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Habitable/Goldilocks Zone
orbital zone where a planet can have liquid water
Thermosphere
Absorbs some high energy UV and x-ray radiation
Mesosphere
Gases thick enough to slow down meteors
Stratosphere
Contains ozone that blocks most UV radiation
Troposphere
Where all weather occurs
Carbon Dioxide
Lasts centuries in the atmosphere. Measured in ppm, currently measured at 440 ppm. Comes from fossil fuels, volcanoes, forest fires.
Methane
Lasts 7-12 years in the atmosphere. Measured in ppb. Livestock/manure, decay, landfalls and wetlands, permafrost. 60% of methane comes from human sources.
Nitrous Oxide
Comes from fertilizers, fossil fuels, fires. Roughly 40% of emissions come from fertilizers/agriculture.
Chlorofluorocarbons - CFCs
Caused hole in ozone layer. 1986 Montreal Protocol regulated CFC production. Largely used in industrial/refrigeration uses.
Water Vapor
Weak but abundant. Not a cause, but a response and accelerant.
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)
The “conveyer belt” circulating the water in the ocean. Starts in the North Atlantic and takes roughly 1000 years. Slowing due to ocean warming.
Positive Feedback Loops
Self Reinforcing. Albedo effect, melting permafrost, water vapor warming, deforestation.
Negative Feedback Loops
Self Regulating. Ocean CO2 absorption, chemical weathering
Emissions by Sector - Energy
73%
Emissions by Sector - Agriculture
18%
Emissions by Sector - Industry
5.2%
Emissions by Sector - Waste
3.2%
Drought
Causes: Positive feedback loop of soil dryness, decreased winter snowpack means less summer meltwater.
Solutions: Zai holes. Water pools in holes instead of runoff. Manure attracts termites that overturn soil.
Fire
Causes: Longer dry seasons. Pine beetles, droughts, and fire suppression increase fuel load.
Solutions: Controlled burns.
Sea Level Rise
Causes: Melting ice on land and water expanding as it warms. Risen 8-9 inches since 1880.
Hurricanes/Tropical Storms
Causes: Warming ocean temps cause more storms and higher sea levels cause higher storm surge waterlines. Tropical storms could see a decrease in frequency but an increase in intensity.
Solutions: Restoring wetlands and reefs, such as the Chesapeake Bay Oyster Reef.
Extinction (Land)
Predicted ~30% extinction. Amphibians, mammals, and birds most at risk.
Climate Circulation Slowdown
Greenland ice melting is weakening AMOC. Gulf Stream slowdown causes east coast sea level rise and extreme weather in Europe.
Ocean Acidification
Caused by increased carbon dioxide in the ocean. Carbonate/chalk shells dissolve, affecting corals, bivalves and plankton. Historically acidification leads to marine extinction.
Ocean Warming
Increased disease and metabolism, changes in storms and habitat sustainability. Warm water holds less oxygen. Causes coral bleaching.
Deoxygenation
Oxygen minimum zones (omz) are expanding. Caused by eutrophication, warming, and slowdown of ocean currents.
Ocean Extinctions
70-90% decline in coral reefs with 1.5 degrees C of warming. Roughly 1/3 of marine species rely on coral reefs at some point in their lives. Also caused by overfishing.
Responses to Climate Change
Move, Adapt, Die
Move
Most species today are moving. Generally up mountains, towards poles, or to deeper water.
Velocity of Climate Change
How far a species would need to move each year to avoid the effects of climate change. Marine species are moving 6x faster than terrestrial species.
Adapt
Individuals may adapt, but it is difficult for whole populations. Most species cannot adapt fast enough.
Die
Local or global extinctions. Likely if species live at the edges of their geographic ranges.
Extirpation
Population extinction, such as California leopards.
Extinction
Death of all populations. Global.
Kill Mechanism
Process hypothesized to cause mass extinction event. Ex. trophic cascade with the dinosaurs (not asteroid).
Extinction Selectivity
Data on which species survive vs. go extinct. Provides evidence for kill mechanism.
Common Traits of Extinction Selectivity
Geographic range size, body size, niche breadth (specialist vs generalist), r vs k select species. There are higher rates of extinction in the tropics.
Niche vs. Range Size
Niche: can use a wider array of resources
Range Size: less affected by disasters
Modern Extinction Kill Mechanisms (Five Largest)
Agriculture, Logging, Invasive Species, Urban Development, and Overexploitation/Direct Take
Agriculture and Logging
Kill Mechanisms: deforestation, habitat destruction, habitat fragmentation, pesticides, irrigation diverting water.
Remediation: sustainable logging, thinning over clear cutting
Invasive Species
Kill Mechanisms: competition for resources, kill local species, spread disease
Remediation: promote native species, physically removing IS, quarantine new species, agriculture checkpoints, boat sanitization
Urban Development
Kill Mechanisms: clears species, habitat fragmentation, light/sound/chemical pollution, habitat loss
Remediation: wildlife crossings
Overexploitation/Direct Take
Kill Mechanisms: hunting and fishing
Remediation: protected areas, farmed fishing, hunting permits, captive breeding of pets, avoiding insect art/jewelry, using peat moss substitutes
Extinction Severity
How many taxa (at a given rank) died.
Taxonomy
Domain, Kingdom, Phylum, Class, Order, Family, Genus, Species
Taxon
Group of organisms.
Background Rate
Average extinction rate excluding mass extinctions. Averages 5 families per million years, but has gone down over the last 600 Mya.
Diversity
A count of taxa from any given period. Diversity = Origination (speciation) - Extinction
Origination
Process of new species arising (speciation). Average rate is 0.05 - 0.2 new species per million years.
John Phillips (1860)
Made the first diversity curve.
Making Diversity Curves
Look up first and last occurrence in record then count how many overlap in each time unit. Observed diversity is influenced by the fossil record and human error.
Norman Newell (1960)
Mapped the diversity rate and brought attention to the major diversity losses. Later argued that there are 5 major diversity declines.
Ordovician Extinction
444 Mya. 86% species lost.
Devonian Extinction
360 Mya. 75% species lost.
Permian Extinction
250 Mya. 96% species lost.
Triassic
200 Mya. 80% species lost
Cretaceous Extinction
65 Mya. 76% species lost.