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presidentialism vs parliamentarism
definition
presidentialism - separately elected executive with fixed term
parliamentarism - executive emerges from legislature and depends on its confidence
example: Brazil (presidential + fragmented parties > coalition strain) vs United Kingdom (parliamentary majority governments)
institutional design shapes stability, accountability, and representation in democracies
vote of no confidence
definition: legislative vote to remove a sitting government in parliamentary systems
example: frequent cabinet turnover in Italy
makes governments more accountable but can reduce stability
Lame Duck effect
definition: period when an outgoing president has reduced influence
End of US presidencies
no reelection incentive means declining political leverage. fixed terms in presidentialism can weaken governance late in tenure
dual legitimacy
definition: both executive and legislature claim democratic mandate
example: 1973 conflict in Chile
Linz says this is the core weakness of presidential systems: competing authority means institutional conflict which may encourage possible breakdown
electoral system
definition: rules translating votes into seats
PR in Israel vs plurality in United Kingdom
one of the most powerful institutional choices in democracy, as it shapes party systems and representation
plurality/majoritarian vs proportional representation
definition: plurality = winner-take-all districts; PR = seats proportional to vote share
example: UK is plurality while the Netherlands is PR
Plurality is fewer parties while PR is more parties, so the tradeoff is governability vs representation
district magnitude
definition: number of representatives per district
example: high in PR systems like Spain
higher magnitude means more proportional outcomes, so its a key driver of party system size
Duverger’s Law
single-member plurality systems lead to two-party systems
example: United States
mechanical + strategic effects eliminate small parties, so electoral rules are linked to party systems
strategic effect
definition: voters/parties adjust behavior due to electoral rules
example: voters avoid “wasting” votes in US elections
anticipation of outcomes leads to strategic voting, explaining why small parties struggle in plurality systems
mechanical effect
how electoral rules convert votes to seats
example: disproportional results in UK elections
winner-take-all exaggerates seat shares, showing direct institutional bias shaping outcomes
alternative vote
definition: ranked-choice voting system requiring majority support
example: Australia
preferences redistributed > majority winner. encourages moderation and cross-group appeal
political party
group that fields candidates for public office
exmaple: Law and Justice in Poland
essential for democratic representation, mobilizes voters
descriptive representation
representatives share characteristics with constituents
example: gender/ethnic quotas in PR systems
shared identity > perceived legitimacy, enhances inclusion
substantive representation
representatives advocate for constituents’ interests
example: policy advocacy by mainstream parties
core to democratic responsiveness - policy alignment leads to voter satisfaction
populist party
definition: anti-elite, anti-establishment political party
example: Law and Justice in Poland
can erode democratic norms as it mobilizes dissatisfaction with mainstream parties
consociationalism
definition: power-sharing among ethnic groups
example: Lebanon
can stabilize or entrench divisions, acts as institutionalized group representation
civil society
non-state voluntary associations
example: Northern Italy
builds trust and participation, foundation of democratic engagement
social capital
definition: trust, networks, norms enabling cooperation
example: Italy North vs South
explains variation in institutional performance
uncivil society
groups undermining democratic values
example: Nazi organizations in Germany, Weimar
mobilizes exclusion and extremism, and can harm democracy
Weimar Republic
german democracy 1919-1933
example: collapse due to fragmentation and extremism
challenges assumption that civil society is always beneficial - strong civil society + weak state = instability
Michels Iron Law of Oligarchy
definition: organizations become dominated by elites
example: party leadership centralization
need for coordination leads to elite control, limiting internal democracy
Bridging vs Bonding Social Capital
bridging = across groups, bonding = within groups
example: Varshney’s India cities
bridging reduces conflict while bonding may increase it. type of social capital matters
ethnic group
group with shared identity/ancestry
example: Hutu and Tutsi in Rwanda
identity shapes political mobilization. central to conflict and politics
nation and nationalism
nation = group seeking political control; nationalism = ideology supporting it
Example: breakup of Yugoslav
identity > demand for sovereignty and can drive both state formation and conflict
Primordialism vs Constructivism
definition - fixed vs socially constructed ethnicity
example: Malawi vs Zambia ethnic relations
institutions shape identity salience - ethnicity is not inevitable conflict
instrumentalism
elites use ethnicity strategically
example: Serbia/Yugoslavia
mobilization for political gain; conflict often elite-driven
Hutu and tutsi
politicized ethnic identities in Rwanda
example: 1994 genocide
colonial + political institutionalization of identity. ethnic categories can be constructed and weaponized
Arusha Accords
1993 peace agreement in Rwanda
example: power-sharing attempt
failed agreements can precede violence, as seen as integration of tutsis into institutions
ethnic security dilemma
definition: defensive actions by one group trigger fear in others
example: bosnia conflict
mutual fear > escalation, explains spirals of violence
ethnic entreprenuer
leader who mobilizes ethnic identity for gain
Milosevic in Yugoslavia
activates identity for political survival, key driver of ethnic conflict
effective number of parties
measure of party system fragmentation
high in PR systems like Israel
electoral rules shape party competition, indicates governability vs fragmentation
intercommunal vs intracommunal civic associations
cross group vs within group organizations
Varshney - peaceful vs violent Indian cities
intercommunal ties prevent riots, structure of civil society determines conflict outcomes
institutional design essay
parliamentary systems are generally more stable than presidential systems because they avoid dual legitimacy and allow flexible removal of ineffective leaders, though institutional design can mititgate these risks in presidential system
Linz: presidentialism > dual legitimacy + rigidity > breakdnwo. example: chile 1973 collapse
parliamentarism: vote of no confidence > removes bad leaders quickly.
design matters - Chile post-1990 more stable
presidential system CAN provide stronger accountability and stability (eg US), especially with strong parties and institutions
electoral systems and democracy
proportional representation improves representation and inclusion but often weakens accountability and can increase fragmentation, creating tradeoffs rather than clear superiority
Lijphart: pr > inclusion. Netherlands and South Africa. Quentin Quade: PR > weak accountability. Italy and Israel.
PR may actually stabilize divided societies by reducing exclusion and conflict
electoral systems in divided societies
electoral systems that incentivize cross-group cooperation are most effective at reducing ethnic conflict, though power-sharing institutions can stabilize deeply divided societies in the short term
Reilly: preferential voting leads to moderation, such as Australia
Lijphart: consociationalism in Belgium and Lebanon
Howard: ethnocracy trap, Bosnia
in highly divided society, forcing integration may increase conflict - powersharing may be necessary initially
civil society and democracy
civil society strengthens democracy when it fosters crossgroup cooperation and trust, but can undermine democracy when it becomes fragmented or supports extremist mobilization
Putnam: Italy >social capital = strong institutions
Berman: Weimar Germany - civil society enabled Nazis
India - interethnic networks prevent violence
some scholars argue civil society is inherently beneficial, but this ignores “uncivil society”
causes of ethnic conflict
ethnic conflict is best explained by political incentives and elite manipulation rather than ancient hatreds, though historical divisions can provide the raw material for mobilization
Serbia > elites manufactured conflict
India > violence depends on electoral incentive
Rwanda> political construction of Hutu and Tutsi
primordialists argue ethnic hatred is deeply rooted, but evidence shows identities are fluid and politically activated
political parties and democratic stability
mainstream parties are weakening due to declining representation and voter trust, which opens space for populist challengers and threatens democratic stability
France, Italy
caused by policy convergence, economic anxiety, immigration
populist parties can also increase participation and represent neglected voters
country cases
Italy - North italy has better civil society than South. civil society can strengthen governance, but PR can trade representation for accountability. shows that social capital can make institutions work, but electoral fragmentation can still weaken clear accountability
Weimar - 1933 democracy collpased, Nazis rose to power. very dense civil society, severe economic shocks, fragmented party system. civil society not automatically good. party fragmentation + crisis can destroy democracy
India - communal riots vary widely across cities. cities differ in interethnic associations. electoral incetives: politicians incite or ignore violence when minorities don’t deliver votes
intercommunal ties dampen riots
violence is strategic, not spontaneous. bridging social capital prevents escalation
Rwanda - 1994 genocide.
ethnicity is politically constructed and weaponized. institutions can intensify or mitigate identity conflict. shows how state institutions can manufacture ethnic divisions and under elite mobilization turn them into violence
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1990s war, postwar Dayton system entrenches ethnic quotas
powersharing can freeze conflict but also lock in division
Lebanon
formal sectarian quotas
inclusion vs efficiency tradeoff in divided socities
shows consociationalism can prevent domination but often at the cost of effective, accountable governance
Netherlands
long running PR + coalition model
multiple parties, routine coalition bargainigng
PR can work well with strong norms and institutions
australia
preferential voting
alternative vote for lower house
need for transfers > braoder appeal > moderation
design can engineer cooperation without quotas
chile
1973 democratic collapse, post-1990 more stable democracy
pre-coup executive-legislative conflict; later institutional reforms and party coordination
presidentialism’s risks are real but conditionl
perils of presidentialism and importance of institutional and party system design