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Actual economic growth
An increase in a country's real GDP over time.
Potential Economic Growth
An increase in the productive capacity of the economy, shown by an outward shift of the LRAS curve.
Trend growth rate
The long-run sustainable rate at which an economy can grow without causing inflationary pressure.
Sustainable Growth
Economic growth that can be maintained without creating excessive inflation, debt, or environmental damage.
Productive Capacity
The maximum output an economy can produce when all resources are fully employed.
Output Gap
The difference between actual GDP and potential GDP.
Positive Output Gap
Occurs when actual output exceeds productive capacity, creating inflationary pressure.
Negative Output Gap
Occurs when actual output is below productive capacity, indicating spare capacity.
Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
The economy's maximum productive potential.
Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)
The total output firms are willing and able to produce at different price levels in the short run.
Demand-Pull Inflation
Inflation caused by excessive aggregate demand relative to aggregate supply.
Cost-Push Inflation
Inflation caused by rising production costs.
Stagflation
A combination of inflation, low economic growth, and high unemployment.
Reflation
Policies designed to increase aggregate demand and stimulate economic growth.
Deflationary Pressure
Downward pressure on prices caused by weak demand.
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
A measure of inflation by tracking the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for a representative "basket" of everyday goods and services.
Disinflation
A fall in the rate of inflation.
Deflation
A sustained fall in the general price level.
Hyperinflation
Extremely rapid and uncontrollable inflation.
Real Income
Income adjusted for inflation.
Purchasing Power Parity
An economic theory that compares different currencies by looking at how much an identical set of goods costs in each country.
Unemployment
Individuals willing and able to work who cannot find employment.
Claimant count
Measures unemployment by calculating the total number of people actively claiming government benefits for being out of work.
Labour Force Survey
A household survey that measures unemployment by directly asking people if they are out of work, seeking a job or available to start.
Cyclical Unemployment
Unemployment caused by economic downturns.
Structural Unemployment
Unemployment caused by changes in the economy that make skills obsolete.
Frictional Unemployment
Short-term unemployment while workers move between jobs.
Seasonal Unemployment
Unemployment arising from seasonal fluctuations.
Real Wage Unemployment
Unemployment caused by wages remaining above market-clearing levels.
Hysteresis
When temporary unemployment becomes permanent because workers lose skills or motivation.
Fiscal Policy
Government manipulation of taxation and spending to influence economic activity.
Expansionary Fiscal Policy
Increasing spending or reducing taxation to boost aggregate demand.
Contractionary Fiscal Policy
Reducing spending or increasing taxation to reduce aggregate demand
Budget Deficit
Occurs when government expenditure exceeds tax revenue in a year.
Budget Surplus
Occurs when tax revenue exceeds government expenditure.
Automatic Stabilisers
Automatic Stabilisers
Monetary Policy
Actions by the central bank to influence interest rates and money supply.
Interest Rate
The cost of borrowing or reward for saving.
Expansionary Monetary Policy
Reducing interest rates to stimulate economic activity.
Contractionary Monetary Policy
Increasing interest rates to reduce inflation.
Quantitative Easing (QE)
When a central bank creates digital money to purchase financial assets like government bonds
Quantitative Tightening (QT)
Reduction of money supply through asset sales or non-replacement.
Current Account
Records trade in goods, services, income and transfers.
Current Account Deficit
Imports and other outflows exceed exports and inflows.
Current Account Surplus
Exports and inflows exceed imports and outflows.
Balance of Payments
Record of all transactions between residents and the rest of the world.
Trade Deficit
Imports exceed exports
Trade surplus
Exports exceed imports
Appreciation
An increase in a currency's value.
Depreciation
A decrease in a currency's value.
Hot Money Flows
Short-term international capital movements seeking higher returns.
Supply-Side Policy
Measures designed to increase productive potential and efficiency.
Market-Based Supply-Side Policies
Policies that improve incentives and market flexibility.
Flexibility
The economy's ability to adapt to changes.
Human Capital
The value of workers' education, skills and experience.
Full Employment
A situation where everyone willing and able to work can find employment.
Price Stability
Low and stable inflation.
Sustainable Economic Growth
Long-term growth without generating instability.
Balance of Payments Equilibrium
A sustainable balance between international inflows and outflows.
Multiplier Effect
The process by which an initial injection causes a greater final increase in national income.
Accelerator Effect
Rising demand encourages proportionately larger increases in investment.
Supply-Side Capacity
The productive potential of the economy.
Demand-Side Constraint
Limits on growth caused by insufficient aggregate demand.
Supply-Side Constraint
Limits on growth caused by inadequate productive capacity.
Inflationary Pressure
Forces likely to increase inflation.
Deflationary Pressure
Forces likely to reduce inflation.
Productivity Growth
Increases in output per worker.
Unit Labour Costs
Labour cost per unit of output produced.
Competitiveness
The ability to compete effectively in domestic and international markets.
Fiscal Drag
Tax revenues rise automatically as incomes increase, slowing growth.
Policy Lag
The delay between implementing a policy and seeing its effects.
Policy Trade-Off
When improving one macroeconomic objective worsens another.
Aggregate Demand Management
Use of fiscal and monetary policy to stabilise the economy.