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The conditions for Modernization
a dependent leader and citizens with valuable exits
Problem with natural resouces and democratization
dictatorial leaders capture control over valuable resources
Large state-controlled economy
hinders emergence of democracy because it diminishes the possibilities for citizens to be entrepreneurs and develop wealth
Modernization theory
argues that all societies pass through the same historical stages of economic development
Foreign aid from wealthy to poorer countries
seen as an obstacle to the emergence of democracy in the poorer country
How kings and rulers address their credible commitment problems
they make concessions to their citizens in exchange for support
Social desirability bias
when respondents to surveys tend to overreport good behavior and underreport bad behavior because of their discomfort with the topic
Participant culture
of the three kinds of cultures Almond and Verba identified, which one is suited to democracy
Modern, self-expression societies
Inglehart and Welzel might describe states and societies that have gone through the cultural modernization process as
Demographic transition
sparsely populated agrarian populations to densely populated urban centers
Third wave of democracy
which was was the surge in democratic tranditions aroudn the world since 1974
Top-down democratic transition
transitions in which a dictatorial ruling elite introduces liberalizing reforms that ultimately lead to a democratic transition
Cold War
The period of global geopolitical tension in which countries in the Eastern Bloc competed economically, socially, and politically with countries in the Western Bloc is known as the
Would save the Soviet Union
Soviet leader Gorbachev believed the reform policies he introduced (perestroika and glasnost)
Bottom-up democratic transition
a democratic transition in which the people rise up to overthrow an authoritarian regime in a popular revolution is considered a
Exit example in EVL theory
actions of East Germans in 1989…Hungary opening its border with Austria created a chance for East Germans to exit
Legalization of the Solidarity trade union
what unexpectedly brought (a top-down) an end to communist rule in Poland
Public good
nonexcludable and nonrivalrous
Not contribute
If you know that 10 members of the group (aside from yourself) are willing to contribute, what would you likely do?
Contribute
If you know that 14 members of the group (aside from yourself) are willing to contribute, what would you likely do?
Preference falsification
instead of opposing the dictatorship in public, John has decided its best to sneak in support of it
Revolutionary cascade
when one person’s participation triggers the participation of another, which triggers the participation of yet another, etc.
Designed to stabalize a dictatorshup (but may lead to democracy)
in dictatorships policies of liberalization can
Identity of their support coalitions
the textbook distinguishes between the types of dictatorships based primarily on the
Military dictatorships
dictatorship type that is often followed by negotiations and competitive election is
Civilian dictatorships
type of dictatorship that does not have an immediate institutional base of support, and has to figure out how to create one
Cabinet
the government in a parliamentary democracy comprises a prime minister and a…
The cabinet (prime minister + president and other ministers)
“the government” in terms of distinguishing parliamentary, presidential, and semi-presidential systems we mean
Legislative responsibility
a situation in which a legislative majority has the constitutional power to remove the government from office without cause is referred to as
BRICS and Iran and its allies
Russian opinion polls tend to show that Russians want improved relations with
Number of Parties: Duverger’s Theory
the size of a country’s party system depends on the complex interplay of both social and institutional factors
Social divisions create the “demand” for political parties, and electoral institutions then determine the extent to which this demand is translated
Different layers of federalism
unnecessary duplication of government with inefficient overlapping of potentially contradictory policies
Criticisms of federalism
exacerbates collective action problems in the formulation and implementation of economic and other policies
competition between units may also amplify preexisting inequalities in population, wealth, and political power
facilitates blame shifting and credit claiming
Advantages of federalism
decentralized forms of government are best for satisfying popular preferences in democratic countries in which individuals hold heterogeneous preferences
brings the “government” closer to the people
ability to encourage policy experimentation and innovation (i.e. rank voting)
Decentralization
refers to the extent to which actual policymaking power lies with the central or regional governments in a country
Coming-together federalism
the result of a bargaining process in which previously sovereign politics voluntarily agree to pool their resources in order to improve their collective security or achieve other economic goals
Independence
requires that the regional and national governments must have independent bases of authority
Geopolitical division
divides the country into mutually exclusive regional governments that are recognized in the constitution and that cant be unilaterally abolished by the national government
Federalism
geopolitical division
independence
direct governance
Federal states
some form of power sharing that allows each part of government some authority
Unitary states
power flows out from center and is shared outside of center only in so far as the center allows
Relevance of veto players
Africa in the 2000s: presidents change their constitutions to extend or abolish term limits so they can stay in power
the United States adopted federalism so states could check each other and the national government
many states use bicameralism so different voices
VETO player theory
an individual or collective actor whose agreement is necessary to change political status quo; institutional players give counties high policy stability, small policy shifts, and weak-agenda setting powers
Social cleavages
argued the primary engine behind formation of political parties can be found in social divisions (the more divisions there are, the greater the demand for political parties to form)
Ethnic and linguistic cleavage
from where did i descend? important source of conflict
you can join a club or a party or even become a citizen in certain countries but you cannot join an ethnic group (identity vs membership)
Post-material cleavage
the freezing hypothesis states that Western European party systems became frozen following the extention of universal sufferage in most countries
Class cleavage
became salient at end of 18th century during the Industrial Revolution
Karl Marx saw classes pitted against each other over conflicting economic interests
vertical conflicts: some classes
Michel’s iron law of oligarchy:
states that the leadership of organizations will never be faithful to the program and constituency that gave rise to the organization in the first place
has been used to explain organizational dynamics in many different social settings
Secular-clerical social cleavage
in 1905, France passed a law requiring the complete separation of church and state
law established state secularism in France
Notre Dame burning and then restored
Macron attends mass as a private citizen
Confessional social cleavage
conflict over religion emerged in European countries during the Protestant Reformation in 16th century
continued salience of Protestant-Catholic cleavage depends on whether one side was able to establish its dominance (northern Ireland)
Urban-rural social cleavage
the conflict between rural and urban interests is one of the oldest political conflicts in the world
it is still a salient issue today
the conflicts have an economic and cultural dimension
Primordial view
where do parties come from? treats parties as the natural representatives who share common interests
Instrumental view
where do parties come from? political opportunists identify interests and get people to adopt them (supply creates its own demand view)
Effective number of parties
counts each party in a system but first weighs them by size
gives us a sense of how many parties earned votes and how the electorate’s votes are distributed across the parties
Multiparty system
system where more than two parties have a realistic chance of holding power
Two party system
system where only two major political parties have a realistic chance of holding power (i.e. U.S., Canada, UK)
One party dominant system
system where multiple parties may legally operate but in which only one particular party has a realistic chance of gaining power (vietnam, china, mexico)
Single-party system
system where only one political party is legally allowed to hold power
Nonpartisan system
no official political parties
Strategic voting
least bad to avoid the worst
MES: single nontransferable vote
alternative vote (Australia)
Must obtain majority
candidate-centered preference voting system used in single-member districts where voters rank order the candidates
Majoritarian electoral systems
single member district plurality system
voters cast a single candidate-centered vote in single-member districts
candidate with the most votes, even if she doesn’t have a majority of the votes, is elected from the district
Determinants of electoral integrity
domestic structural constraints
international community
role played by nonpartisan international organizations that monitor elections
institutional design
electoral management bodies
Semi-presidential democracies
France, Ireland, Lithuania, Peru, Poland
depends on the legislature to stay in power but head of state is elected for a fixed term
often the case that the president has more influence over foreign policy and the prime minister is more powerful in domestic policies
different political parties for presidency and prime ministership = cohabitation
Presidents
form candidates whenever their party controls a majority of the legislative seats
Surplus majority government
one in which the cabinet includes more parties than are strictly necessary to control a legislative majority
may be common in terms of crisis
may be required to change the constitution
may make strategic sense to have
Minority governments
one in which the governmental parties do not together command a majority of legislative seats so parties form coalitions for governing
X government can exist only as long as the oppositition chooses not to bring it donw
many see it as undemocratic and as an anomaly
Logic
you will want to form coalitions with parties that are located close to you in the policy space
Policy-seeking side of forming governments
only wants to shape power
a formateur can get other parties to join the government only by giving them policy concessions
Office-seeking side of forming governments
politicians want the intrinsic benefits of office
Forming governments
requires trade offs between office and policy
Office
has to do with portfolios or areas of responsibility
Politicians
even if they were pure policy seekers or pure office seekers, the reality of political competition will force them to act as if they cared about both policy and office; how you form a government given this trade off is complex