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adverse selection
Happens before a transaction: when one party possesses more or better information than the other party, putting the other party at more risk
banks end up lending to risker people
moral hazard
one party engages in riskier behavior because another party bears the costs of that risk
incentives are distorted by insurance or contracts that shield individuals or institutions from the full consequences of their actions
when someone takes bigger risks because they know they won't have to pay for the consequences if things go wrong
banks
borrow short-term (deposit withdrawable anytime)
lend long-term (mortgages, business loans)
What is the problem if many depositors withdraw at once
banks cannot quickly get money back from loans
it runs out of cash
even if bank is actually healthy
how do bank runs happen
people think bank might fail
they rush to withdraw money
bank runs out of reserves
bank collapses
what happens when banks fail
lending stops
businesses can’t invest
economy slows
8 key facts
stocks are not the main source of finance
marketable securities are not the main funding source
indirect finance > direct finance
banks are the most important source of external funds
financial system is heavily regulated
only large firms access financial markets easily
collateral is everywhere
debt contracts are complex
collateral
asset pledged to guarantee repayment
transaction costs
costs of making financial transactions
role of financial intermediares
economies of scale
diversification
liquidity services
solutions to adverse selection
private information
government regulation
financial intermediation
collateral & net worth
net worth
monetary value of all assets owned by an individual minus the total value of their liabilities
reduces adverse selection by acting as a signal of high creditworthiness, providing collateral and aligning the borrowers interest with the lenders
principal-agent problem
result of separation of ownership by stockholders (principals) from control of the firm by managers (agents)
principal: less information
agent: more information
solving principal agent probelm
monitoring (audits)
government regulation
financial intermediaries
debt contract
reduces monitoring costs by asking re-payment in fixed amounts and not subject to performance
if firm pays —> no problem
if firm fails —> monitor
solving moral hazard in debt contracts
net worth and collateral
monitoring and enforcements of restrictive covenants
enron scandal
hid debts using accounting tricks
misled investors
led to —> stronger financial regulation
Deposit insurance
if a bank collapses the insurance scheme guarantees that depositors will get their money back up to a certain limit
bank runs
occurs when a large number of customers simultaneously withdraw their deposits due to fears that a bank is insolvent
purchase and assumption method
way to resolve a failed bank
—> insteads of closing the bank and paying depositors directly, the regulator arranges for a healthy bank to buy parts of the failed bank and assume its obligations
“too big to fail”
A company/bank is so large and important to the economy that the govt cannot allow them to collapseÂ
Their failure could cause major financial crisis
use the purchase and assumption method
increases moral hazard incentives for big banks
financial regulation
government restrict what kinds of assets financial institutions can own
—> prevents banks from investing in very risky assets that could lead to failure
why are there bank regulations
they hold ppls deposits and are critical to financial system
promote diversification
prohibit holding of common stock bc they are more risky than loans or bonds
capital requirements
must hold minimum amount of capital (their own money) relative to their assetsÂ
minimum leverage ratio (for banks) so they cannot borrow excessively
Basel Accord
risk-based capital requirements
require banks to hold capital based on the riskiness of their assets
Prompt corrective action
if the amount of a financial institution’s capital falls to low levels, serious problems resultÂ
Chartering
screening of proposals to open new financial institutions to prevent adverse selectionÂ
Examinations
monitor banks to prevent moral hazard
Assessment of Risk Management
A systematic process of identifying, evaluating, and prioritizing potential threats to minimize their impact. It involves estimating the likelihood of an occurrence and the severity of its consequences to make informed decisions on how to handle the risk
Value at Risk
statistical measure that estimates the maximum potential loss in value of a portfolio or asset over a specific time frame
Disclosure requirementsÂ
Requirements to adhere to standard accounting principles and to disclose wide range of informationÂ
Basel 2 accord and the SEC put a particular emphasis on disclosure requirements
financial transparency —> have to disclose information to regulators, investors or opposing parties
Restrictions on competitionÂ
Justified as increased competition can also increase moral hazard incentives to take more on risk
conflict of interest
A conflict of interest occurs when a financial institution has multiple roles that create incentives to act dishonestly
This happens when a person or company has two competing duties
why do conflicts of interest exist?
economies of scope; firms provide multiple services at once
ex: investment banking + research, auditing + consulting, credit rating + advisory
why is conflict of interest bad for the economy?
information becomes unreliable
investors make bad decisions
moneys goes to bad investments
good firms don’t get funding
—> economy becomes inefficient
Why is there a conflict between an investment bank's Research and Underwriting departments
Underwriting (The Money Maker): Banks earn huge fees for helping companies sell stock.
Research (The Truth Teller): Analysts are supposed to give honest, unbiased opinions on those same companies.
The Conflict: To win the "big money" underwriting deals, banks are tempted to publish overly positive research on a company, even if that company is performing poorly
What is "Spinning" in Investment Banking
when a bank allocated under-priced shares of a new stock (IPO) to executives of another company in exchange for that company’s future business
creates bias in the market
Why do Auditing firms face conflicts of interest regarding Consulting
Auditors may skew their judgment or provide overly favorable audits to secure or keep high-paying consulting contracts from the same client
What are Economies of Scope, and how do they lead to Conflicts of Interest
Economies of Scope: Providing multiple services (e.g., auditing + consulting) at a lower cost because they share the same information
the conflict: one service’s goals may contradict another’s, creating an incentive to provide misleading information, which reduces market efficiency
What is Regulatory Arbitrage?
the government guarantees repayment to creditors of large, complex financial institutions to prevent a total market collapse
increases moral hazard for big banks because they know they will be bailed out
Why is Indirect Finance (Banks) more common than Direct Finance (Stocks/Bonds)
because of transaction costs and asymmetric information
Why is Collateral so prevalent in debt contracts
it reduces the lender’s risk. if the borrower defaults, the lender takes the asset. it also aligns incentives; the borrower will work harder to keep their house or equipment
What is the "Contagion Effect" in bank panics
because of asymmetric information, depositors can’t tell a “good” bank from a “bad” bank. if one bank fails, people panic and withdraw money from all banks, crashing the whole system
Why does a Government Safety Net cause more Moral Hazard?
for depositors: they stop checking if their bank is being risky because they know their money is insured
for banks: they take bigger risks
what is a leverage ratio
The amount of Capital (the bank's own money) divided by its Total Assets. A high ratio means the bank has a big "cushion" to absorb losses before it goes bankrupt
what is prompt corrective action?
a rule that requires regulators to step in immediately when a bank’s capitol starts to drop, rather than waiting for the bank to actually go bust