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Business Cycle
Currently identifies a recession as a phase of the cycle
Real GDP
A measure of economic output that corrects for price changes (inflation or deflation) to show actual growth
Nominal GDP
A measure of economic output that uses current prices it does not account for inflation
Unemployment
A key economic indicator
Inflation
An increase in the overall level of prices within an economy
The standard of living is measured by
Output per person (there was virtually no growth in living standards prior to the industrial revolution)
Characteristics of Modern Growth
Rising Output, Global Inequality
Rising Output
Characterized by a consistent rise in output per person
Global Inequality
Modern economic growth is not experienced by all countries it occurs unevenly across the globe
Saving
The international trade-off of current consumption for future consumption. Occurs when current income exceeds current spending
Types of investments
Financial and Economic
Financial Investment
Buying Stocks, bonds, or mutual funds (Financial assests)
Economic Investment (Real Capital goods)
Purchasing machinery, constructing buildings, or expanding inventory)
Economic Shocks
An unexpected shift or deviation from what was forecasted. Shocks occur when reality fails to match expectations.
Demand Shocks
Sudden, unexpected alterations in consumer spending or aggregate demand
Supply Shocks
Unexpected events affecting production capabilities, resource availability, or aggregate input costs
Price stickiness measures
how slowly a price responds to shift in economic behavior
Demand Shocks and Flexible Prices
If prices move freely, the market corrects itself quickly through price changes rather than output changes
Demand Shocks and Fixed (Sticky prices)
Most final goods cannot change prices instantly due to contracts or market friction
Demand Shock Flexible Prices (Positive)
Unexpectedly high demand drives prices upward, production quantity remains relatively constant
Demand Shock Fixed Prices (Positive)
Since prices cannot rise, firms must increase production and hire more workers to meet demand
Demand Shock Flexible Prices (Negative)
Unexpectedly low demand focuses prices downward firms clear inventory
Demand Shock Fixed Prices (Negative)
Since prices cannot fall, goods go unsold, causing unintended inventory
Flexible Prices
Corn Oil Natural Gas
When demand shocks lead to recessions, it is mainly due to
price inflexibility.
There is a trade-off between
current consumption and future consumption.
The term "shock"
does not tell us whether what has happened is unexpectedly bad or unexpectedly good
The average number of months between price changes for gasoline is
0.6.
Inventories held by firms
tend to reduce the severity of short-run fluctuations.