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What are money markets?
Short-term financial markets used for borrowing and lending (≤ 1 year)
Purpose of Money Markets
Provide short-term funding and liquidity
what are Money Market Securities
Low-risk, short-term, highly liquid instruments
what is Liquidity
Ability to quickly buy or sell an asset with little price impact
What are treasury bills?
Short term government securuties wit no default risk
What is commerical papers
Short term unsecured debit issued by the corporations
What is certificate of deposit?
Bank issued time deposits with fixed interest rates
What is the money market risk level?
Low risk and low return
What is the federal reserve?
Central bank of the US that controls money supply and interest rates
What is the primarty goal of the Fed?
Promote stable prices, full employment, and economic growth
What is open markets?
Buying/selling government securities to control money supply
What id the fed fund rate?
Interest rate banks charge each other for overnight loans to maintain money levels at a specific bank,
—overnight because the banks need to maintain levels daily
What is the effect of fed buying securities?
Money supply increase —> interest rates decrease
What is the effect of fed selling securities
Money supply decreases —> interest rates increase
What is the effect of higher interest rates?
Decreases economic activity
What is the effect of lower interest rates?
Increases economic activity
What is the Nominal rate? (R)
Rate adjusted for inflation (dollar return)R
Real rate ®
Rate adjusted for inflation (purchasing power)
What is inflation rate?
Rate at which price increases over time (h)
What is Fisher’s equation?
1+R=(1+r)(1+h)
Interaction terms for Nominal rates
r x h makes exact nominal rate slightly higher
What is unexpected inflation effect? (UET)
Higher than expected inflation benefits borrowers, but hurts lenders
What is a yield curve?
Graph showing interest rates across different maturities
What does a upward sloping yield curve mean?
Future short term rates are expected to increase
What does a downward sloping yield curve mean?
Future short term rates are expected to decrease
What does a flat yield curve mean?
Future short term rates are expected to remain constant
What is the Unbiased Expectation Theory (UET)
Long term rates = average of expected future short term rates
KEY UET Assumption
No risk premium (pure expectations only)
What is a forward rate?
Expected future short term interest rates
r(1,2)
What is spot rate?
Current interest rate for a given maturity
KEY UET Formula
(1+RN)N=(1+R1)(1+E(r1))(1+E(r2))...(1+E(rN−1))
RN → long-term rate today
R1R_1R1 → rate today
E(r)E(r)E(r) → future expected rates
Forward rate is (r1,2)
expected 1-year rate from year 1 to year 2
What are interest rate risk?
Risk that bond prices change when interest rates change
What is the inverse relation shi between interest rates and bond prices?
Interest rates increase but bond prices decrease
What is Duration? (D)
Measure of bond price sensitivity to interest rates
What is duration interpreation?
Higher duration—> higher interest rate risk
What is the duration formula?
PΔP≈−D⋅1+rbΔrb
What factors increaes duration?
Longer maturity, lower coupon, lower interest rates
What are factors of decreasing duration?
Higher coupon, higher interest rates
What is a mortgage?
Loan SECURED by real estate
What is collateral?
Asset pledged to secure a loan
What is foreclosure?
Process where lenders take properties after missing payments
What is a mortgage risk for a lender?
Default risk (borrower fails to repay
If actual inflation is greater than expected that means what for the power of oney?
Money is worth less than expected
Borrowers repay with less valuable dollars which means lenders
They receive less purchasing power
REMEMBER THIS
Keep in mind what year rate the question is asking as some year rates wont apply to the question
Ex:
what is the expected year 3 rate
You wouldn’t need to plug in the rate for year one as its not the most recent years, year 2 and year 3
Under UET, if long term rates are higher than short term rates, does that ALWAYS mean rates will rise?
NO, because other factors like liquidity premiums can also cause long term rates to be higher
What is the generic rate of return formula?
Rate of Return = (Ending value - Beginning Value)/Beginning Value x 100%
What is the rate of return formula for BOND/Money Market version
Return = (Face Value - Price paid today)/ (Face Value)
What is the formula for rate of return for INCOME
Return = (Income + (P1 + P0)/(P0)
P0= initial price
P1= final price
Inflation and deflation are ___ and not tools
OUTCOMES
What is the main tool the Fed Reserve uses to control interest rates?
Open market operation
Do banks use the fed rate as their rate for lending and borrowing money rom other banks?
No, they can use it as a foundation and will prolly increase their rates to make a profit on the difference
what is the main risk to the lender of a mortgage?
The borrower defaults risk
What type of mortgage has a fixed interest rate for the entire life of the loan?
Fixed-Rate mortgage
What type of mortgage has a fixed interest rate for the entire life of the loan?
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
ARM = rates move with the market
Which mortgage type is riskier for the borrower
ARM
Which mortgage type is riskier for the lender
Fixed rate
What does owning a stock (share) represent?
Ownership of a portion of the company
If you are shareholder of a stock you may receive, this is how investors of a stock make money?
Dividends and capital gains
What is a dividend?
A cash payment made by a company to its shareholders
What is capital gain?
Profit from selling a stock at a higher price than the purchase price
What is the main risk of owning stocks?
Market Risk aka Losing money
Which is generally riskier:
👉 Stocks or bonds?
Why
Stock prices are more volatile
No guaranteed payments
Last to get paid if company fails
Stocks = higher risk, higher return
Why do investors still choose stocks if they are riskier?
(1 line — key idea)
Higher potential returns
Stocks offer:
Capital gains
Dividends
Greater upside than bonds