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NPV, IRR, MIRR
Will always agree as to whether a project with normal cash flows is profitable or not
MIRR
Should be used to evaluate mutually exclusive project with similar sizes
NPV
Should be used to evaluate mutually exclusive projects with different sizes
IRR
Can have multiple of these, but only one MIRR
NPV vs IRR
When these two rankings conflict you follow NPV because it’s adding wealth at the cost of capital not because of unequal lives
High debt ratio
Discouraged from having a high fixed costs if it wants to keep its degree of total leverage down
Riskiness of EPS increases
As a firm begins to put debt in its capital structure, the firms eps will increase, but this will happen as well
Minimizes WACC
When the capital structure maximizes the company’s stock price, it will also do this
Low operating leverage
Stems from having low fixed costs
Positive NPV
A project with normal cash flows that has an IRR that exceeds the cost of capital has to have this
Whether normal or nonnormal
projects NPV will approach the value of the project's last cash flow at t=n as the cost of capital approaches zero
MIRR assumption
Interim cash flows are reinvested at the cost of capital
IRR and MIRR
Both require at least one positive and one negative cash flow
Cannabalization
Occurs when the introduction of a new product steals sales of a different product within the same firm and those stolen sales shouldn’t be included in the new product’s sales number for running an NPV for the new product
Signaling Theory
Says that a firm with very favorable prospects would avoid selling stock, and instead raise required capital by using new debt
Obtaining debt capital
Firms often use less debt than their optimal debt level to ensure that they can do this later if necessary
DOL > 1
If a firm has fixed operating costs than at a given sales level this will be true
Why is kps not adjusted for taxes
Dividends are not tax deductible
Measurement problems
Difficult to get good input data for CAPM variables
Costs of capital for projects of differing risk
Difficult to measure a project’s risk
Capital structure weights
Difficult to establish the target capital structure
PP
Expected number of years required to recover a projects cost
PP assumption
CFs will trickle out to you
DPP
Expected number of years required to recover a projects cost when all CFs are expressed in today’s dollars
NPV
Is the profit of the project expressed in time 0 today’s dollars
NPV weaknesses
NPV can’t be used directly when projects have different lengths of life
NPV reinvestment rate assumption
CFs reinvested at k
IRR
The discount rate which forces the PV of a project’s inflows to equal the PV of its outflows
IRR meaning
Return of the project expressed completely in a percentage of return, leaving none of the return to be expressed as NPV = $0
MIRR weaknesses
ME projects diff sizes cant trust MIRR
Incremental cash flow
The change in the firm’s total cash flow that occurs as a direct result of accepting the project
Sunk cost
An outlay not affected by the decision under consideration
Opportunity cost
Cash flow give up by taking on the project
Externalities
Effects of a project on other parts of the firm
MACRS
Used for tax purposes; makes it more appropriate for capital budgeting decisions than straight line since taxing affects cash flow which doesn’t subtract sv to determine db
Straight line depreciation
Used for stockholder reporting
Sensitivity analysis
technique that examines how changes in input variables affect a model’s output, usually by varying one input at a time while holding others constant
Scenario analysis
technique that evaluates how a project, business, or portfolio would perform under several distinct, internally consistent “what if” future states by changing multiple key assumptions at the same time and observing the resulting outcomes
Monte Carlo simulation
computational technique that models uncertainty by repeatedly sampling random values from specified probability distributions for key inputs, running the model many times, and using the resulting distribution of outputs to estimate the probabilities of different outcomes
Optimal capital structure
Must strike that balance between risk and return which maximizes the firm’s stock price and minimizes the firm's wacc
High FC
Contribute to high business risk and high operating leverage
Low fc
Labor intensive
DOL massive
If a firm is operating just above BE, this will be true
Art Cashin
longtime New York Stock Exchange floor trader and the director of floor operations for UBS, famous as a veteran market commentator.
Bob Pisani
CNBC journalist who has reported from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange for decades as a senior markets correspondent
CR
Designates coupon payments
Sinking fund provision
Facilitates orderly retirement of the bonds
Putable bonds
Allows investors to sell bond back to company
Income bond
Pays interest only if the interest is earned
Indexed bond
Interest paid rises automatically when inflation increases
Institutional investors
Restricted to investment grade securities
Changes in ratings
When a company gets downgraded price of bonds goes down
Junk bonds
Market collapsed in early 1990s but rebounded later and is here to stay
Michael Milken
Promoted junk bonds in the late 1970s who went to prison for insider trading
King of Junk Bonds
Michael Milken other name
Ted turner
Used junk bonds to finance the development of CNN and Turner broadcasting
Insolvency
When the company can’t pay their debts on time and creditors can declare bankruptcy
Positive beta
Same direction as market
Poison pill provision
Allows stockholders to buy takeover firm’s shares at reduced price
Zero growth
Perpetuity
Constant growth rule
Time period right before the constant growth rate will have the same CGY
Abbey joseph cohen
All computer related stocks 40xEPS = P0
Foreign bonds decrease
When that country goes into war
Zero coupon bonds
Desirable since they give capital gains that aren’t taxed at as high of a rate as interest income would be on a regular bond
Floating coupon bonds
Maintain value equal to par
Market value of shares of stock
Doesn’t increase if the investor plans to keep it longer
Interest rate price sensitivity
Generally decreases as years remaining to maturity decreases
Constant growth rate = CGY
Assumed that if dividends increase by a certain percentage, that the stock price will increase by about the same percentage
2008 financial crisis
Big banks that caused this were overvalued just before the debt crisis because the rating companies were inaccurately rating them
Risk averse investors
Equilibrium price of stock should decrease
Fed cuts interest rates
equilibrium price of stocks increase
Founders’ shares
Enable control over the company by the founders without having to own a majority of the stock
Proxy vote
If a stockholder can’t vote in person, participation in the annual meeting still possible through this
Preemptive right
Gives the stockholder the right to buy additional new shares
Coefficient of variation
Main focus of a well diversified stock
Christine LaGarde
Current president of the European Central Bank
Discount rates increase w/o limit
Present value of future cash inflow approaches zero
Mario Draghi
Italian economist and central banker who used to lead the European Central Bank, is widely credited with helping save the euro during the European debt crisis
Different prices
Three bonds that have 15 years left to maturity can have this even if they each have the same credit risk
Investor in high tax brackets
Zero coupon bonds are more attractive to them
treasury bond
Less default risk than a corporate bond because it is backed by the federal government
Zero coupon bond’s tax
Less than on regular bonds
Zero coupon bonds issued at
Discount below par