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Quantitative Reasoning
make judgments and predictions based on numerical values and logic
Data
Information
individual
any member of the population being studied
ex : talking about mountains the individual is a mountain
descriptive statistics
description of what you see and not predicting
inferential statistics
uses methods results from a sample
parameter
Is a numerical summary of a population
statistic
is a numerical summary based on a sample
Process of statistics
identify research objective (what question do u want to answer)
Collect the information needed to answer the question
Describe the data - organize and summarize the information
Draw conclusions
Discrete
quantitative variable that has finite number of possible values or a countable number of possible values , countable means such as 0,1,2,3,4
continuous
is a quantitative variable that has an infinite number of possible values it can take on and can be measured to any desired level of accuracy
example : when u consider possibilities = continuous , if u can assume
Levels of measurements : Qualitative
-nominal(name) = no ranking or specific
-ordinal(order) = natural order is
nominal ex: hair color ( in general is no natural ranking ) = nominal
Olympic medal = ordinal (gold,silver,bronze)
Levels of measurements : Quantitative
-interval = 0.. 10-15 is an interval , on a number line distance between two points is interval - ratio doesn't make sense but distance between value does
-ratio = if ur guessing choose ratio , only some exceptions for interval (most common)
explanatory
x axis
response
y axis
observational study
don't attempt to manipulate explanatory variable , look at the two and see if there's a pattern
do not allows researcher to claim causation, only association
Compounding
occurs when the effects of two or more explanatory variables are not separated
Confounding
tryin to isolate and there's a variable that are effecting both
Lurking variable
Is an explanatory variable that was not considered in a study
To show one variable causes a change in a second variable
we need to do a designed experiment
Cross sectional studies
observational studies that collect information about individuals at a specific point in time , or over a very short period of time
Case-control studies
these studies are retrospective , meaning that they require individuals to look back in time or require the researcher to look at existing records. In case control studies individuals who have certain characteristics are matched with those that do not.(records from the past)
Cohort(group of people) studies
long period of time , look for patterns
Longitudinal study
cohort.. almost the same thing , journalist prefer longitudinal wording
Census
population
survey
sample
designed experiment
intentionally manipulate the values of the explanatory variable
random sampling
is the process of using chance to select individuals from a population to be included in the sample
n
sample size
N
population size
frame
a list of every individual in the population, populations keeps changing so its hard to have an exact frame
obtain simple random sample
list of all individuals in the population (frame)
number the population list either sequentially or randomly
choose a sample size n
generate n random numbers and choose those values from your numbered frame
Stratified sampling
obtained by separating the population into homogenous(the same) nonoverlapping groups called strata, and then obtaining a simple random sample from each stratum. The individuals within each stratum should be homogenous in some way
Systematics sampling
choose every k^th from the population . The first individual selected is a random number between 1 and k ( doesn't require frame )
Cluster
obtained by selecting all individuals within a randomly selected collection or group of individuals
Convenience sample
is one in which the individuals in the sample are easily obtained (facebook)
biased in sampling
trying to obtain info through the sampling process and anything involved in the sampling process that distorts that information is called
sampling bias
means the technique used to obtain the individuals to be in the sample tends to favor one part of the population over another
under coverage
occurs when the proportion of one segment of the population is lower in a sample than it is in the population, like there are more women than men for ex
no response bias
exists when individuals selected to be in the sample who do not respond to the survey have different opinions from those do
non response can be improved through
the use of callbacks or rewards/incentives
response bias exists when
the answers on a survey do not reflect the true feelings of the respondent
types of response bias
-Interviewer error
-Misrepresented answers
-Words used in the survey question
-Order of the questions or words within the question
sampling errors
does not involve a mistake, is an error that results from using a sample to estimate information about a population. This type of error occurs because a sample gives incomplete information about a population
Confirmation bias
researchers have a tendency, both consciously and unconsciously to only see evidence that confirms their own preconceptions
experiment is a
controlled study conducted to determine the effect of the response variable of varying one or more explanatory variables or factors
treatment
any combination of the values of the factors
the experiment unit or subject is
a person object or some other well defined item upon which a treatment is applied
A control group serves as a
baseline treatment that can be used to compare to other treatments
a placebo is an
innocuous medication, such as a sugar tablet , that looks , tastes and smells like the experimental medication
blinding refers to
nondisclosure of the treatment an experimental unit is receiving
a single blind experiment is one in which
the experimental unit does not know which treatment he or she is receiving
a double blind experiment is one
in which neither the experimental unit nor the researcher in contact with the experimental unit knows which treatment the experimental unit is receiving
To design an experiment means explaining the plan
identify the problem
Determine the factors that affect the response variable
Determine the sample Size
Control and randomize
Conduct experiment
Test the claim
Inferential statistics you
take sample results and extend them to the population
Completely randomized design
means you put experimental units is randomly assigned to a treatment level
Matched-pairs design is an
experimental design in which the experimental units are paired up. The pairs are matched up so that they are some how related . There are only two levels of treatment in a matched pairs designed