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GDP
the market value of final goods and services produced within a country in any given time period
Calculation of GDP
Consumption Expenditure + Investments + Government Expenditures + (Exports - Imports)
Y = C+I+G+(X-M)
Frictional unemployment
unemployment caused by natural labor market; people coming in and out of employment
Structural unemployment
unemployment caused by changes in market that make certain skills of laborers useless (technology) (skill set)
Cyclical unemployment
unemployment caused by the business cycle (recession)
Unemployment
part of the labor force that is not working
Characteristics of an unemployed person
- be actively seeking employment
- able to work
Formula for unemployment rate
(Unemployed/Labor Force) X 100
CPI (Consumer Price Index)
a measure of the average of the prices paid for a fixed basket of goods and services
Formula for CPI
(Cost of Basket At Current Year/Cost of Basket At Base Year) X 100
Inflation
sustained increase in overall prices
Formula for inflation rate
(CPI this year - CPI last year / CPI last year) X 100
Potential GDP
real GDP when all firms are operating at full employment
Forces driving growth in potential real GDP
- growth in supply of labor
- growth in labor productivity
Long-run aggregate supply curve
shows relationship between quantity of real GDP supplied and price level when real GDP equals potential GDP
Causes of LAS curve shifting right
- shifting right means real GDP is increasing
- physical capital stock, labor and/or technology increases
Crowding-out effect
a rise in interest rates and a resulting decrease in planned investment caused by the federal government's increased borrowing to finance budget deficits and refinance debt.
Nominal interest rate
number of dollars that a borrower pays and a lender receives in interest in a year expressed as a percentage of the number of dollars borrowed and lent (example 10%, if annual interest paid on $50 loan is $5)
Real interest rate
nominal interest rate adjusted to remove effects of inflation
Formula for real interest rate
nominal interest rate - inflation rate
Effects to lender and borrower when the inflation rate is higher than expected
Harms lenders, benefits borrowers
Effects to lender and borrower when the inflation rate is lower than expected
Benefits lenders, harms borrower
Functions of money
- medium of exchange
- unit of account (measure of stating prices of goods and services)
- store of value
How banks create money
fraction of deposit held in reserves; remainder can be loaned (excess reserves); quantity of money increases with a multiplier effect
Open market operations
the purchase and sale of U.S. government bonds by the Fed
Effects of open market operations
Increase or decrease in bank reserves and monetary base
Multiplier effect
the amplified change in equilibrium expenditure when autonomous expenditure changes
Autonomous expenditure
an expenditure that does not depend on the level of GDP (investments, government expenditure, exports)
Equilibrium expenditure
the level of aggregate expenditure that occurs when aggregate planned expenditure equals real GDP
Marginal propensity to save (MPS)
the fraction of the amount by which saving changes when disposable income changes
Marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
the fraction of any change in disposable income spent on consumer goods
Marginal propensity to import (MPM)
the fraction of an increase in real income (real GDP) spent on imports
Formula for MPC
MPC = 1 - MPS
Fiscal policy
use of federal budget to achieve macroeconomic objectives (full employment, economic growth, price stability, etc.)
Discretionary fiscal policy
fiscal policy that is the result of deliberate actions by policy makers rather than rules
Automatic fiscal policy
a fiscal policy action that is triggered by the state of the economy
Automatic stabilizers
changes in fiscal policy that stimulate aggregate demand when the economy goes into a recession without policymakers having to take any deliberate action
Lags in discretionary fiscal policy
recognition (Information), law-making (implementation) and impact (response) lag
Lags in monetary policy
recognition and operational
Fed's dual mandate
price stability and maximum employment
Fed's preferred monetary policy instrument
federal funds rate
Federal funds rate (FFR)
the interest rate at which banks make overnight loans to one another
Why Fed increases FFR
- inflation rises above target or expected to rise (inflation gap)
- positive output gap
Why Fed decreases FFR
- inflation below target or expected to go below (recession gap)
- negative output gap
Formula for Taylor rule
FFR Target rate = 2% + INF + 0.5(INF - 2%) + 0.5(output gap)
Steps of expansionary monetary policy
Fed buys bonds; money supply increases and interest rates fall; C, I and (X-M) increase; real GDP and inflation rate (P) increase
Steps of contractionary monetary policy
Fed sells bonds; money supply decreases and interest rates rises; C, I and (X-M) decrease; real GDP and inflation rate (P) decrease
Short-run Phillips curve
relationship between inflation and unemployment when expected inflation rate and natural unemployment rate are held constant
Long-run Phillips curve
relationship between inflation and unemployment when actual inflation rate equals expected inflation rate
Keynesian economic theory
theory emphasizing government spending and deficits can help the economy deal with its ups and downs. Proponents of this theory advocate using the power of government to stimulate the economy when it is lagging.
Classical economic theory
The view that an economy will self-correct from periods of economic shock if left alone. AKA "laissez-faire"
Monetarist economic theory
theory that the amount of money in the system is the major determinant of price levels (i.e. use of monetary policy)
Equation for quantity of money theory
M x V = P x Y
Equation for quantity of money theory, in terms of growth rate
ΔM/M + ΔV/V = ΔP/P + ΔY/Y
Formula for the government expenditure multiplier
1 / 1 - [MPC(1 - tax rate) - MPM]
Formula for the autonomous tax multiplier
- MPC/1 - [MPC(1 - tax rate) - MPM]
Reason why SRAS shifts upwards
the quantity supplied increases when the price rises
Reasons why AD slopes downwards
the price level drops, the quantity of output demanded increases
- wealth effect
- interest-rate effect
- exchange-rate effect
Cost-push inflation
when prices rise due to an increase in the cost of production.
Demand-pull inflation
increases in the price level (inflation) resulting from an excess of demand over output at the existing price level, caused by an increase in aggregate demand
Stagflation
a period of slow economic growth and high unemployment (real GDP decreases) while prices rise