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Labour market outcome
Outcome generated from the labour market as a result of labour supply and labour demand
Union-Non union Wage differential
The percentage difference in wage rates between union workers and otherwise comparable non-union workers
(Union wage/Non union wage) - 1
What is the wage differential equation?
Spillover effect
Union increasing wages in the union sector causes workers to spillover to the non union sector, decreasing wages and increasing employment in the non union sector
Threat effect
Non union firms increasing wage rate in order to discourage unionization
-Leads to wages increasing and employment decreasing for non union firms that are threatened (choose to increase)
-Leads to wages decreasing and employment increasing even further for non union firms that aren’t threatened (in addition to the spillover effect)
High, Easy, Aggressive, Aversion
The threat effect is greater when:
-Union non union differential is (high/low)
-Non union sector is (easy/hard) to organize
-The union is (aggressive/passive)
-The employer has (aversion/indifferent) to unions
Wage employment Contracts
If the union and firm negotiate a wage employment outcome on the contract curve (right of the demand curve), the spillover effect does not occur
-wages and employment stay the same in the non union sector
Queue employment
When unemployed workers in the union sector wait for jobs to open up instead of exiting to the non union sector
-The spillover effect is less
-This effect is greater if there is rapid turnover in union sector, and if it is difficult to get a union job if already employed
Success in non-unionized sector (demand)
If non union firms have better profits because of the lower wage rates from the spillover effect, demand for non union labour will increase
-the wage differential gap will narrow
Controlling for other relevant factors
When measuring the wage effect of unions, we want to hold all other variables fixed. It is difficult to find “all other variables” without missing some
Omitted variable bias
Some variables (such as skill) are too hard to measure, so they may be excluded from analysis
Selection bias
When selecting relevant variables, it is okay to omit some as long as they are the same for both union and non union members. However, it is likely those variables are different between them (ex. political compass)
Reverse causality
Unions may cause higher wage rate. However, it could also be the case that higher wage rates cause unions. We don’t know
Differs, Similar
The union wage effect generally (stays the same/differs) across individual workers
Canadian effect is (similar/different) to US studies
15%, 5%
The union non union wage differential has historically been (blank %), fallen to (blank %) over time
High
If the industry has a (high/low) union density, the union non union wage differential tends to be higher but diminishing after a certain point
Larger
If the firm size is (larger/smaller), the union non union wage differential tends to decrease
Low skill
The union non union wage differential is greater for (high skill/low skill) workers
Less
Industries with (more/less) regulation tend to have lower union non union wage differentials
Smaller
The public sector wage differential is (larger/smaller) than the private sector wage differential
Positive
There is a small (positive/negative) wage differential for university workers
women
The wage differential tends to be higher for (men/women)
increases
The union non union wage differential (increases/decreases) in recessions. The opposite occurs in expansions
(Union Wage/W*) - 1
What is the equation for the pure union wage differential?
-Where W* is the non union equation using variables of average union workers
Less
There is (more/less) wage dispersion among union workers compared to non union workers
Lower, Increase
There is (higher/lower) wage dispersion within the union sector
Unions (increase/decrease) the wage differential between union and non union work
The overall effect is ambigous
Less than 10%
Overall, unions reduce wage unequality by (more than/less than blank%)
Workers
This group likes wage benefits because they are often non taxable
Employers
This group likes wage benefits because they reduce turnover
Governments
This group likes wage benefits because they reduce the expenditure needed for similar things
Greater
Because unions secure (greater/less) fringe benefits for their workers, the total compensation gap is understated
Lower
Research shows employment growth is (higher/lower) in union firms compared to non union firms
More, Faster
Union firms tend to be governed by (more/less) rules
Union firms tend to have (faster/slower) pace
Less, Less
Union workers report (more/less) job satisfaction due to expectations
Union members tend to perceive (more/less) job security
More, Less
Unions are associated with (more/less) non-fatal injuries and (more/less) fatal injuries
Potentially due to:
-Better reporting
-Unionization occuring in select industries
-Managers needing to offset higher wages
-Workers being more careless due to more rules
-Conversion from fatal to non-fatal
Lower
The quit rate is significantly (higher/lower) for union workers
-more total comp and greater voice
Higher
Union employees have much (higher/lower) rates of absenteeism due to sickness
-Union protection or members abusing protections
Creative destruction
Economic growth that occurs through the continous creation of new technologies that replace older ones
-Unions need to protect workers who lose thier jobs
-Unionization shifts due to employment changing across industries
-Unions may encourage innovation if firms substitute labour for capital
Joseph Shumpeter
The one who developed the concept of Creative Destruction
Peter Howitt
The economist who won the nobel prize in 2025 for his work on Creative Destruction
Union Dues
Regular payments made by workers to fund activities of their union (ex. strike fund)
-Small % (1-2.5%) of before tax earnings, non taxable
-Set by the union, not the employer
Strike
A collective work stoppage initiated by the union to put pressure on the employer to meet collective bargaining
Lockout
An action taken by the employer where workers are prevented from working to put pressure on the union to accept collective bargaining
T = Resources/Cost
Tolerance equation in the model of strikes
U = w - Cu * t
Union’s utility in the model of strikes
U = Revenue - w - Cf * t
Firm’s utility in the model of strikes
W* = Wf + Beta*(Wu - Wf)
What is the equilibrium wage outcome in the model of strikes?
VuCf / (VuCf + VfCu)
Beta equation in model of strikes
T = 0
What is the equilibrium time that the model of strikes predicts?
T > 0
If there is private information or commitment to endurance, this could make the time outcome: (Blank)
UWOFA
An association that represents two groups of workers at Western (each group is its own bargaining unit with its own collective agreement)
-Full time and part time faculty (1700 members)
-Librarians and archivists (45 members)
-Associated with OCUFA and CAUT unions (but not part of a larger union)
-Board of Directors and 6 paid staff
-Has never gone on strike
PSAC 610
A union that represents three groups of workers at Western (each group is its own bargaining unit)
-Graduate TAs (2,200)
-Postdoctorate scholars (290)
-Graduate assistants (300)
-Graduate assistants currently negotiating their first collective bargaining agreement
-Elected excutive team and 2 paid staff
-Local arm of a larger union
-Graduate TAs went on strike in Winter 2024
PSAC 610 Most common grievances
-Issues with wages
-Issues with hours of work
-Over time pay and personal leave
-Harassment and bullying