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stock options
option is the RIGHT to buy or sell shares at a SET PRICE
call option “long”:
the right to buy shares a at set price
hope: share price goes up
put option “short”:
the right to sell shares at a set price
hope: stock price goes down
short option vs. short selling
short option:
you buy option & profit off price decrease
potential loss? price of option
short selling:
hedge fund “borrows” shares from broker
immediately sell the shares
hope: share price DROPS
if price drops, buy shares @ lower price & return to broker
if price increases, unlimited losses
reddit discussion board: wall street bets
noticed % of shares borrowed in GameStop (140%)
pushed buying the stock which increased price
short selling
1. get out & take loss
buy shares to get out (short squeeze: getting out, increased price)
2. ride it out
pay interest to broker until price decreases
“meme stock”
increased price for no fundamental reason
negative outcomes:
1. Robinhood
halted trading on GameStop for 1 day
2. last money in
VIX = volatility index
option that trades in Chicago
value is based on volatility of stock prices in market
increase risk in price = increase value of VIX
“fear index”
typically, VIX traded 15-20
silicon valley bank (SVB)
bank dedicated to tech sector
deposits from tech company employees
mortgage with tech employees
deposits from tech firm (Roku)
creative financing for startups
FDIC: federal deposit insurance corporation
covers any deposit up to $250k
Roku → $487 million
government provided liquidity until SVB could be sold
“banking rule 101”
when a bank invests their deposits, they should be in short duration investments (liquidity)
SVB deposits in long-term US government debt (higher YTM or return)
interest rate risk:
increased time till maturity, increased price change when rates change
US economy:
2022: increased rates, decreased bond price
SVB lost value on balance sheet
tech sector slowed down → layoffs → tech employees came for deposits
created bank run
insolvement
Nike earnings call
current quarters earnings & revenues met expectations
weak future outlook
sales will decline in next quarter
major issues in China:
current quarter: decrease in sales by 10%
next quarter: decrease in sales by 20%
other:
margins are down
excessive inventory
questions about product rebranding
“shadow banking”
refers to financial institutions that act like banks
borrow/lend money like a bank but not regulated
(hedge funds, private equity, private credit fund)
more flexible than banks because less lending standards
lower standards → greater risk taking
greater risk → greater chance of failure if economy tanks
involved in 50% of global financing