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Q: What is the UK’s main macroeconomic problem in this scenario?
A: High inflation caused by a negative supply shock from rising global energy prices, creating stagflationary pressures.
Q: How does the AD–AS model explain the inflation problem?
A: Higher energy costs shift short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) left, causing prices to rise while output and employment fall.
Q: Why is this situation difficult for policymakers?
A: Lowering inflation can slow economic growth and increase unemployment, creating a tradeoff.
Q: What fiscal policy should the UK government use?
A: Targeted fiscal policy such as energy subsidies, transfer payments, and investment in domestic energy infrastructure.
Q: Why should the government avoid broad tax cuts or large spending increases?
A: They could increase aggregate demand too much, worsening inflation and government debt.
Q: What monetary policy should the Bank of England use?
A: Maintain relatively high interest rates to reduce consumer spending and investment, helping lower inflation.
Q: What indicators should policymakers monitor?
A: CPI inflation, wage growth, and unemployment trends.
main idea
Inflation is rising because of a supply shock from energy prices, so the government should use targeted fiscal support while the central bank keeps interest rates high to reduce inflation without causing a severe recession.