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Why is Climate-Related Risks important?
Can intensify over time
Drive financial risks
Can threaten business model viability
2 Types of Climate-Related Risks
Physical Risk: financial risk from inc sev/freq of climate events
Transition Risk: financial risk related to transition to low GHG economy
3 Types of Physical Risks
Inc sev/freq from:
Acute → extreme weather events
Chronic → longer-term gradual shifts of climate
Indirect → public health implications, ex: morbidity & mortality
Transition Risks can emerge from
TRC
Regulations to limit GHG emissions
New Technologies
Change in Customer preference
Climate risks can lead to liability risks, such as
Climate-related claims under liability policies
Litigation for failing to manage climate risks
OSFI’s Climate Risk Guidelines applies to
FRFI = federally regulated financial institutions
OSFI Climate Risk Mgmt → Expected Outcomes
BGR
Business Model
Understands & mitigates climate risk impacts on Business model
Governance & Risk Mgmt
Has appropriate Governance & risk mgmt practices for climate risks
Resilience
Financially resilient thru severe yet plausible climate risk scenarios
Operationally resilient thru climate disasters
Climate Risk → 5 Principles of Governance & Risk Mgmt
AI-MCM
Appropriate governance & accountability structure
Senior Mgmt has overall accountability
Incorporate implications of physical & transition risks in business model
Understand impact on short/long-term plans
Manage climate risks in accordance w/ Risk Appetite Framework
Have controls to identify current/future impacts of climate risk
Climate scenario analysis to assess impact on business model
Consider scenarios that have both physical & transition risks
Maintain sufficient capital & liquidity buffers
Incorporate climate risks in ORSA
Climate Risk Disclosures Principles
Should disclose info that’s…
CRAC
Clear, balanced & understandable
Serves needs of range of users
Reliable & verifiable
High quality & unbiased
Appropriate for its size/nature/complexity
Larger company = more volume/detail
Consistently over time
Allow for inter-period comparisons
Physical Risk → Transmission channels
Credit Risk: damage to collateral for bank loans
Higher capital requirements
Insurance Risk: claims higher than expected
Higher insurance losses & cost to reinsure
Transition Risk → Transmission channels
Credit Risk: GHG-intensive borrowers face higher cost of doing business
Higher capital requirements
Liability Risk: BoD fails to appropriately manage climate risks
Legal action & reputation damage
Climate Scenario Analysis
ILA
Assess Impact of climate risks on business model
Identify Limitations in data, method, assumptions
Test Adequacy of risk mgmt framework