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forced climate responses
changes in Earth’s energy balance, either globally or locally
unforced variability
internal dynamics of the climate system. Interactions among components like the atmosphere, ocean, ice and land.
Radiative forcing
how much a particular climate forcing mechanism would change Earth’s energy balance if the climate system was not allowed to adjust to that forcing.
radiative feedback
Some properties of the climate system affect the global radiation balance.
If these properties change as Earth warms or cools, they can lead to further changes in climate
positive radiative feedback
Feedbacks that amplify the effect of the original forcing (snow/ice albedo, water vapor)
negative radiative feedback
Feedbacks that counteract the effect of the original forcing
climate sensitivity
the ratio of the change in global mean temperature to the radiative forcing
In situ
measurements made by instrumentation located directly at the point of interest and in contact with the subject of interest “in its original place or position”
Remote Sensing
measurements made by instrumentation located some distance away from the subject of interest
paleoclimatology
The interpretation of this “climate proxies” which are influenced by climate and leave a natural archive of past changes in climate
Sources of Paleoclimatic Data
ocean sediments
lake sediments
glaciers/ice sheets
ice cores
tree rings
Instrumental Data
Multiple research groups have compiled records of global temperature using data from weather stations and sea surface temperature. (NASA, NOAA/NCEI, JMA, HADCRU)
proxy data
physical characteristics of the environment that can stand in for direct measurements
Effects of the Little Ice Age
• Many lakes and rivers in Europe froze over
• Ice in the Atlantic made shipping to Iceland and Greenland untenable
• Very cold winters → crop failure, famine, and population decline
• Glaciers advanced, destroying farmland and affecting some towns
Drivers of Last Millennium Climate Change
• Solar energy output
• Greenhouse gases
• Sulfate aerosols from volcanoes
• Changes in land use and land cover
Lateral Morraine
edges of glaciers
terminal moraine
bulldozer effect
Glacial erratic
rocks that are in places that they should not be
what causes ice differences (glaciation)
earths orbit (gravitational pull)
interactions with moon, Jupiter, and Saturn
eccentricity
tilt of earths axis
precession of equinoxes
eccentricity
how elliptical or oval our orbit is around the sun
tilt of earths axis (obliquity)
varies: less tilt = more ice, more tilt = less ice
which lateral gets more sun
prescession of equinoxes
the wobble of the earths axis
continental drift/ plate tectonics
split at the mid ocean ridge
cause for why we not longer have Pangea
PETM
mass extinction event
carbon and oxygen isotopes
caused by lots of carbon and higher temperatures
cretaceous climate
everywhere was warmer than today
higher sea levels = different types of plants and animals
continental drift, right after Pangea, locations were different
snowball earth
between 600 million and 1 billion years ago
caused by reduction in atmospheric greenhouse gasses resulting from intensive rock weathering (sun was dimmer)
Kaya Identity
CO2 emissions depend on:
population
affluence
energy intensity
energy technology
carboniferous periods
where coal came from
Milankovitch
Astronomical Theory of the Ice Ages
believed that cold summers led to glaciation by allowing snow to survive into the next year.
Ice: temperature to volume comparison
higher temp - lower ice volume
lower temp - higher ice volume
based on CO2
what did moraines show?
glacial evidence from the ice ages