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How is class split in the uk
even, ab,de,c2 and 1/3 c1
what is c1
professional roles (middle class)
Votes in the 18-24 and 65+ category for 2024 labour and conservative
41 young,43 old
Ethnic minority groups voting 2024 for labour conservative
46,17
eexplain labour immigration announcement
Shabana mahmood, refugee status tempoary, leaked to media, speaker says undermines parliament, who holds government to account now?
ofcom, how many adults use socials as main soure of news
60
tony blair use of media
white working class national identity, created by a newsweek journalist, uses media and culture, cool brittania
explain grime 4 corbyn
highest youth turnout since 92, 64 perent of young voters, glastonbury, grime4corbyn tweeted more than labourmanifesto
explain brexit targeting scandal
cambridge analytica, vote leave, was it that deep?
83 con lab de vote split
33,41
age voting conservatives 83
all in the 40s
What can Jennifers ear teach us
Two girls, one private one public, Sun claims kinnock lied, embellishing of the truth, pathos broadcasts can backfire
legislation passed to affect sociological voting
elections act 2022
what percentage of de voters voted reform in 2024
17%
conservative class split 2024
26% of votes for ab and de
tory split 24
18-24,5 65+,43
reform vote split 24 based on ethnicity
15.3
name of study of voter behaviour
psephology
5 models of voter behaviour
sociological, spatial, rational, salient, valence
explain spatial model of voting
based on ideological position
explain rational model of voting
voters change preffered party based on factors they judge to be relevant
how was the economy 1983 election
sharp fall in inflation, over 3 million unemployed
3 promises of longest suicide note in history
abolition of the hol, nuclear disarmament, higher personal taxation
3 problems with the longest suicide note in history
undermine economic stability, national security, governing credibiility
3 long campaign contexts 1983
81 brixton riots, 1982 fawlkalnds war, monetarism, sdp = gang of 4 1981
2 short campaign events of 1983
manifesto, dissolution of parliament may 1983
3 media events of the 1983 election
michael foot cenotaph donkey jacket, wurzel gummage, the guardian compared it to battle of the somme
role of media in 83 election
Reinforcement More Than Conversion
how was the conservative 1983 campaign
leader centred, war, defence, presidential
impact of donkey jacket 83
scruffy, unpatriotic
impact of wurzel gummage charicature 83
eccentric, old fashioned
tory:labour:alliance vote percentage share 83
42:28:25
tory:labour:alliance seat share 83
397:209:23
economy in 97
Black Wednesday 92 damaged conservative reputation
3 elements of wider context for 97
sleaze eg cash for questions, 18 years of conservatives, new labour
labour manifesto 97
because britain deserves betterr, cautious, committing to tory spending for 2 years
1997 election manifesto tory
warning voters about labour with higher taces and union power
1997 short campaign 3 things
demon eye posters, mondeo man
explain the mondeo man
aimed at swing voters, prioritised economic stability
election outcomes 97 tory: labour: lib dem vote percentage
43:31:17
election outcomes 97 tory: labour: lib dem seat share
165:418:46
97 impact of media in a describing phrase
legitimising force rather than direct persuader
97 two media things
cool brittania, its the sun wot won it
explain its the sun wot won it
he Sun famously switched sides to support Labour in 1997
2010 economy
aftermath of financial crisis, budget deficit risen to around 10% of gdp
3 elements of wider context for 2010
expenses scandal 2009 , iraq war, hug a hoodie
explain the impact of the iraq war on the 2010 election
labour potentially misled parliament and public, 2005 lib dems pushed anti establishment progressive structure against iraq
explain the 2009 mp expenses scandal
claiming for personal expenses
explain david cameron hug a hoodie
compassionate approach to youth crime
2010 libdem manifesto
combined defecit reduction with political reform and progressive taxation
2010 conservative manifesto
fast fiscal consolidation, deficit reduction is test of conpetence
2010 labour manifestoc
gradual deficit reduction to protect public services
3 impacts of media 2010 election
cleggmania, bigotgate, newspapers
explain the impact of newspapers on the 2010 election
endorsed conservatives, reinforcing existing partisan cues
explain impact of bigotgate
emblematic of wider criticisms of leadership style, brown percieved as irritable and unscripted
explain cleggmania
appealed to disengaged young voters, brown saying “i agree with nick”
tory:labour: lib dem percentage vote 2010
36:29:23
tory:labour: lib dem seat share 2010
306:258:57
2017 3 bits of economy context
living standards stagnated following years of austerity, falling real wages, pressure on public services
2017 3 bits of wider context
brexit, snap election, corbyn leadership election
explain the corbyn leadership election and its impact on 2017 election
2016 qualified last minute, many mps did not support him but though ballot needed wide range, nobody thought he could win leading up
3 impact of media on 2017 election
girme 4 corbyn, refusal to speak at debates, daily mail
impact of media on corbyn study lse
2016, lse study claimed 75% of articles about corbyn in first few months of leadership distorted or failed to represent actual views
impact of brexit on 2017 election
fractured country, how brexit should be persued
importance of 2017 beign snap election
quest for personal authority
2017 conservative manifesto
dementia tax, social care reforms, loss of grey vote
2017 labour manifesto
higher public service spending, abolition of tuition fees, reduced ambiguity
2017 daily mail impact on election
13 pages of personal attacks on Jeremy Corbyn in just one edition.
tory:labour:lib dem vote percentage 2017
42:40:7
tory:labour:lib dem seat share 2017
317:262:12
2017 who did may form a coalition with
snp
snp seats won in election 2017
35
2 things that happened during the short campaign 2017
gateshead rally, manchester arena bombing
explain the importance of the gateshead rally 2017
10000 people came in rain to hear corbyn
explain importance of manchester arena bombinng 2017 election
mays record as home secratary, reduction in police numbers, questions of competence
explain shift in voting by race from
1997: 70 bme vote Labour → 2024: 46% labour
explain shift in voting by class
1997: Labour 61% (de) vs 31% (ab) → 2024: all social grade divided by less than 4 % according to yougov
explain shift in voting by age
1983: conservative 18-24 42, 55+ 47% → 2019 for every 10 years older a person is, likelhood of torie increases by 9 points
explain shift in voting by gender from
1997: one percentage point dividing main 3 parties → 2024: 12% 14-24 men vote reform, vs 6 women, main parties divided minimally
explain shift in voting by region
london 2024, 43% labour vs 25% in red wall
what did john curtice say about labour voting
london is now most pro labour part of country, and core voter is young first generation middle class professional
how many constitutions in the uk
650
3 advantages of fptp
stability, constituency link, extremist parties
3 disadvantages of fptp
disproportionate, wasted votes, not always majority strong
how does ams work
voters cast two votes, constituency seats use fptp, regional seats compensate parties harmed by fptp
3 advantages of ams
proportional, double representation, coalitions
3 disadvantages of ams
complex, coalitions, unequal legitimacy
two forms of representation with ams
local, regional
how does stv work
voters rank candidates in order of preference, droop formula
3 advantages of stv
more choice, encourages intra party competition, more proportional
3 disadvantages of stv
complex so spoilt ballots, coalitions, counting takes longer
how does sv work
mark first and second preference, top 2 first preference get compared on number of second
3 advantages of sv
broad appeal bc must win first and second, suits single office, simple
3 disadvantages of sv
disproportionate, tactical voting, two party system
3 arguements for referendums
legitimacy, boost participation, resolve controversies
3 arguements against referendums
oversimplification, populism, fractured population
4 uses of referendums
1998 ni, 2011 av, 2014 scotland, 2016 brexit
explain 98 ni referendum
81% turnout, 71% yes, good friday agreement
explain 2014 scotland referendum
85% turnout, 55% no