new product
5. pricing strategies
6. growth strategies
7. starting a new business
8. competitive response
operations
9. increasing sales
10. reducing costs
11. improving bottom line (profitability)
12. turnarounds
steps
1. summarize question
2. verify objectives
3. ask clarifying questions -- company, industry, competition, product
4. lay out structure
entering a new market
1. why? goal/objective
2. determine state of current and future market
3. investigate market -- does entering it make good business sense?
4. major ways to enter new market: start from scratch, acquire existing player, joint venture
industry analysis
1. things to investigate
-life cycle
-performance over last 1, 2, 5, 10 years
-our performance compared to industry
-major players/market share
-recent major changes in industry
-what drives industry? brand, products, size, technology
-profitability -- margins
2. suppliers
-how many?
-product availability
-what's going on in their market?
3. future
-players entering or leaving market
-recent M&A?
-barriers to entry and exit?
-substitutes?
M&A
1. goals and objectives -- why? good business sense? better alternatives? good strategic move?
2. how much are they paying?
3. due diligence -- research company and industry.
-shape company is in
-how secure are markets, customers, suppliers?
-how is industry doing overall?
-what are margins like -- high-volume low margins or low-volume high margins?
-legal reasons to prevent acquisition?
4. exit strategy
potential reasons for M&A
-increase market access
-diversify holdings
-pre-empt competition
-gain tax advantages
-incorporate synergies
-create shareholder value
developing new product
1. think about product
-what's special or proprietary?
-is it patented?
-substitutions?
-advantages & disadvantages?
-fit with rest of product line?
2. think about market strategy
-effects on existing product line
-cannibalizing existing products? replacing?
-will it expand customer base and increase sales?
-competitive response?
-if new market, entrance barriers?
-major players/market share
3. customers
-who are they?
-how best to reach them? Internet?
-ensure retention
4. financing
-how is it funded
-best allocation of funds?
-can we support the debt?
pricing strategies
1. investigate product
-what's special or proprietary?
-do similar products exist? how are they priced?
-where are we in industry's growth cycle?
-how big is market?
-what were R&D costs?
2. pricing strategies
-cost-based pricing: production costs, breakeven point, profit margin
-price-based costing: what are customers willing to pay, what's it worth to them compared to other things, supply & demand
growth strategies
-increase sales
-increase distribution channels
-increase product line
-invest in major marketing campaign
-diversify products and services
-acquire competitors
starting a new business
1. entering a new market. does it make good business sense?
-who's the competition? market share? how do their products compare to ours?
-barriers to entry?
2. venture capitalist perspective
-management
-market and strategic plans
-distribution channels
-products
-customers
-finance
common barriers to entry
-capital requirements
-access to distribution channels
-proprietary product technology
-government policy
competitive response
1. competitive analysis
-what is new product? how does it differ from ours?
-what has competition done differently? what's changed?
-have any other comps picked up market share?
2. response actions
-acquire competitor
-merge w/ competitor
-hire competitor's management
-increase own profile with marketing and PR campaign
increasing sales
1. relationship between increasing sales and increasing profits
-how are we growing relative to industry?
-what has our market share done lately?
-do we know what customers want?
-are prices in line with our competitors?
-what have comps done in marketing & product development?
2. ways to increase sales
-increase volume: more buyers, increase distribution channels, intensify marketing
-increase amount of each sale (get each buyer to spend more)
-increase prices
-create seasonal balance
reducing costs: cash flow problem
1. breakdown of costs
2. is anything out of line? why?
3. benchmark the competitors
4. determine whether there are any labor-saving technologies that would help reduce costs
reducing costs: sales flat, profits declining (surge in costs)
focus on internal costs vs. external costs
internal: union wages, suppliers, materials, economies of scale, increased support systems
external: economy, interest rates, government regulations, transportation/shipping strikes
economies of scale
The increase in efficiency of production as the number of goods being produced increases. Typically, a company that achieves economies of scale lowers the average cost per unit through increased production since fixed costs are shared over an increased number of goods.
improving bottom line -- profits
E(P=R-C)M
(sales up, profits flat)
look at external factors first -- economy & market/industry
-industry-wide problem or company problem?
1. analyze revenues: revenue streams, % of total revenue for each stream, is anything unusual in balance of %s, have %s changed lately? why?
2. examine costs: major costs, any major shifts in costs, any costs out of line? benchmark costs against competitors
3. volume: expand into new areas, increase sales force, increase marketing, reduce prices, improve customer service
turnarounds
1. gather information
-tell me about company
-why is it failing? bad products, management, economy?
-tell me about industry
-are competitors facing same problems?
-access to capital?
2. action
-learn about business and operations
-review services, products, finances: products out of date? high debt load?
-secure sufficient financing
-review talent and temperament of all employees; get rid of deadwood
-determine short-term and long-term company goals
-devise business plan
-visit clients, suppliers & distributors, & reassure them
-prioritize goals -- get some small successes ASAP to build confidence
five Cs
1. company
2. costs
3. competition
4. consumers/clients
5. channels
four Ps
1. product
2. price
3. place/placement
4. promotion
barriers of entry
-economies of scale
-capital requirements
-government policy
-switching costs
-access to distribution channels
-product differentiation
-proprietary product technology
Five Forces (state of competition depends on these)
1. threat of new or potential entrants. (barriers of entry)
2. intensity of rivalry among existing competitors
3. pressure from sbustitution products
4. bargaining power of buyers
5. bargaining power of suppliers
7-S framework
"hard" -- strategy, structure, systems
"soft" -- style, skills, staff, shared values
strategy
increased growth, increased profits, lower costs, new product development, new market
structure
lines of authority, chains of command, communication channels
systems
information, budgeting, planning, innovation, compensation, performance measurement
style
leadership style, meritocracy, etc.
skills
competencies
staff
people -- brains, management, motivation
shared values
company's principles
COGS
cost of goods sold
prices are stable when:
-growth rate for all competitors is approx. the same
-prices are paralleling costs
-prices of all competitors are roughly of equal value
external factors
-market
-customers
-industry
-competitors
-risk
internal factors
-strategy
-operations: marketing & sales, operations & logistics, finance & control, organization & culture, R&D
market sizing formula
1. total population x % of customers in segment = # of customers targeted
2. # customers targeted x # units purchased per year = total # units
3. total # units x price per unit = total annual market size
population data: world
7 billion
population data: US
300M
population data: NYC
8M
population data: LA
4M
population data: Europe
740M
population data: Great Britain
60M
population data: London
7M
population data: China
1.3B
population data: India
1.2B
population data: Japan
125M
ways to segment a population
-age
-gender
-geography
-income
-married/single
gross profit margin %
gross profit / revenue
net profit margin %
net income / revenue
contribution margin
revenue - variable costs (1 - COGS + all other expenses / revenue)
contribution margin %
revenue - variable costs/ revenue
elasticity
% change volume / % change price
return on investment (ROI)
(revenue - cost - investment) / capital invested
rule of 72
years to double = 72 / r
(at 10% return, an investment will double every 7 years)
K
1000 = 10^3
M
1,000,000 = 10^6
B
1,000,000,000 = 10^9
revenue
price x volume (quantity)
fixed costs
-overhead
-machinery
-distribution
-rent
-interest
-depreciation
variable costs
COGS, raw materials, energy inputs, labor, service
3 Cs
company, customers, competitors
company factors
1. profit equation
2. product/service offering
-value chain
-differentiation
3. more Cs: collaborators, channels, competencies, capacity, culture
customer factors
1. who? segmentation
-demographics
-socioeconomics
-needs
2. market data
-share
-size
-growth
3. decision-making
-what's driving the buying decision?
competitor factors
1. product/service offering
-value chain
2. advantages & disadvantages in capabilities
-marketing
-operating efficiencies
-talented people
3. key data
-market share
-total number
-fragmentation/concentration
value chain
R&D --> sourcing --> inbound logistics --> manufacturing --> distribution --> sales & marketing --> service
4 Ps/marketing mix
price, product, promotion, placement
price factors
1. product: commodity vs. highly differentiated
2. competitor pricing
3. strategy
-goal: penetrate, retain, convert, loss leader, etc.
-positioning & perception
-cost plus margin
4. customer
-segmentation: differences in willingness to pay
-elasticity
product factors
attributes, buyer decisions, competition, substitutions
promotion factors
awareness --> information search --> evaluation --> purchase --> repurchase
placement factors
1. channels: intensive v. selective
2. inventory
-push v. pull
-stock v. just in time
-carrying cost
3. transportation
-cost: inhouse v. outsource
BCG matrix
stars: high market share and high industry growth
question mark: low market share and high growth
cash cow: high market share and low industry growth
dog/pet: low market share and low growth
management should BUILD question marks, HARVEST cash cows, HOLD stars, DIVEST dogs/pets
outsourcing 2x2
low competitiveness & high strategic importance: improve or seek partner
high competitiveness & high strategic importance: keep and leverage
low competitiveness & low strategic importance: outsource
high competitiveness & low strategic importance: seek different advantage
product-market 2x2
existing products & existing markets: market penetration
new products & existing markets: product development
existing products & new markets: market development
new products & new markets: diversify
SWOT framework
internal: strengths & weaknesses
external: opportunities & threats
generic frameworks
SWOT, cost-benefit analysis