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Collective Violence
A form of contentious politics in which groups make claims that involve direct damage to persons or property It is inherently political because governments are involved as targets, participants, or regulators
Contentious Politics
Public, collective claim-making that affects others' interests It includes protests, strikes, revolutions, and civil wars Not all contentious politics is violent, but all collective violence is contentious politics
Political Entrepreneurs
Actors who organize, activate, coordinate, and represent constituencies They mobilize identities and grievances, often shaping whether contention becomes violent
Violent Specialists
Individuals or groups who specialize in the use of coercion ( soldiers, militias, police, armed groups) Their alignment with or against the state affects the scale and coordination of violence
Category Formation
The political construction of collective identities through invention, borrowing from existing models, or encounters with rival groups
Opportunity Hoarding
The monopolization of valuable resources or positions by a bounded group, reinforcing inequality and group-based political division
Repertoire of Contention
The limited set of recognized and culturally familiar ways in which people make political claims (demonstrations, strikes, riots, insurgency)
High Capacity vs Low-Capacity Regimes
High-capacity regimes effectively control coercion and regulate contention; low-capacity regimes struggle to control armed actors, increasing the likelihood of fragmented or widespread violence
Salience of Violence
The degree to which physical damage becomes central—rather than incidental—to political interaction
Anocracy
A regime combining democratic and authoritarian elements, typically scoring between -5 and +5 on the Polity scale
Autocracy
A political system with concentrated power, limited political competition, and restricted civil liberties
Democracy (Full Democracy)
A political system with competitive elections, civil liberties, rule of law, and strong constraints on executive power
Polity Score
A 21-point scale (-10 to +10) used to classify regimes from autocracy to democracy and predict instability
Democratic Transition
The process of moving from authoritarian rule toward democracy; a period of heightened uncertainty and instability
Rapid Democratization
Fast political reform without strong institutional foundations, increasing the likelihood of conflict
Backsliding (Democratic Backsliding)
The erosion of democratic institutions and norms by elected leaders
Autocratization
The gradual shift of a democracy toward more authoritarian rule
Peak Risk Zone (Middle Zone)
The range around -1 to +1 on the Polity scale where civil war risk is highest due to weak institutions and low legitimacy
Weak State Capacity
A government's inability to enforce law, provide security, or control territory
Institutional Fragility
The weakness of political institutions during transition or decline
Institutional Legitimacy
Public belief that political institutions are rightful and authoritative
Elite Power Shift
Redistribution of political influence during transition, creating winners and losers
Political Losers Problem
The tendency of groups that lose power during regime change to resist or mobilize violently
Power Vacuum
A gap between collapsing authority and consolidated new institutions, creating opportunities for armed actors
Opportunity Structure for Rebellion
Conditions that make rebellion feasible, such as divided elites or weak security forces
Ethnic Polarization
Political mobilization along ethnic lines, often intensified during regime change
Sectarian Mobilization
Political organization around religious identity divisions
Factionalism
Political competition structured around identity-based or regional divisions
Civil War
Sustained armed conflict between a government and internal groups or among internal groups
Insurgency
Organized rebellion challenging state authority
Guardrails of Democracy
Institutional constraints such as courts, free press, and electoral integrity that protect democratic systems
Erosion of Checks and Balances
The weakening of institutional constraints on executive authority
Gradual Democratization
Slow reform that allows institutions to consolidate and reduces conflict risk
Democratic Consolidation
The process by which democratic institutions become stable, legitimate, and resilient
Communal Group
An ethnic, religious, or cultural identity group without recognized statehood that is politically salient due to discrimination or collective mobilization
Relative Deprivation
The perceived gap between what a group believes it deserves and what it actually receives
Grievances
Publicly articulated complaints about injustice, inequality, or exclusion
Mobilization
The organization and activation of group members for collective political action
Communal Political Action
Collective actions taken by a group to influence or challenge the state
Protest
Nonviolent or limited violent collective action expressing group demands
Rebellion
Sustained, organized violent conflict against the state
Historical Loss of Autonomy
Loss of previous self-rule or political independence, often a strong driver of rebellion
Discrimination
Systematic restriction of a group's access to economic or political opportunities
Group Identity
Strength of shared cultural, linguistic, or religious identity within a group
Group Cohesion
Internal unity and organizational capacity that facilitate mobilization
Diffusion
Spread of conflict across borders among transnational kin groups
Contagion
Imitation of tactics and strategies among similar groups within a region
Institutionalized Democracy
Stable political system with open participation and constraints on executive power
Democratization
Transition process toward democracy that may increase instability in multiethnic states
State Power
Capacity of the state to regulate, repress, or accommodate communal demands
Contentious Politics
Collective political interaction involving claims that challenge authorities, elites, or dominant institutions
Contentious Repertoire
The set of protest performances and tactics that are known, available, and considered legitimate or feasible within a given political context
Repertoire Change
The process through which new forms of contention emerge, diffuse, become routinized, or decline over time
Regime
The regular and recognizable relations among governments, established political actors, and challengers, as perceived by insiders and outsiders
Governmental Capacity
The extent to which a state can effectively control territory, enforce rules, collect resources, and implement policies
Hybrid Regime
A political system combining democratic and undemocratic features, producing unstable and unpredictable patterns of contention
Political Opportunity Structure
Key features of a regime that shape opportunities and threats for collective action, including openness, elite divisions, allies, and repression
Opportunities
Aspects of the political environment that facilitate mobilization, such as institutional access, elite splits, or weakened repression
Threats
Risks or dangers—such as repression, exclusion, or violence—that motivate or constrain collective action
Contained Contention
Claim making that operates within established institutional rules and routines, elections
Transgressive Contention
Claim making that violates institutional norms or uses innovative or forbidden tactics, riots
Legal Mobilization
The strategic use of courts and legal institutions to advance movement goals
Cycle of Contention
A period of heightened and interconnected collective action involving multiple actors, issues, and repertoires
Movement-Countermovement Interaction
The dynamic process in which opposing movements respond to, shape, and radicalize one another
Democratization
An increase in participation, equality, consultation, and protection, expanding political opportunities for contention
Dedemocratization
The erosion of democratic institutions and protections, narrowing opportunities and often suppressing contention
Civil Resistance
Collective, nonviolent action by civilians to challenge regimes, occupations, or policies
Nonviolent Campaign
A sustained, organized series of nonviolent actions, boycotts, strikes
Violent Campaign
A resistance campaign relying primarily on armed force, including insurgency or guerrilla warfare
Mass Participation
Large-scale civilian involvement; the central advantage of nonviolent campaigns
Participation Advantage
Nonviolent action lowers physical, moral, and informational barriers, enabling broader mobilization
Antiregime Campaign
A campaign aimed at removing or transforming a governing authority
Anti-Occupation Campaign
A campaign seeking to end foreign control or military presence
Secession Campaign
A campaign seeking independence or territorial separation
Repression
State coercion or violence used to suppress opposition
Backfire Effect
When repression against nonviolent activists increases public support and participation
Loyalty Shifts
Defections by elites, bureaucrats, or security forces away from the regime
External Support
Foreign material or political backing; more central to violent campaigns than nonviolent ones
Strategic Nonviolent Action
The deliberate use of nonviolence to disrupt governance and impose political costs
Resilience
A movement's ability to survive repression, adapt tactics, and sustain participation
Durable Democratic Transition
A stable move toward democracy with a lower risk of relapse into violence or authoritarianism
Genocide
Acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnic, racial, or religious group
Mass Killing
The killing of many members of a group without the intention to eliminate the group
Instigation
Initial difficult conditions or conflicts that begin the process leading toward genocide or mass killing
Difficult Life Conditions
Severe economic problems, political disorganization, or rapid social change that frustrate basic needs
Basic Needs
Fundamental human needs for security, positive identity, effectiveness and control, connection to others, and meaningful comprehension of reality
Social Identity
The extent to which a person's identity is based on membership in a group
Individual (Personal) Identity
How individuals answer the question "Who am I?"
Group Self-Concept:
How members see and define their group
Scapegoating
Blaming an outgroup for the problems faced by one's own group
Ideology
A vision of social arrangements that promises a better life and often identifies enemies
Better World Ideology
An ideology that claims to improve life for all humanity
Nationalistic Ideology
An ideology that promises improvement primarily for one's own group
Legitimizing Ideology
An ideology that justifies the power and privilege of dominant groups
Ideology of Antagonism
A form of group identity centered on hostility toward another group
Authority Orientation
Strong respect for and obedience to authority within a culture
Cultural Devaluation
A history of devaluing a particular group embedded in a society's culture
Unhealed Wounds
Lasting effects of past victimization that make a group feel threatened and vulnerable
Continuum of Destruction
The gradual evolution from discrimination to increasing violence and ultimately genocide
Moral Exclusion
Placing victims outside the realm of moral concern
Bystanders
Internal or external observers whose passivity allows violence to evolve